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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (110,347)
      • Faculty Publications  (70)

      Hanson, Samuel G. Remove Hanson, Samuel G. →

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      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, Aytek Malkhozov and Gyuri Venter
      We develop and test a model in which swap spreads are determined by end users' demand for and constrained intermediaries' supply of long-term interest rate swaps. Swap spreads reflect compensation both for using scarce intermediary capital and for bearing convergence...  View Details
      Keywords: Swap Spreads; Risk and Uncertainty; Interest Rates; Financial Crisis; Financial Markets
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      Hanson, Samuel G., Aytek Malkhozov, and Gyuri Venter. "Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads." Working Paper, December 2022.
      • April 2022
      • Article

      Predictable Financial Crises

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer and Jakob Ahm Sørensen
      Using historical data on post-war financial crises around the world, we show that crises are substantially predictable. The combination of rapid credit and asset price growth over the prior three years, whether in the nonfinancial business or the household sector, is...  View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Global Range; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer, and Jakob Ahm Sørensen. "Predictable Financial Crises." Journal of Finance 77, no. 2 (April 2022): 863–921.
      • January 2022 (Revised January 2022)
      • Case

      The Impact Developers Fund

      By: Malcolm Baker, Samuel Gregory Hanson, Jonathan Wallen and Zach Komes
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      Baker, Malcolm, Samuel Gregory Hanson, Jonathan Wallen, and Zach Komes. "The Impact Developers Fund." Harvard Business School Case 222-046, January 2022. (Revised January 2022.)
      • 2021
      • Chapter

      Business Continuity Insurance in the Next Disaster

      By: Samuel Gregory Hanson, Adi Sunderam and Eric Zwick
      This article draws lessons from the business support policies pursued in the COVID-19 pandemic to guide policy design for the next disaster. We contrast the performance of the Paycheck Protection Program to the Main Street Lending Program to illustrate how design...  View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Policy; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Financing and Loans; United States
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      Hanson, Samuel Gregory, Adi Sunderam, and Eric Zwick. "Business Continuity Insurance in the Next Disaster." In Rebuilding the Post-Pandemic Economy, edited by Melissa S. Kearney and Amy Ganz, 52–77. Washington, DC: Aspen Institute, 2021.
      • August 2021
      • Article

      Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, David O. Lucca and Jonathan H. Wright
      Long-term nominal interest rates are surprisingly sensitive to high-frequency (daily or monthly) movements in short-term rates. Since 2000, this high-frequency sensitivity has grown even stronger in U.S. data. By contrast, the association between low-frequency changes...  View Details
      Keywords: Conundrum; Investor Demand; Monetary Policy Transmission; Interest Rates
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      Hanson, Samuel G., David O. Lucca, and Jonathan H. Wright. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 3 (August 2021): 1719–1781.
      • Fall 2020
      • Article

      Business Credit Programs in the Pandemic Era

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, Adi Sunderam and Eric Zwick
      We develop a pair of models that speak to the goals and design of the sort of business-lending and corporate-bond purchase programs that have been introduced by governments in response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. An overarching theme is that, in contrast to the...  View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19; Business Lending; Government Intervention; Econometric Models; Health Pandemics; Credit; Governance; Policy
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      Hanson, Samuel G., Jeremy C. Stein, Adi Sunderam, and Eric Zwick. "Business Credit Programs in the Pandemic Era." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Fall 2020).
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      How Should U.S. Bank Regulators Respond to the COVID-19 Crisis?

      By: Michael Blank, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
      Drawing on lessons from the 2007–2009 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and a simple conceptual framework, we examine the response of U.S. bank regulators to the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that the current regulatory strategy of “watchful waiting”—the same strategy that...  View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19; Bank Regulation; Recapitalization; Health Pandemics; Banks and Banking; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Strategy; Risk Management; United States
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      Blank, Michael, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "How Should U.S. Bank Regulators Respond to the COVID-19 Crisis?" Hutchins Center Working Paper, No. 63, June 2020.
      • June 2019
      • Article

      Social Risk, Fiscal Risk, and the Portfolio of Government Programs

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, David S. Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam
      We develop a model of government portfolio choice in which a benevolent government chooses the scale of risky projects in the presence of market failures and tax distortions. These two frictions generate motives to manage social risk and fiscal risk. Social risk...  View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Government and Politics; Programs
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      Hanson, Samuel G., David S. Scharfstein, and Adi Sunderam. "Social Risk, Fiscal Risk, and the Portfolio of Government Programs." Review of Financial Studies 32, no. 6 (June 2019): 2341–2382. (Internet Appendix Here.)
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Reflexivity in Credit Markets

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Lawrence J. Jin
      Reflexivity is the idea that investors' biased beliefs affect market outcomes, and that market outcomes in turn affect investors' beliefs. We develop a behavioral model of the credit cycle featuring such a two-way feedback loop. In our model, investors form beliefs...  View Details
      Keywords: Reflexivity; Attitudes; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment; Credit
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin. "Reflexivity in Credit Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 25747, April 2019.
      • January 2019
      • Module Note

      Executing Active Investment Strategies

      By: Samuel G. Hanson
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      Hanson, Samuel G. "Executing Active Investment Strategies." Harvard Business School Module Note 219-080, January 2019.
      • December 2018 (Revised February 2019)
      • Teaching Note

      Pershing Square 2.0

      By: Samuel G. Hanson
      Teaching Note for HBS No. 216-003.  View Details
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      Hanson, Samuel G. "Pershing Square 2.0." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 219-078, December 2018. (Revised February 2019.)
      • December 2018 (Revised February 2019)
      • Teaching Note

      Merger Arbitrage at Tannenberg Capital

      By: Samuel G. Hanson
      Teaching Note for HBS Nos. 218-065 and 218-066.  View Details
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      Hanson, Samuel G. "Merger Arbitrage at Tannenberg Capital." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 219-073, December 2018. (Revised February 2019.)
      • December 2018 (Revised January 2019)
      • Teaching Note

      The Fidelity Growth Company Fund

      By: Samuel Hanson
      Teaching Note for HBS No. 218-090.  View Details
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      Hanson, Samuel. "The Fidelity Growth Company Fund." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 219-071, December 2018. (Revised January 2019.)
      • December 2018 (Revised February 2019)
      • Teaching Note

      The Case of the Unidentified Equity Managers

      By: Samuel G. Hanson
      Teaching Note for HBS No. 217-055.  View Details
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      Hanson, Samuel G. "The Case of the Unidentified Equity Managers." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 219-067, December 2018. (Revised February 2019.)
      • December 2018 (Revised January 2019)
      • Teaching Note

      Dogs of the Dow

      By: Samuel G. Hanson
      Teaching Note for HBS Nos. 215-020 and 219-051.  View Details
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      Hanson, Samuel G. "Dogs of the Dow." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 219-066, December 2018. (Revised January 2019.)
      • October 2018
      • Background Note

      Dogs of the Dow: Example Pfizer Valuation

      By: Samuel G. Hanson
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      Hanson, Samuel G. "Dogs of the Dow: Example Pfizer Valuation." Harvard Business School Background Note 219-051, October 2018.
      • October 2018 (Revised January 2019)
      • Case

      The Financial Crisis: Timothy Geithner and the Stress Tests

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, Robin Greenwood, David Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam
      In February and March 2009, the U.S. economy was in the midst of a terrifying financial and economic crisis. Between the beginning of 2008 and early 2009, four of the 25 largest U.S. financial institutions had failed, and nine of these 25 institutions had taken...  View Details
      Keywords: Bailout; Regulation; Stress Test; Financial Crisis; History; Economy; Policy; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Decision Making; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry; United States
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      Hanson, Samuel G., Robin Greenwood, David Scharfstein, and Adi Sunderam. "The Financial Crisis: Timothy Geithner and the Stress Tests." Harvard Business School Case 219-038, October 2018. (Revised January 2019.)
      • October 2018 (Revised January 2019)
      • Case

      The Financial Crisis: Hank Paulson in 2008

      By: Adi Sunderam, Robin Greenwood, Sam Hanson and David Scharfstein
      On the afternoon of Monday October 13, 2008, Hank Paulson Jr., the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States, walked into the large conference room across the hall from his office in the Treasury Department. Joining him were Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke,...  View Details
      Keywords: Bailout; Regulation; Financial Crisis; History; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Decision Making; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry; United States
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      Sunderam, Adi, Robin Greenwood, Sam Hanson, and David Scharfstein. "The Financial Crisis: Hank Paulson in 2008." Harvard Business School Case 219-037, October 2018. (Revised January 2019.)
      • September 2018
      • Article

      Asset Price Dynamics in Partially Segmented Markets

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Gordon Y. Liao
      We develop a model in which capital moves quickly within an asset class but slowly between asset classes. While most investors specialize in a single asset class, a handful of generalists can gradually reallocate capital across markets. Upon the arrival...  View Details
      Keywords: System Shocks; Asset Pricing
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Gordon Y. Liao. "Asset Price Dynamics in Partially Segmented Markets." Review of Financial Studies 31, no. 9 (September 2018): 3307–3343. (Internet Appendix Here.)
      • March 2018 (Revised February 2019)
      • Case

      The Fidelity Growth Company Fund

      By: Sara L. Fleiss and Samuel G. Hanson
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      Fleiss, Sara L., and Samuel G. Hanson. "The Fidelity Growth Company Fund." Harvard Business School Case 218-090, March 2018. (Revised February 2019.)
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