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- All HBS Web (623)
- Faculty Publications (101)
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- All HBS Web (623)
- Faculty Publications (101)
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- 2022
- Working Paper
Heterogeneous Investors and Stock Market Fluctuations
By: Odhrain McCarthy and Sebastian Hillenbrand
We introduce a heterogeneous agent model which features extrapolative beliefs and time-varying risk aversion. The model leads to an empirical framework which we estimate with stock prices, survey data and risk aversion measures. We find that extrapolative beliefs and...
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McCarthy, Odhrain, and Sebastian Hillenbrand. "Heterogeneous Investors and Stock Market Fluctuations." Working Paper, January 2022.
- 23 Jan 2023
- Research & Ideas
After High-Profile Failures, Can Investors Still Trust Credit Ratings?
“soft” adjustments, analysts give an opinion about the “ability and willingness” of the issuer to repay investors who purchase debt securities, according to Standard & Poor’s. Major credit rating agencies include Moody’s and Fitch....
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by Ben Rand
- 2020
- Working Paper
How ESG Issues Become Financially Material to Corporations and Their Investors
By: George Serafeim
Management and disclosure of environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues have received substantial interest over the last decade. In this paper, we outline a framework of how ESG issues become financially material, affecting corporate profitability and valuation....
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Keywords:
Materiality;
ESG;
Pharmaceutical Companies;
Business Ethics;
Sustainability;
Environment;
Disclosure;
Disclosure And Access;
Regulation;
Social Impact;
Environmental Sustainability;
Social Issues;
Corporate Governance;
Ethics;
Corporate Disclosure;
Corporate Accountability;
Resource Allocation;
Finance;
Accounting;
Valuation
Freiberg, David, Jean Rogers, and George Serafeim. "How ESG Issues Become Financially Material to Corporations and Their Investors." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-056, November 2019. (Revised November 2020.)
- 28 Mar 2018
- Research & Ideas
Sophisticated Investors May Be Harming Fintech Lending Platforms
iPhoto Marketplace lending platforms such as LendingClub and Prosper have made significant competitive inroads against traditional banks in recent years by bringing together people who want to borrow with investors ready to bankroll them....
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- 02 Aug 2006
- Research & Ideas
Investor Protection: The Czech Experience
not just in (what is now) the Czech Republic, but also in any country that lacks strong institutions and investor protections. As HBS professor Mihir A. Desai and the Monitor Group's Alberto Moel explain in the Review of Finance, in their...
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- 17 Aug 2023
- Research & Ideas
‘Not a Bunch of Weirdos’: Why Mainstream Investors Buy Crypto
ability to examine financial information and the decisions of crypto and non-crypto investors to make comparisons. The breadth of the data also allowed the team to compare crypto investing behavior to...
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by Ben Rand
- 2005
- Working Paper
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by studying...
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Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10449, April 2005. (First draft in 2003.)
- February 2001
- Article
The Portfolio Flows of International Investors
By: K. A. Froot, P. O'Connell and M. Seasholes
Keywords:
Asset Pricing;
Equity Investment;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Behavioral Finance;
Stocks;
Investment Return;
Market Transactions;
Performance Expectations;
Personal Characteristics;
Financial Services Industry
Froot, K. A., P. O'Connell, and M. Seasholes. "The Portfolio Flows of International Investors." Journal of Financial Economics 59, no. 2 (February 2001): 151–193. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 6687 and HBS Working No. Paper 99-006, July 1998. Summarized in the NBER Reporter, 2000. Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003.)
- Second Quarter 2008
- Article
How Does Investor Sentiment Affect the Cross-Section of Returns
By: Malcolm Baker, Johnathan Wang and Jeffrey Wurgler
Broad waves of investor sentiment should have larger impacts on securities that are more difficult to value and to arbitrage. Consistent with this intuition, we find that when an index of investor sentiment takes low values, small, young, high volatility,...
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Baker, Malcolm, Johnathan Wang, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "How Does Investor Sentiment Affect the Cross-Section of Returns." Journal of Investment Management 6, no. 2 (Second Quarter 2008): 57–72.
- December 2016
- Article
Industry Window Dressing
By: Huaizhi Chen, Lauren Cohen and Dong Lou
We explore a new mechanism by which investors take correlated shortcuts and present evidence that managers undertake actions—in the form of sales management—to take advantage of these shortcuts. Specifically, we exploit a regulatory provision wherein a firm’s primary...
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Keywords:
Investor Shortcuts;
Industry Classification;
Opportunistic Managerial Behavior;
Discontinuity;
Management Practices and Processes;
Investment;
Sales
Chen, Huaizhi, Lauren Cohen, and Dong Lou. "Industry Window Dressing." Review of Financial Studies 29, no. 12 (December 2016): 3354–3393.
- August 2006
- Article
Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by...
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Keywords:
Behavioral Finance;
Stocks;
Investment Return;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Motivation and Incentives;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Volatility
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1645–1680.
- 2021
- Working Paper
Once Bitten, Twice Shy: Learning from Corporate Fraud and Corporate Governance Spillovers
By: Trung Nguyen
This paper finds that investors learn from their experience with corporate fraud and financial misconduct and modify their investment behavior to avoid suspicious firms and increase corporate governance efforts. More specially, mutual funds that experienced corporate...
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Keywords:
Institutional Investors;
Investor Experience;
Shareholder Voting;
Corporate Fraud;
Corporate Governance;
Institutional Investing;
Behavior;
Change;
Learning
Nguyen, Trung. "Once Bitten, Twice Shy: Learning from Corporate Fraud and Corporate Governance Spillovers." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-135, June 2021.
- 17 Aug 2012
- Working Paper Summaries
Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach
Keywords:
by Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler
- May 2007
- Article
Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance
By: Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval and Jeremy Stein
We explore the consequences for corporate financial policy that arise when investors exhibit inertial behavior. One implication of investor inertia is that, all else equal, a firm pursuing a strategy of equity-financed growth will prefer a stock-for-stock merger to...
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Baker, Malcolm, Joshua Coval, and Jeremy Stein. "Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance." Journal of Financial Economics 84, no. 2 (May 2007): 266–298.
- 2005
- Other Unpublished Work
Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance
By: Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval and Jeremy Stein
We explore the consequences for corporate financial policy that arise when investors exhibit inertial behavior. One implication of investor inertia is that, all else equal, a firm pursuing a strategy of equity-financed growth will prefer a stock-for-stock merger to...
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Keywords:
Decisions;
Behavior;
Stocks;
Mergers and Acquisitions;
Policy;
Investment;
Financial Institutions;
Equity;
Corporate Finance
Baker, Malcolm, Joshua Coval, and Jeremy Stein. "Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
- February 2005
- Article
Financial Analyst Characteristics and Herding Behavior in Forecasting
By: Michael B. Clement and Senyo Tse
This study classifies analysts' earnings forecasts as herding or bold and finds that (1) boldness likelihood increases with the analyst's prior accuracy, brokerage size, and experience and declines with the number of industries the analyst follows, consistent with...
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Keywords:
Experience and Expertise;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Performance Evaluation;
Financial Services Industry
Clement, Michael B., and Senyo Tse. "Financial Analyst Characteristics and Herding Behavior in Forecasting." Journal of Finance 60, no. 1 (February 2005): 307–341.
- 03 Nov 2003
- What Do You Think?
Can Investors Have Too Much Accounting Transparency?
Summing Up Basic conclusions that can be drawn from responses to this month's column are that it may or may not be useful to try to legislate accounting transparency. But such efforts address symptoms, not causes, of behaviors leading to...
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by James Heskett
- March 2016
- Article
Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach
By: Malcolm Baker, Brock Mendel and Jeffrey Wurgler
We outline a dividend signaling model that features investors who are averse to dividend cuts. Managers with strong unobservable cash earnings separate by paying high dividends but retain enough to be likely not to fall short next period. The model is consistent with a...
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Keywords:
Investment
Baker, Malcolm, Brock Mendel, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach." Review of Financial Studies 29, no. 3 (March 2016): 697–738.
- June 2005
- Article
Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows
By: K. A. Froot and T. Ramadorai
Keywords:
Currencies;
Exchange Rates;
Purchasing Power Parity;
Real Exchange Rate;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Behavioral Finance;
Investment Return;
Market Transactions;
Performance Expectations;
Personal Characteristics;
Asset Pricing;
Financial Services Industry
Froot, K. A., and T. Ramadorai. "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows." Journal of Finance 60, no. 3 (June 2005): 1535–1566. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9101, August 2002 and Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 04-036, December 2003.)
- Article
How Institutional Investors Frame Their Losses: Evidence on Dynamic Loss Aversion from Currency Portfolios
By: Kenneth A. Froot, John Arabadjis, Sonya Cates and Stephen Lawrence
Currency investors exhibit a tendency to cut risk by pairing both longs and shorts following losses and a weaker tendency to add risk following gains. By differentiating between position level, portfolio level, and aggregate cross-portfolio losses in currency...
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Keywords:
Loss Aversion;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Currency;
Investment;
Risk Management;
Behavioral Finance
Froot, Kenneth A., John Arabadjis, Sonya Cates, and Stephen Lawrence. "How Institutional Investors Frame Their Losses: Evidence on Dynamic Loss Aversion from Currency Portfolios." Journal of Portfolio Management 38, no. 1 (Fall 2011): 60–68.