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- Faculty Publications (50)
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- Spring 2016
- Article
The Billion Prices Project: Using Online Prices for Inflation Measurement and Research
By: Alberto Cavallo and Roberto Rigobon
New data-gathering techniques, often referred to as “Big Data” have the potential to improve statistics and empirical research in economics. In this paper we describe our work with online data at the Billion Prices Project at MIT and discuss key lessons for both...
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Keywords:
Billion Prices Project;
Online Scraped Data;
Online Price Index;
Economics;
Research;
Price;
Analytics and Data Science
Cavallo, Alberto, and Roberto Rigobon. "The Billion Prices Project: Using Online Prices for Inflation Measurement and Research." Journal of Economic Perspectives 30, no. 2 (Spring 2016): 151–178.
- Article
The Price Impact of Joining a Currency Union: Evidence from Latvia
By: Alberto Cavallo, Brent Neiman and Roberto Rigobon
Does membership in a currency union matter for a country’s international relative prices? The answer to this question is critical for thinking about the implications of joining (or exiting) a common currency area. This paper is the first to use high-frequency...
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Cavallo, Alberto, Brent Neiman, and Roberto Rigobon. "The Price Impact of Joining a Currency Union: Evidence from Latvia." IMF Economic Review 63, no. 2 (September 2015): 281–297.
- Article
Prices and Supply Disruptions during Natural Disasters
By: Alberto Cavallo, Eduardo A. Cavallo and Roberto Rigobon
Cavallo, Alberto, Eduardo A. Cavallo, and Roberto Rigobon. "Prices and Supply Disruptions during Natural Disasters." Review of Income and Wealth 60, no. S2 (November 2014): S449–S471.
- Article
Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate
By: Alberto Cavallo, Brent Neiman and Roberto Rigobon
We use a novel dataset of online prices of identical goods sold by four large global retailers in dozens of countries to study good-level real exchange rates and their aggregated behavior. First, in contrast to the prior literature, we demonstrate that the law of one...
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Keywords:
Currency Union;
Law Of One Price;
International Prices;
Global Firm;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Price;
International Finance
Cavallo, Alberto, Brent Neiman, and Roberto Rigobon. "Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate." Quarterly Journal of Economics 129, no. 2 (May 2014): 529–595.
- Article
Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation
By: Alberto Cavallo
Prices collected from online retailers can be used to construct daily price indexes that complement official statistics. This paper studies their ability to match official inflation estimates in five Latin American countries, with a focus on Argentina, where official...
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Keywords:
Inflation;
Online Price Index;
Economics;
Macroeconomics;
Inflation and Deflation;
Price;
Latin America;
Argentina
Cavallo, Alberto. "Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation." Journal of Monetary Economics 60, no. 2 (March 2013): 152–165.
- Article
Are Crises Good for Long-term Growth? The Role of Political Institutions
By: Alberto Cavallo and Eduardo Cavallo
This paper provides empirical evidence for the importance of institutions in determining the outcome of crises on long-term growth. We show that once unobserved country-specific effects and other sources of endogeneity are accounted for, political institutions affect...
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Keywords:
Growth;
Democracy;
Macroeconomics;
Growth and Development;
Financial Crisis;
Economic Growth;
Government and Politics
Cavallo, Alberto, and Eduardo Cavallo. "Are Crises Good for Long-term Growth? The Role of Political Institutions." Journal of Macroeconomics 32, no. 3 (September 2010): 838–857.
- March 2010
- Article
Sudden Stops: Determinants and Output Effects in the First Era of Globalization, 1880–1913
By: Michael D. Bordo, Alberto Cavallo and Christopher Meissner
We study the determinants and output effects of sudden stops in capital inflows during an era of intensified globalization from 1880 to 1913. Higher levels of exposure to foreign currency debt and large current account deficits associated with reliance on foreign...
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Keywords:
Sudden Stops;
Capital Flows;
Economics;
Macroeconomics;
Economic Growth;
Financial Crisis;
Globalization;
History
Bordo, Michael D., Alberto Cavallo, and Christopher Meissner. "Sudden Stops: Determinants and Output Effects in the First Era of Globalization, 1880–1913." Journal of Development Economics 91, no. 2 (March 2010): 227–241.
- 2024
- Chapter
Inflation and Misallocation in New Keynesian Models
By: Alberto Cavallo, Francesco Lippi and Ken Miyahara
The New Keynesian framework implies that sluggish price adjustment results in a distorted allocation of resources. We use a simple model to quantify these unobservable distortions, using data that depict the price-setting behavior of firms, specifically the frequency...
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Cavallo, Alberto, Francesco Lippi, and Ken Miyahara. "Inflation and Misallocation in New Keynesian Models." In ECB Forum on Central Banking 26-28 June 2023, Sintra, Portugal: Macroeconomic Stabilisation in a Volatile Inflation Environment. European Central Bank, forthcoming.
- Forthcoming
- Article
Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets
By: Alberto Cavallo
The Covid-19 pandemic led to changes in expenditure patterns that introduced significant bias in the measurement of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Using publicly-available data on card transactions, I updated the official CPI weights and re-calculated inflation...
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Keywords:
COVID;
Consumer Expenditures;
CPI;
Inflation;
Consumer Behavior;
Inflation and Deflation;
Health Pandemics
Cavallo, Alberto. "Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets." IMF Economic Review (forthcoming). (Pre-published online August 31, 2023.)
- Forthcoming
- Article
Large Shocks Travel Fast
By: Alberto Cavallo, Francesco Lippi and Ken Miyahara
We document a sizeable increase in the frequency of price adjustments following the large energy shocks of 2022. We use a tractable New Keynesian model, calibrated to the pre-shock data, to interpret such a pattern. The calibration highlights the state-dependence of...
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Cavallo, Alberto, Francesco Lippi, and Ken Miyahara. "Large Shocks Travel Fast." American Economic Review: Insights (forthcoming).