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- All HBS Web (113)
- Faculty Publications (44)
- 22 Jul 2014
- First Look
First Look: July 22
restatements can represent an absence of errors, it can also indicate a lack of detection and disclosure of errors and irregularities. We infer the magnitude of detection and disclosure by associating the frequency of restatements with...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 19 Jun 2007
- First Look
First Look: June 19, 2007
using these forecast errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand...
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Martha Lagace
- 01 Apr 2000
- News
Books
overseas. Although it is questionable whether the industry can continue to grow at the same pace as in recent years, the authors predict that venture capital firms will be "an enduring feature on the global economic landscape in the years...
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Amy E. Dean
- 28 Sep 2010
- First Look
First Look: September 28, 2010
"lean," capacity-constrained firms. As demand varies, the industry switches between symmetric and asymmetric phases, generating predictions for firm size and costs across the business cycle. Surprisingly, increasing available...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 17 Apr 2007
- First Look
First Look: April 17, 2007
system with periodic review, constant leadtimes, infinite supply, full backlogging, linear holding and penalty costs and no ordering costs. Forecasting ARIMA time series requires tracking forecast errors (interpolations) and using these...
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Martha Lagace
- 29 Mar 2011
- First Look
First Look: March 29
creates three kinds of traps that often impede deep learning. The first is attribution error or the tendency to see superior performance as rooted in one's actions rather than other factors (such as luck). The second is that success feeds...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 25 Jan 2011
- First Look
First Look: Jan. 25
Organizational Learning from Error Authors:Lucy H. MacPhail and Amy C. Edmondson Publication:In Errors in Organizations, edited by D. Hoffman and M. Frese. Routledge, forthcoming An abstract is not available...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 23 Sep 2008
- First Look
First Look: September 23, 2008
occurs within a particular social category line (e.g., recipients are all Americans) or across social category lines (e.g., recipients are American and French). Studies 1 and 2 predicted and found that individuals tended to maximize such...
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Martha Lagace
- 02 Oct 2013
- What Do You Think?
Is Leadership an Increasingly Difficult Balancing Act?
McDonald of Procter & Gamble and the company's shift to more emphasis on digital media as an example, commented that "it is possible to allow experimentation trial and error without the CEO looking foolish because he or she does...
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by James Heskett
- 10 Nov 2015
- First Look
November 10, 2015
valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of operations and predicts the...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Jan 2008
- First Look
First Look: January 8, 2008
of options in the future and their subsequent revealed preferences over those options. Using a novel panel data set, we analyze the film rental and return patterns of a sample of online DVD rental customers over a period of four months. We View Details
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Martha Lagace
- 19 Aug 2008
- First Look
First Look: August 19, 2008
errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). So-called optimal inventory policies are categorized here by perceptions of demand that align with reality. Naturally then,...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 30 Mar 2010
- First Look
First Look: March 30
people believe the risk decreases (negative recency) but at the same time exhibit more cautious behavior (positive recency). The rest of the difference is consistent with two well established mechanisms: judgment error and the use of...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 31 Jan 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research: January 31, 2017
whether review times or product novelty predicted adverse event reporting. Longer review times were associated with a lower probability of any subsequent reports and a lower probability of reports involving injury/death. Controlling for...
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Carmen Nobel
- 26 May 2015
- First Look
First Look: May 26
health care professionals, physicians are challenged to minimize the likelihood of errors that could harm patients while simultaneously making efforts to understand the causes of illnesses and develop better ways to prevent, treat, and...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 01 May 2007
- First Look
First Look: May 1, 2007
subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement error and endogeneity. Exploiting a new comprehensive industry-level data set of 29...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Oct 2013
- First Look
First Look: October 8
use a new dataset on industry-level targeting to analyze quality FDI based on the subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement View Details
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Sean Silverthorne
- 01 Mar 2004
- Lessons from the Classroom
Mission to Mars: It Really Is Rocket Science
one in which your product had to operate 100 million miles from Earth and perform under a range of conditions which were hard to predict in advance), it was impossible to know up front exactly what form a faster, better, cheaper approach...
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by Sean Silverthorne
- 11 Feb 2014
- First Look
First Look: February 11
market transactions. Theoretical predictions of a model of household division and land transactions are successfully tested using household panel data from West Bengal spanning 1967-2004. The tenancy reform lowered inequality through its...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 04 Dec 2007
- First Look
First Look: December 4, 2007
belief that one can talk about errors without risk of punishment—and problem-solving efficacy—the belief that the organization will support employees' system improvement efforts—were positively correlated with frontline system improvement...
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Martha Lagace