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All HBS Web
(115,679)
- Faculty Publications (127)
- 2014
- Article
Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns
By: Robin Greenwood and Andrei Shleifer
We analyze time-series of investor expectations of future stock market returns from six data sources between 1963 and 2011. The six measures of expectations are highly positively correlated with each other, as well as with past stock returns and with the level of the...
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Greenwood, Robin, and Andrei Shleifer. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 3 (March 2014): 714–746. (Internet Appendix Here.)
- 2014
- Article
Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns
By: Robin Greenwood and Dimitri Vayanos
We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our analysis is based on a theoretical model of preferred habitat in which clienteles with strong preferences for specific maturities trade with arbitrageurs....
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Greenwood, Robin, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 3 (March 2014): 663–713. (Also earlier version NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13806, February 2008.)
- June 2013 (Revised July 2013)
- Case
Blackstone Alternative Asset Management
By: Robin Greenwood, Luis M. Viceira and Jared Dourdeville
This case explores reasons for Blackstone Alternative Asset Management's (BAAM's) growth from 2007-2013, a time when the overall fund of hedge funds industry contracted substantially. Additionally, the case analyzes evolving business models and value propositions...
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Keywords:
Hedge Fund;
Fund Of Hedge Funds;
Hedge Fund Industry Growth;
Fund Of Hedge Funds Industry Growth;
Evolving Business Models;
Value Propositions In The Fund Of Hege Funds Industry;
Business Model;
Investment Funds;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Financial Services Industry;
United States
Greenwood, Robin, Luis M. Viceira, and Jared Dourdeville. "Blackstone Alternative Asset Management." Harvard Business School Case 213-129, June 2013. (Revised July 2013.)
- June 2013 (Revised February 2015)
- Teaching Note
Assured Guaranty
By: Robin Greenwood, Adi Sunderam and Jared Dourdeville
To be used as an aid in teaching the Assured Guaranty case, #213100.
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- June 2013
- Article
Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns
By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the...
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Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson. "Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns." Review of Financial Studies 26, no. 6 (June 2013): 1483–1525. (Internet Appendix Here.)
- May 2013 (Revised January 2015)
- Teaching Note
H Partners and Six Flags
By: Robin Greenwood, Julie Messina and Jared Dourdeville
Teaching Note for #211090 & #211096
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- Spring 2013
- Article
The Growth of Finance
By: Robin Greenwood and David S. Scharfstein
The U.S. financial services industry grew from 4.9% of GDP in 1980 to 7.9% of GDP in 2007. A sizeable portion of the growth can be explained by rising asset management fees, which in turn were driven by increases in the valuation of tradable assets, particularly...
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Greenwood, Robin, and David S. Scharfstein. "The Growth of Finance." Journal of Economic Perspectives 27, no. 2 (Spring 2013): 3–28.
- March 2013 (Revised December 2016)
- Supplement
Assured Guaranty (CW)
By: Robin Greenwood, Adi Sunderam and Jared Dourdeville
- February 2013 (Revised November 2016)
- Case
Assured Guaranty
By: Robin Greenwood, Adi Sunderam and Jared Dourdeville
Nate Katz at Yokun Ridge Capital Management is evaluating an investment in Assured Guaranty, a municipal bond insurance company that is trading at a discount to book value.
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Keywords:
Value Investing;
Investments;
Valuation;
Insurance;
Behavioral Finance;
Financial Services Industry
Greenwood, Robin, Adi Sunderam, and Jared Dourdeville. "Assured Guaranty." Harvard Business School Case 213-100, February 2013. (Revised November 2016.)
- Article
Agency Costs, Mispricing, and Ownership Structure
By: Sergey Chernenko, C. Fritz Foley and Robin Greenwood
Standard theories of corporate ownership assume that because markets are efficient, insiders ultimately bear all agency costs that they create and therefore have a strong incentive to minimize conflicts of interest with outside investors. We argue that if equity is...
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Keywords:
Business and Shareholder Relations;
Ownership;
Conflict of Interests;
Investment;
Valuation
Chernenko, Sergey, C. Fritz Foley, and Robin Greenwood. "Agency Costs, Mispricing, and Ownership Structure." Financial Management 41, no. 4 (Winter 2012): 885–914.
- April 2012
- Supplement
Hayman Capital Management
By: Robin Greenwood, Julie Messina and Jared Dourdeville
- April 2012
- Article
Share Issuance and Factor Timing
By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We show that characteristics of stock issuers can be used to forecast important common factors in stocks' returns such as those associated with book-to-market, size, and industry. Specifically, we use differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers...
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Keywords:
Investment Portfolio;
Stock Shares;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Investment Return;
Policy;
Profit
Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson. "Share Issuance and Factor Timing." Journal of Finance 67, no. 2 (April 2012): 761–798. (Internet Appendix Here.)
- March 2012 (Revised October 2012)
- Case
Hayman Capital Management
By: Robin Greenwood, Julie Messina and Jared Dourdeville
In late December 2011, Hayman Capital founder and portfolio manager Kyle Bass was reviewing Japanese government budget projections for 2012. The projections appeared contrary to Hayman Capital's views on Japan, where the fund had built a bearish position. Japan had the...
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Keywords:
Investment Management;
Speculative Bubbles;
Japan;
Government Policy;
Financial Management;
Price Bubble;
Credit;
Financial Strategy;
Behavioral Finance;
Government and Politics;
Macroeconomics;
Financial Services Industry;
Japan
Greenwood, Robin, Julie Messina, and Jared Dourdeville. "Hayman Capital Management." Harvard Business School Case 212-091, March 2012. (Revised October 2012.)
- March 2012
- Article
How to Make Finance Work
By: Robin Greenwood and David S. Scharfstein
Once a sleepy old boys' club, the U.S. financial sector is now a dynamic and growing business that attracts the best and the brightest. It is tempting to declare the industry a roaring success. But its purpose is to serve the needs of U.S. households and firms, and by...
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Keywords:
Business Ventures;
Value;
Competitive Advantage;
Investment;
Performance Evaluation;
Household;
Financial Crisis;
Finance;
Financial Services Industry;
United States
Greenwood, Robin, and David S. Scharfstein. "How to Make Finance Work." Harvard Business Review 90, no. 3 (March 2012).
- December 2011
- Article
Stock Price Fragility
By: Robin Greenwood and David Thesmar
We investigate the relationship between ownership structure of financial assets and non-fundamental risk. We define an asset to be fragile if it is susceptible to non-fundamental trading shocks. An asset can be fragile because of concentrated ownership or because its...
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Keywords:
Stocks;
Price;
Ownership;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Assets;
System Shocks;
Financial Liquidity;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Investment Return;
Volatility;
Relationships;
United States
Greenwood, Robin, and David Thesmar. "Stock Price Fragility." Journal of Financial Economics 102, no. 3 (December 2011).
- April 2011 (Revised April 2011)
- Module Note
Investor Demand
By: Robin Greenwood
This conceptual note describes a series of cases on the investor demand approach to investment strategy and management. The cases demonstrate how and why securities market dislocations are driven by non-fundamental demand. I use the cases to progressively build a...
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Keywords:
Investment
Greenwood, Robin. "Investor Demand." Harvard Business School Module Note 211-101, April 2011. (Revised April 2011.)
- March 2011
- Supplement
Gold in 2011 (CW)
By: Robin Greenwood
Courseware for case 211095.
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- March 2011 (Revised April 2011)
- Case
Gold in 2011: Bubble or Safe Haven Asset?
By: Robin Greenwood and Benjamin Steiner
Case explores the pricing of gold in 2011. Is the pricing justified or are we in a speculative bubble? What data are useful in determining a view on this question?
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Keywords:
Inflation and Deflation;
Money;
Asset Management;
Investment;
Price Bubble;
Policy;
Risk Management
Greenwood, Robin, and Benjamin Steiner. "Gold in 2011: Bubble or Safe Haven Asset?" Harvard Business School Case 211-095, March 2011. (Revised April 2011.)
- March 2011 (Revised December 2016)
- Supplement
H Partners and Six Flags (CW)
By: Robin Greenwood
Spreadsheet for case 211090.
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- March 2011 (Revised January 2015)
- Case
H Partners and Six Flags
By: Robin Greenwood and Michael Gorzynski
Rehan Jaffer, the founder of hedge fund H Partners, is considering what to do with his investment in Six Flags. H Partners had invested a significant amount of the firm's capital in the senior bonds of U.S.-based Six Flags, following that company's bankruptcy filing.
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Keywords:
Behavioral Finance;
Private Equity;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Debt Securities;
Bonds;
Investment;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
Financial Services Industry;
United States
Greenwood, Robin, and Michael Gorzynski. "H Partners and Six Flags." Harvard Business School Case 211-090, March 2011. (Revised January 2015.)