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All HBS Web
(291)
- Faculty Publications (43)
- June 2013
- Article
Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns
By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the...
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Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson. "Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns." Review of Financial Studies 26, no. 6 (June 2013): 1483–1525. (Internet Appendix Here.)
- 2013
- Working Paper
Securities Litigation Risk for Foreign Companies Listed in the U.S.
By: Beiting Cheng, Suraj Srinivasan and Gwen Yu
We study securities litigation risk faced by foreign firms listed on U.S. exchanges. We take into account not only the propensity for foreign firms to commit violations of U.S. securities laws but also the costs that investors face when suing foreign firms. We find...
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Keywords:
Litigation Risk;
Cross Listing;
Bonding;
10b-5;
Securities Litigation;
U.S.Listing;
Class Action;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Debt Securities;
Globalized Firms and Management;
Ethics;
Lawsuits and Litigation;
United States
Cheng, Beiting, Suraj Srinivasan, and Gwen Yu. "Securities Litigation Risk for Foreign Companies Listed in the U.S." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 13-036, October 2012. (Revised March 2014.)
- June 2012
- Article
Comovement and Predictability Relationships Between Bonds and the Cross-Section of Stocks
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
Government bonds comove more strongly with bond-like stocks: stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor distressed. Variables derived from the yield curve that are already known to predict returns on...
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Keywords:
Relationships;
Bonds;
Stocks;
Investment Return;
Cash Flow;
Quality;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Profit
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Comovement and Predictability Relationships Between Bonds and the Cross-Section of Stocks." Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2, no. 1 (June 2012): 57–87.
- 2012
- Working Paper
Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market
By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
Reaching-for-yield—the propensity to buy riskier assets in order to achieve higher yields—is believed to be an important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper analyses this phenomenon in the corporate bond market. Specifically, we show evidence for...
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Keywords:
Fixed Income;
Reaching For Yield;
Financial Intermediation;
Insurance Companies;
Insurance;
Bonds;
Assets;
Risk Management;
Investment Return;
Investment Portfolio;
Insurance Industry
Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-103, May 2012. (Revised December 2012. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18909, March 2013)
- January – March 2012
- Article
Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Luis M. Viceira
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on...
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Keywords:
Bonds;
Volatility;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Interest Rates;
Inflation and Deflation;
Investment Return;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Cash Flow;
Stocks
Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
- Article
Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
This paper empirically analyzes the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) in inflation-indexed (or real) bonds and in nominal bonds in the U.S. and in the U.K. We strongly reject the EH in inflation-indexed bonds and also confirm and update the existing evidence rejecting the...
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Keywords:
TIPS;
Breakeven Inflation;
Return Predictability;
Bond Risk Premia;
Risk Management;
Bonds;
Financial Liquidity;
Inflation and Deflation;
United Kingdom;
United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis." Annual Review of Financial Economics 3 (2011): 139–158.
- 2013
- Working Paper
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence...
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Keywords:
Expectations Hypothesis;
Term Structure;
Real Interest Rate Risk;
Inflation Risk;
Inflation-Indexed Bonds;
Financial Crisis;
Inflation and Deflation;
Financial Liquidity;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
Risk and Uncertainty;
United Kingdom;
United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
- 2012
- Working Paper
Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns
By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the...
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Keywords:
Price;
Credit;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Investment Return;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Bonds;
Market Design;
Cost of Capital;
Mathematical Methods;
System Shocks
Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson. "Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-065, January 2011. (Revised September 2012, Internet Appendix Here.)
- 2010
- Chapter
The Euro as a Reserve Currency for Global Investors
By: Luis M. Viceira and Ricardo Gimeno
This article explores the demand for the euro for risk management purposes and the evidence of stock market integration in the euro area. We define a reserve currency as one that investors demand either because it helps them hedge real interest risk and inflation risk,...
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Keywords:
Volatility;
Inflation and Deflation;
Capital Markets;
Currency;
Stocks;
Financial Markets;
Financing and Loans;
Investment Return;
Investment Portfolio;
Risk Management
Viceira, Luis M., and Ricardo Gimeno. "The Euro as a Reserve Currency for Global Investors." Chap. 4 in Spain and the Euro. The First Ten Years, 149–178. Madrid, Spain: Banco de España, 2010.
- February 2010
- Article
Global Currency Hedging
By: John Y. Campbell, Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros and Luis M. Viceira
Over the period 1975 to 2005, the US dollar (particularly in relation to the Canadian dollar) and the euro and Swiss franc (particularly in the second half of the period) have moved against world equity markets. Thus these currencies should be attractive to...
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Keywords:
Currency;
Equity;
Financial Markets;
International Finance;
Investment Return;
Globalized Markets and Industries;
Risk Management
Campbell, John Y., Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros, and Luis M. Viceira. "Global Currency Hedging." Journal of Finance 65, no. 1 (February 2010): 87–121.
- July 2009 (Revised July 2009)
- Case
Delphi Corp. and the Credit Derivatives Market (A)
By: Stuart C. Gilson, Victoria Ivashina and Sarah Abbott
In 2005, Jane Bauer-Martin, a hedge fund manager, is considering what she should do with the fund's large investment in the publicly traded bonds of Delphi Corp., a financially troubled auto parts supplier. Delphi is General Motor's key auto parts supplier, and, like...
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Keywords:
Borrowing and Debt;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Credit Derivatives and Swaps;
Bonds;
Financial Management;
Risk Management
Gilson, Stuart C., Victoria Ivashina, and Sarah Abbott. "Delphi Corp. and the Credit Derivatives Market (A)." Harvard Business School Case 210-002, July 2009. (Revised July 2009.)
- 2009
- Working Paper
Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds
By: John Y. Campbell, Adi Sunderam and Luis M. Viceira
- January 2008
- Background Note
Convertible Arbitrage
By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
The goal of this simulation is to understand how convertible bonds can be viewed as a portfolio of simpler securities and to introduce an over-the-counter market. The convertible bonds that are available during the simulation are at-the-money and in-the-money so that...
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Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Convertible Arbitrage." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-116, January 2008.
- January 2008
- Background Note
Equity Derivatives
By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
The goal of these simulations is to understand the dynamic replication technique behind the Black-Scholes/Merton options model. The simulations focus on a single stock and a risk-free discount bond, which are used to replicate a contingent payoff. The underlying stock...
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Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Derivatives." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-117, January 2008.
- January 2008
- Teaching Note
Credit Risk: Valuing Risky Debt & CDOs (TN)
By: Joshua D. Coval and Erik Stafford
Teaching Note for [208111] and [208113].
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- November 2007 (Revised June 2011)
- Case
ISS A/S (A)
By: Clayton S. Rose
Provides the opportunity to examine the nature and extent of a company's responsibilities to its bondholders, and to develop an enhanced understanding of the challenges in managing contractual obligations, and circumstances under which business leaders might agree to...
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Keywords:
Risk and Uncertainty;
Bonds;
Contracts;
Private Equity;
Leveraged Buyouts;
Privatization;
Business and Stakeholder Relations;
Borrowing and Debt;
Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues;
Europe
Rose, Clayton S. "ISS A/S (A)." Harvard Business School Case 308-054, November 2007. (Revised June 2011.)
- January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
- Background Note
Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process
By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings scales and the credit rating process. In particular, describes the role and function of the rating committee and the analytical categories considered in arriving at a final sovereign credit rating.
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Keywords:
Financial Markets;
Credit;
Bonds;
Policy;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Measurement and Metrics;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Financial Services Industry
Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-027, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
- January 2004 (Revised June 2004)
- Case
Innovation at the Treasury: Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities (A)
By: Kenneth A. Froot, Peter A. Hecht and Christopher Edward James Payton
In 1997, the U.S. Treasury was deciding whether to proceed with a proposal to issue inflation-indexed bonds. This case explores the challenges facing innovation in the financial markets as the Treasury tries to determine whether to introduce Treasury...
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Keywords:
Inflation;
Innovation;
Federal Government;
Securities;
Debt Securities;
Risk Management;
Bonds;
Investment Portfolio;
Capital Markets;
Inflation and Deflation;
Government and Politics;
Innovation and Invention;
United States
Froot, Kenneth A., Peter A. Hecht, and Christopher Edward James Payton. "Innovation at the Treasury: Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities (A)." Harvard Business School Case 204-112, January 2004. (Revised June 2004.)
- February 2003 (Revised May 2003)
- Case
Mobile Energy Services Company
By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
When Al "Chainsaw" Dunlap became CEO of the Scott Paper Co., the company owned a large, vertically integrated production facility in Mobile, Alabama. Dunlap sold part of the production facility, a cogeneration power plant (later known as Mobile Energy Services Co.), to...
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Keywords:
Mergers and Acquisitions;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Contracts;
Agreements and Arrangements;
Investment;
Projects;
Vertical Integration;
Energy Sources;
Bonds;
Ownership;
Restructuring;
Energy Industry;
Alabama
Esty, Benjamin C., and Aldo Sesia. "Mobile Energy Services Company." Harvard Business School Case 203-061, February 2003. (Revised May 2003.)
- July 1997 (Revised September 1997)
- Case
USAA: Catastrophe Risk Financing
By: Kenneth A. Froot and Mark Seasholes
Describes the first major risk financing using catastrophe bonds. Provides a basis for discussing the securitization of insurance risks.
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Keywords:
Financial Management;
Insurance;
Capital Markets;
Natural Disasters;
Risk Management;
Bonds;
Insurance Industry;
Financial Services Industry;
United States
Froot, Kenneth A., and Mark Seasholes. "USAA: Catastrophe Risk Financing." Harvard Business School Case 298-007, July 1997. (Revised September 1997.)