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All HBS Web
(579)
- Faculty Publications (84)
- April 2020
- Article
Field Comparisons of Incentive-Compatible Preference Elicitation Techniques
By: Shawn A. Cole, A. Nilesh Fernando, Daniel Stein and Jeremy Tobacman
Knowledge of consumer demand is important for firms, policy makers, and economists. One common tool for incentive-compatible demand elicitation, the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (BDM) mechanism, has been widely used in laboratory settings but rarely evaluated for...
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Keywords:
Incentive-compatible Elicitation;
Experimental Methods;
Weather Insurance;
Rainfall Insurance;
Agricultural Extension;
Demand and Consumers
Cole, Shawn A., A. Nilesh Fernando, Daniel Stein, and Jeremy Tobacman. "Field Comparisons of Incentive-Compatible Preference Elicitation Techniques." Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 172 (April 2020): 33–56.
- 2020
- Case
Brightline: Targeting a Successful Future with High Speed Rail
High-speed rail (HSR) is a high-performance transportation technology that is time competitive with airplanes and automobiles, and is an environmentally preferable alternative due to its low carbon dioxide emissions. Brightline is a Florida HSR system in Phase II of...
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Hoffman, Andrew J. "Brightline: Targeting a Successful Future with High Speed Rail." William Davidson Institute Case 2-982-867, 2020.
- August 2019
- Article
When and How to Diversify—A Multicategory Utility Model for Personalized Content Recommendation
By: Yicheng Song, Nachiketa Sahoo and Elie Ofek
Sometimes we desire change, a break from the same or an opportunity to fulfill different aspects of our needs. Noting that consumers seek variety, several approaches have been developed to diversify items recommended by personalized recommender systems. However,...
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Keywords:
Recommender Systems;
Personalization;
Recommendation Diversity;
Variety Seeking;
Collaborative Filtering;
Consumer Utility Models;
Digital Media;
Clickstream Analysis;
Learning-to-rank;
Consumer Behavior;
Media;
Customization and Personalization;
Strategy;
Mathematical Methods
Song, Yicheng, Nachiketa Sahoo, and Elie Ofek. "When and How to Diversify—A Multicategory Utility Model for Personalized Content Recommendation." Management Science 65, no. 8 (August 2019): 3737–3757.
- 2023
- Working Paper
The Customer Journey as a Source of Information
By: Nicolas Padilla, Eva Ascarza and Oded Netzer
In the face of heightened data privacy concerns and diminishing third-party data access,
firms are placing increased emphasis on first-party data (1PD) for marketing decisions.
However, in environments with infrequent purchases, reliance on past purchases 1PD...
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Keywords:
Customer Journey;
Privacy;
Consumer Behavior;
Analytics and Data Science;
AI and Machine Learning;
Customer Focus and Relationships
Padilla, Nicolas, Eva Ascarza, and Oded Netzer. "The Customer Journey as a Source of Information." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-035, October 2023. (Revised October 2023.)
- March 2019
- Case
HOPI: Turkey's Shopping Companion
By: Sunil Gupta, Donald Ngwe and Gamze Yucaoglu
The case opens in 2017 as Onur Erbay, CEO of HOPI, a multi-vendor loyalty platform, is contemplating a critical decision. The case chronicles the origins of Boyner Group, the parent company of HOPI and a major retailer in Turkey, and development of retail and customer...
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Keywords:
Loyalty Programs;
Multi-vendor Platform;
Retail;
Big Data;
Customer Relationship Management;
Mobile and Wireless Technology;
Business Model;
Analytics and Data Science;
Competitive Strategy;
Decision Making;
Applications and Software;
Digital Platforms;
Technology Industry;
Retail Industry;
Turkey
Gupta, Sunil, Donald Ngwe, and Gamze Yucaoglu. "HOPI: Turkey's Shopping Companion." Harvard Business School Case 519-057, March 2019.
- 2020
- Working Paper
Overcoming the Cold Start Problem of CRM Using a Probabilistic Machine Learning Approach
By: Eva Ascarza
The success of Customer Relationship Management (CRM) programs ultimately depends on the firm's ability to understand consumers' preferences and precisely capture how these preferences may differ across customers. Only by understanding customer heterogeneity, firms can...
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Keywords:
Customer Management;
Targeting;
Deep Exponential Families;
Probabilistic Machine Learning;
Cold Start Problem;
Customer Relationship Management;
Customer Value and Value Chain;
Consumer Behavior;
Analytics and Data Science;
Mathematical Methods;
Retail Industry
Padilla, Nicolas, and Eva Ascarza. "Overcoming the Cold Start Problem of CRM Using a Probabilistic Machine Learning Approach." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-091, February 2019. (Revised May 2020. Accepted at the Journal of Marketing Research.)
- 2022
- Working Paper
A Preference for Revision Absent Objective Improvement
By: Ximena Garcia-Rada, Leslie K. John, Ed O’Brien and Michael I. Norton
From downloading never-ending updates to tracking ever-newer releases, consumers today are surrounded by revised offerings that purport to have improved upon what was previously available. Although revising things often makes them better, the current research reveals...
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Keywords:
Product Change;
Versioning;
Expectancy Effects;
Heuristics;
Intuitive Processing;
Product Marketing;
Change;
Perception;
Consumer Behavior
Garcia-Rada, Ximena, Leslie K. John, Ed O’Brien, and Michael I. Norton. "A Preference for Revision Absent Objective Improvement." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-087, February 2019. (Revised February 2022. Revise and resubmit, Journal of Marketing Research.)
- August 2018
- Article
The Effect of Graphic Warnings on Sugary-Drink Purchasing
By: Grant Donnelly, Laura Y. Zatz, Daniel Svirsky and Leslie John
Governments have proposed text warning labels to decrease consumption of sugary drinks – a contributor to chronic diseases like diabetes. However, they may be less effective than more evocative, graphic warning labels. We field-tested the effectiveness of graphic...
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Keywords:
Policy Making;
Preferences;
Food;
Health;
Policy;
Information;
Labels;
Consumer Behavior;
Decision Making;
Performance Effectiveness
Donnelly, Grant, Laura Y. Zatz, Daniel Svirsky, and Leslie John. "The Effect of Graphic Warnings on Sugary-Drink Purchasing." Psychological Science 29, no. 8 (August 2018): 1321–1333.
- 2024
- Working Paper
Economic Integration and the Transmission of Democracy
By: Marco Tabellini and Giacomo Magistretti
In this paper, we study the effects of economic integration with democratic partners
on democracy. We assemble a large country-level panel dataset from 1960 to 2015, and
exploit improvements in air, relative to sea, transportation to derive a time-varying
instrument...
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Keywords:
Democratization;
Institutional Development;
Economic Integration;
International Trade;
Democracy;
Political Preferences;
Institutions;
Trade;
Global Range;
Economics;
Government and Politics
Tabellini, Marco, and Giacomo Magistretti. "Economic Integration and the Transmission of Democracy." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-003, July 2018. (Revised March 2024. Available also from VOX, VOXEU, Atlantico, The Economist, Domani, and Ideas for India. Longer NBER working paper version available here. Conditionally accepted at the Review of Economic Studies.)
- Article
Brand (In)fidelity: When Flirting with the Competition Strengthens Brand Relationships
By: Irene Consiglio, Daniella Kupor, Francesca Gino and Michael I. Norton
We document the existence and consequences of brand flirting: a short-lived experience in which a consumer engages with and/or indulges in the alluring qualities of a brand without committing to it. We propose that brand flirting is exciting and that when consumers...
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Consiglio, Irene, Daniella Kupor, Francesca Gino, and Michael I. Norton. "Brand (In)fidelity: When Flirting with the Competition Strengthens Brand Relationships." Journal of Consumer Psychology 28, no. 1 (January 2018): 5–22.
- November 2017
- Teaching Note
Predicting Consumer Tastes with Big Data at Gap
By: Ayelet Israeli and Jill Avery
CEO Art Peck was eliminating his creative directors for The Gap, Old Navy, and Banana Republic brands and promoting a collective creative ecosystem fueled by the input of big data. Rather than relying on artistic vision, Peck wanted the company to use the mining of big...
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Keywords:
Brands;
Brand & Product Management;
Big Data;
"Marketing Analytics";
Consumer Behavior;
Predictive Analytics;
Forecasting;
Preferences;
Operation Management;
Distribution Channels;
Marketing;
Marketing Channels;
Marketing Strategy;
Brands and Branding;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Data and Data Sets;
Retail Industry;
Fashion Industry;
Apparel and Accessories Industry;
United States;
North America
- November–December 2017
- Article
Match Your Own Price? Self-Matching as a Retailer's Multichannel Pricing Strategy
By: Pavel Kireyev, Vineet Kumar and Elie Ofek
Multichannel retailing has created several new strategic choices for retailers. With respect to pricing, an important decision is whether to offer a “self-matching policy,” which allows a multichannel retailer to offer the lowest of its online and store prices to...
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Keywords:
Price Self-matching;
Multichannel Retailing;
Pricing Strategy;
Online Shopping;
Omnichannel;
Price Discrimination;
Price;
Strategy;
Competitive Strategy
Kireyev, Pavel, Vineet Kumar, and Elie Ofek. "Match Your Own Price? Self-Matching as a Retailer's Multichannel Pricing Strategy." Marketing Science 36, no. 6 (November–December 2017): 908–930.
- August 2017 (Revised March 2020)
- Case
Flex Hungary: Launching Production (A)
By: Willy Shih
This case examines design choices in the construction of flow lines. Flow lines are a popular way of arranging production because they are simple and inherently efficient. Equipment or workstations are arranged according to the sequence of steps in which a product is...
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Keywords:
Manufacturing;
Line-balancing;
Flow Line;
Conveyor-paced Line;
Consumer Goods;
Consumer Products;
Production Management;
Production Planning;
Production Scheduling;
Operations;
Production;
Management;
Supply Chain;
Design;
Analysis;
Goods and Commodities;
Consumer Products Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
European Union
Shih, Willy. "Flex Hungary: Launching Production (A)." Harvard Business School Case 618-002, August 2017. (Revised March 2020.)
- Summer 2017
- Article
Measuring Consumer Preferences for Video Content Provision via Cord-Cutting Behavior
By: Jeffrey Prince and Shane Greenstein
The television industry is undergoing a generational shift in structure; however, many demand-side determinants are still not well understood. We model how consumers choose video content provision among over-the-air (OTA), paid subscription to cable or satellite, and...
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Keywords:
Information Technology;
Service Delivery;
Consumer Behavior;
Television Entertainment;
Service Industry;
Media and Broadcasting Industry
Prince, Jeffrey, and Shane Greenstein. "Measuring Consumer Preferences for Video Content Provision via Cord-Cutting Behavior." Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 26, no. 2 (Summer 2017): 293–317.
- May 2017 (Revised March 2018)
- Case
Predicting Consumer Tastes with Big Data at Gap
By: Ayelet Israeli and Jill Avery
CEO Art Peck was eliminating his creative directors for The Gap, Old Navy, and Banana Republic brands and promoting a collective creative ecosystem fueled by the input of big data. Rather than relying on artistic vision, Peck wanted the company to use the mining of big...
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Keywords:
Retailing;
Preference Elicitation;
Big Data;
Predictive Analytics;
Artificial Intelligence;
Fashion;
Marketing;
Marketing Strategy;
Marketing Channels;
Brands and Branding;
Consumer Behavior;
Demand and Consumers;
Analytics and Data Science;
Forecasting and Prediction;
E-commerce;
Consumer Products Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
United States;
Canada;
North America
Israeli, Ayelet, and Jill Avery. "Predicting Consumer Tastes with Big Data at Gap." Harvard Business School Case 517-115, May 2017. (Revised March 2018.)
- December 2016 (Revised March 2017)
- Case
Beingmate
By: David E. Bell, Juan Ma and Natalie Kindred
Founded in 2002, Hangzhou, China–based Beingmate was a major producer of infant formula and related products in the high-demand Chinese market. After an infamous 2008 food safety episode in China, in which toxic infant formula sickened thousands of babies and led to...
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Keywords:
Marketing Strategy;
Competitive Strategy;
Partners and Partnerships;
Food and Beverage Industry;
China
Bell, David E., Juan Ma, and Natalie Kindred. "Beingmate." Harvard Business School Case 517-050, December 2016. (Revised March 2017.)
- August 2016
- Article
The Role of (Dis)similarity in (Mis)predicting Others' Preferences
By: Kate Barasz, Tami Kim and Leslie K. John
Consumers readily indicate liking options that appear dissimilar—for example, enjoying both rustic lake vacations and chic city vacations or liking both scholarly documentary films and action-packed thrillers. However, when predicting other consumers’ tastes for the...
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Keywords:
Perceived Similarity;
Prediction Error;
Preference Prediction;
Self-other Difference;
Social Inference;
Cognition and Thinking;
Perception;
Forecasting and Prediction
Barasz, Kate, Tami Kim, and Leslie K. John. "The Role of (Dis)similarity in (Mis)predicting Others' Preferences." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 53, no. 4 (August 2016): 597–607.
- June 2016
- Case
Macy's Reinvents Its Millennial Business
By: Boris Groysberg and Sarah L. Abbott
Molly Langenstein, Macy’s executive vice president for fashion and new business development, and members of Macy’s senior team were rethinking the company’s approach to serving millennial customers, customers born between the years of 1980 and 2000. To tackle this...
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Keywords:
Marketing;
Marketing Strategy;
Age;
Organizational Structure;
Organizational Culture;
Business Processes;
Fashion Industry;
Retail Industry
Groysberg, Boris, and Sarah L. Abbott. "Macy's Reinvents Its Millennial Business." Harvard Business School Case 416-020, June 2016.
- June 2016 (Revised March 2017)
- Case
Global Wine War 2015: New World Versus Old
By: Christopher A. Bartlett and Sarah McAra
This case contrasts the tradition-bound Old World wine industry with the market-oriented New World producers in the battle for the Chinese wine market in 2015. China’s wine consumption growth presented a large and fast-growing export target that was extremely...
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Keywords:
Competitive Advantage;
Government Regulation;
Industry Analysis;
International Business;
International Marketing;
Market Entry;
Exports;
Business And Government Relations;
China;
Europe;
France;
Australia;
Trade;
Global Strategy;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Consumer Behavior;
Market Entry and Exit;
Competition;
Food and Beverage Industry;
France;
Europe;
Australia;
China
Bartlett, Christopher A., and Sarah McAra. "Global Wine War 2015: New World Versus Old." Harvard Business School Case 916-415, June 2016. (Revised March 2017.)
- 2015
- Working Paper
Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration
By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William Kerr
The propagation of macroeconomic shocks through input-output and geographic networks can be a powerful driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. We first exposit that in the presence of Cobb-Douglas production functions and consumer preferences there is a specific pattern...
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Keywords:
Economic Fluctuations;
Geographic Collocation;
Input-output Linkages;
Propagation;
Shocks;
Networks;
Fluctuation;
System Shocks;
Macroeconomics
Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-006, July 2015.