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- All HBS Web (152)
- Faculty Publications (43)
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- All HBS Web (152)
- Faculty Publications (43)
- Web
2018 Financial Risk and Regulation Survey - Behavioral Finance & Financial Stability
2018 Financial Risk and Regulation Survey 2018 Financial Risk and Regulation Survey 1. Survey Background In October of 2018, Harvard Business School hosted The Global Financial Crisis: What We Learned, Where...
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- 2024
- Working Paper
Transitory and Permanent Cash Flow Shocks in Debt Contract Design
By: Le Ma, Anywhere Sikochi and Yajun Xiao
We examine how lenders design contracts to account for transitory and permanent cash flow shocks facing borrowers. We find that volatile transitory cash flow shocks are associated with fewer liquidity covenants, indicating financial flexibility that enables firms to...
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Keywords:
Debt Covenants;
Cash Flow Shocks;
Debt Contracting;
Likelihood Of Default;
Cash Flow;
System Shocks
Ma, Le, Anywhere Sikochi, and Yajun Xiao. "Transitory and Permanent Cash Flow Shocks in Debt Contract Design." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-026, October 2021. (Revised February 2024.)
- May 2005 (Revised November 2005)
- Background Note
Note on Credit Derivatives
Provides the basic underlying model for credit risk analysis, as well as covers basic credit risk derivatives, such as asset swaps, credit default swaps, total return of rate swaps, and credit spread options.
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Chacko, George C., Peter A. Hecht, Anders Sjoman, and Kate Hao. "Note on Credit Derivatives." Harvard Business School Background Note 205-111, May 2005. (Revised November 2005.)
- October 2014 (Revised April 2018)
- Supplement
Creditor Activism in Sovereign Debt: Argentina vs. Holdout Investors (B)
By: Laura Alfaro, Gaurav Toshniwal and Hilary White
Keywords:
Argentina;
Debt;
Debt Crisis;
Debt Markets;
Debt Repayment;
Debt Restructuring;
Government Bonds;
Government Debt;
Law;
Default;
Sovereign Debt;
Sovereign Debt Crisis;
Hedge Fund;
Hedge Funds;
Strategy;
Bonds;
Bond Risk;
Debt Management;
Borrowing and Debt;
Governance;
Macroeconomics;
Economics;
Economy;
Government Legislation;
Argentina;
Latin America;
United States
Alfaro, Laura, Gaurav Toshniwal, and Hilary White. "Creditor Activism in Sovereign Debt: Argentina vs. Holdout Investors (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 715-017, October 2014. (Revised April 2018.)
- Research Summary
Overview
Professor Schreger studies international finance and macroeconomics, with an emphasis on sovereign debt. Following a series of sovereign debt crises in the 1980s and 1990s, which caused defaults among emerging markets governments on their foreign currency obligations,...
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- 13 Oct 2013
- News
Debt ceiling maneuvering threatens economy, analysts say
- Research Summary
Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal? (with Fabio Kanczuk)
By: Laura Alfaro
We model and calibrate the arguments in favor and against short-term and long-term debt. These arguments broadly include: maturity-term premium, tax smoothing, rolling over risk and the cost from defaulting. We use a dynamic equilibrium model with tax distortion,...
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- March 2005
- Article
Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Finance;
Borrowing and Debt;
Interest Rates;
Balance and Stability;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Risk Management;
Mathematical Methods;
Management Style;
Segmentation;
Debt Securities;
Banking Industry
Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
- May 1991 (Revised December 1994)
- Case
State of Connecticut Municipal Swap
By: Andre F. Perold
The state of Connecticut wants to raise $325 million of long-term fixed-rate debt. One alternative is to do this synthetically--issue long-term variable rate debt and enter into an interest rate swap. The case is a vehicle for analyzing various floating rate structures...
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Keywords:
Borrowing and Debt;
Credit Derivatives and Swaps;
Interest Rates;
Taxation;
Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques;
Risk and Uncertainty;
New England
Perold, Andre F. "State of Connecticut Municipal Swap." Harvard Business School Case 291-024, May 1991. (Revised December 1994.)
- July 2021 (Revised December 2021)
- Case
Pershing Square's Pandemic Trade (A)
By: Emil N. Siriwardane, Luis M. Viceira, Dean Xu and Lucas Baker
This case explores the decision that Bill Ackman, CEO and founder of the hedge fund Pershing Square Capital, was considering in late February 2020 about hedging the exposure of the fund’s portfolio from the potential financial fallout ensuing from an extreme event like...
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Keywords:
Health Pandemics;
Financial Liquidity;
Cost Management;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Risk Management
Siriwardane, Emil N., Luis M. Viceira, Dean Xu, and Lucas Baker. "Pershing Square's Pandemic Trade (A)." Harvard Business School Case 222-007, July 2021. (Revised December 2021.)
- May 2007 (Revised July 2007)
- Case
JetBlue: Prepare for Financing
The CFO of JetBlue is trying to decide which of two financing proposals to pursue. A straight equity issue will dilute his principal shareholders' ownership, but seems like the safer alternative in an industry that is notorious for its high failure rate. On the other...
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Keywords:
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Private Equity;
Public Equity;
Financing and Loans;
Air Transportation Industry;
United States
El-Hage, Nabil N., Darren Robert Smart, and Christopher Edward James Payton. "JetBlue: Prepare for Financing." Harvard Business School Case 207-061, May 2007. (Revised July 2007.)
- 20 Jan 2009
- Research & Ideas
Risky Business with Structured Finance
that are largely diversifiable for risks that are highly systematic, or linked to events in the economy. As a result, ratings of structured finance products, which make no distinction between the different sources of View Details
- 15 Nov 2017
- HBS Seminar
William Mann, UCLA Anderson
- March 2016 (Revised October 2023)
- Case
Central European Distribution Corporation: Hostile Takeover, Bankruptcy Makeover
By: Stuart C. Gilson and Sarah L. Abbott
In early 2013, Central European Distribution Corporation (CEDC), a large publicly traded producer and distributer of vodka and spirits in Eastern and Central Europe, has suffered significant declines in its financial performance, is at risk of defaulting on its debt,...
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Keywords:
Hostile Takeover;
Accounting Restatement;
Activist Shareholder;
Restructuring;
Mergers and Acquisitions;
Financial Statements;
Corporate Governance;
Investment Activism;
Distribution Industry;
Food and Beverage Industry;
United States;
Russia;
Europe
Gilson, Stuart C., and Sarah L. Abbott. "Central European Distribution Corporation: Hostile Takeover, Bankruptcy Makeover." Harvard Business School Case 216-059, March 2016. (Revised October 2023.)
- 23 Jan 2023
- Research & Ideas
After High-Profile Failures, Can Investors Still Trust Credit Ratings?
risk is reflected in the company?” Analyzing thousands of ratings, the researchers show that the credit rating agencies are becoming more skeptical in evaluating higher-risk debt issues, slashing missed View Details
Keywords:
by Ben Rand
- July 2009 (Revised July 2009)
- Case
Delphi Corp. and the Credit Derivatives Market (A)
By: Stuart C. Gilson, Victoria Ivashina and Sarah Abbott
In 2005, Jane Bauer-Martin, a hedge fund manager, is considering what she should do with the fund's large investment in the publicly traded bonds of Delphi Corp., a financially troubled auto parts supplier. Delphi is General Motor's key auto parts supplier, and, like...
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Keywords:
Borrowing and Debt;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Credit Derivatives and Swaps;
Bonds;
Financial Management;
Risk Management
Gilson, Stuart C., Victoria Ivashina, and Sarah Abbott. "Delphi Corp. and the Credit Derivatives Market (A)." Harvard Business School Case 210-002, July 2009. (Revised July 2009.)
- October 2018
- Case
African Bank Investments Limited (A)
By: Lynn S. Paine and Will Hurwitz
Less than a year after joining the board of African Bank Investments Limited (ABIL), the newest director finds himself in difficult discussions with other directors about removing the struggling company’s CEO. The case is set in South Africa in mid-2014 as shares in...
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Keywords:
Ethics;
Personal Finance;
Corporate Accountability;
Governing and Advisory Boards;
Corporate Governance;
Crisis Management;
Insurance;
Leadership;
Management;
Risk Management;
Banking Industry;
Financial Services Industry;
Insurance Industry;
Africa;
South Africa
Paine, Lynn S., and Will Hurwitz. "African Bank Investments Limited (A)." Harvard Business School Case 319-052, October 2018.
- Article
Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
We model and calibrate the arguments in favor and against short-term and long-term debt. These arguments broadly include: maturity premium, sustainability, and service smoothing. We use a dynamic equilibrium model with tax distortions and government...
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Keywords:
Borrowing and Debt;
Investment Return;
Development Economics;
Taxation;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Cost;
Interest Rates;
Developing Countries and Economies;
Welfare;
United States;
Brazil
Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?" Review of International Economics 17, no. 5 (November 2009): 890–905. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 06-005 and NBER Working Paper No. 13119.)
- 21 Nov 2022
- Research & Ideas
Buy Now, Pay Later: How Retail's Hot Feature Hurts Low-Income Shoppers
curbing spending habits just as the number of defaults on BNPL loans creep higher. Add in a potential recession and the authors question whether the model might prove to be riskier for consumers, investors, and retailers in the future....
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- 11 Mar 2008
- Working Paper Summaries