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- All HBS Web (415)
- Faculty Publications (148)
Show Results For
- All HBS Web (415)
- Faculty Publications (148)
- 2024
- Working Paper
Transitory and Permanent Cash Flow Shocks in Debt Contract Design
By: Le Ma, Anywhere Sikochi and Yajun Xiao
We examine how lenders design contracts to account for transitory and permanent cash flow shocks facing borrowers. We find that volatile transitory cash flow shocks are associated with fewer liquidity covenants, indicating financial flexibility that enables firms to...
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Keywords:
Debt Covenants;
Cash Flow Shocks;
Debt Contracting;
Likelihood Of Default;
Cash Flow;
System Shocks
Ma, Le, Anywhere Sikochi, and Yajun Xiao. "Transitory and Permanent Cash Flow Shocks in Debt Contract Design." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-026, October 2021. (Revised February 2024. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Conditional Accept.)
- 1990
- Book
Market-Based Debt Reduction for Developing Countries: Principles and Prospects
By: K. Froot, S. Claessens, I. Diwan and P. Krugman
Keywords:
Debt Reduction;
Chapter 7;
Default;
Debt Restructuring;
Sovereign Debt;
Debt Crisis;
Borrowing and Debt
Froot, K., S. Claessens, I. Diwan, and P. Krugman. Market-Based Debt Reduction for Developing Countries: Principles and Prospects. Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1990.
- Article
CDS Trading and Nonrelationship Lending Dynamics
By: Jung Koo Kang, Christopher Williams and Regina Wittenberg-Moerman
We investigate how credit default swaps (CDSs) affect lenders’ incentives to initiate new lending relationships. We predict that CDSs reduce adverse selection that nonrelationship lead arrangers face when competing for loans. Consistently, we find that a loan is...
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Keywords:
Credit Default Swaps;
CDS Market;
Non-relationship Lending;
Debt Contracts;
Adverse Selection;
Lending Monitoring;
Cross-selling
Kang, Jung Koo, Christopher Williams, and Regina Wittenberg-Moerman. "CDS Trading and Nonrelationship Lending Dynamics." Review of Accounting Studies 26, no. 1 (March 2021): 258–292.
- February 1989
- Article
Buybacks, Exit Bonds, and the Optimality of Debt and Liquidity Relief
By: K. A. Froot
Keywords:
Chapter 7;
Debt Reduction;
Default;
Sovereign Debt;
Debt Crisis;
Debt Restructuring;
Borrowing and Debt
Froot, K. A. "Buybacks, Exit Bonds, and the Optimality of Debt and Liquidity Relief." International Economic Review 30, no. 1 (February 1989): 49–70. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2675, July 1988. Translated into Spanish in Estudios Economicos 4 (July 1989): 31-60.)
- March 2005
- Article
Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Finance;
Borrowing and Debt;
Interest Rates;
Balance and Stability;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Risk Management;
Mathematical Methods;
Management Style;
Segmentation;
Debt Securities;
Banking Industry
Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
- 2011
- Working Paper
Why Fears about Municipal Credit Are Overblown
Highly publicized predictions of 50-100 municipal defaults have caused anxiety among municipal bond investors. While there is some chance that negative investor sentiment will lead to further spread widening, the probability of the kind of widespread default that would...
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Keywords:
Financial Crisis;
Borrowing and Debt;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
City
Bergstresser, Daniel, and Randolph Cohen. "Why Fears about Municipal Credit Are Overblown." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-129, June 2011.
- Research Summary
Sovereign Debt as a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach (joint with Fabio Kanczuk)
By: Laura Alfaro
We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide parameter, the only equilibrium is one in which...
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- Research Summary
Corporate Bond Pricing and Different Sources of Asset Return Volatility (with George Chacko and Jens Hilscher)
This paper presents a pricing model for defaultable bonds. Default is defined by a cash flow, not value, covenant. The cash flow (total distributions) yield is stochastic. We find that different sources of volatility, cash flow versus discount rate news, affect...
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- September 1992 (Revised March 1997)
- Case
Summit Distributors (A)
By: William J. Bruns Jr. and Amy P. Hutton
Summit Distributors was in danger of violating loan covenants because of slow economic activity and forecasted losses and was faced with a choice. Changing the inventory valuation method from LIFO to FIFO would avoid default but would require higher future income...
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Keywords:
Taxation;
Cost Accounting;
Cash Flow;
Interest Rates;
Economic Systems;
Borrowing and Debt;
Financial Statements;
Valuation;
Accounting Audits;
Financing and Loans;
Accounting Industry;
Legal Services Industry
Bruns, William J., Jr., and Amy P. Hutton. "Summit Distributors (A)." Harvard Business School Case 193-053, September 1992. (Revised March 1997.)
- September 2018 (Revised March 2019)
- Case
National Australia Bank: Looking Out for the Customer
By: Mark R. Kramer and Hugh Foley
After learning that most defaults were due to health, job or marital problems, National Australia Bank revised its debt collection department to shift from penalizing people in default to assisting them in developing a work-out plan, enabling more than 90% to meet...
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Keywords:
Banks and Banking;
Borrowing and Debt;
Customer Focus and Relationships;
Success;
Australia
Kramer, Mark R., and Hugh Foley. "National Australia Bank: Looking Out for the Customer." Harvard Business School Case 719-417, September 2018. (Revised March 2019.)
- 11 Dec 2020
- News
The debate over Joe Biden canceling student debt, explained
- November 1989 (Revised December 1996)
- Supplement
Wisconsin Central Ltd. Railroad and Berkshire Partners (B): LBO Associations and Corporate Governance
By: Michael C. Jensen
Describes the resolution of the default situation. Further examines the internal control mechanisms and distinct role of the board of directors of a typical LBO association.
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Jensen, Michael C. "Wisconsin Central Ltd. Railroad and Berkshire Partners (B): LBO Associations and Corporate Governance." Harvard Business School Supplement 190-070, November 1989. (Revised December 1996.)
- Research Summary
Concentrated Capital Losses and the Pricing of Corporate Credit Risk
In studying the U.S. credit default swap (CDS) market, Professor Siriwardane has discovered that the selling of CDS protection is extremely concentrated, with five sellers accounting for nearly half the market. Further, in contrast to what neoclassical theory... View Details
- Research Summary
Overview
Professor Schreger studies international finance and macroeconomics, with an emphasis on sovereign debt. Following a series of sovereign debt crises in the 1980s and 1990s, which caused defaults among emerging markets governments on their foreign currency obligations,...
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- Research Summary
Economic Catastrophe Bonds
(with Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford)
The central insight of asset pricing is that a security's value depends on both its distribution of payoffs across economic states and state prices. In fixed income markets, many investors focus exclusively on estimates of... View Details
The central insight of asset pricing is that a security's value depends on both its distribution of payoffs across economic states and state prices. In fixed income markets, many investors focus exclusively on estimates of... View Details
- 25 Mar 2013
- Research & Ideas
How Chapter 11 Saved the US Economy
relatively short time, much of the corporate debt that defaulted during the financial crisis has been managed down, mass liquidations have been averted, and corporate profits, balance sheets, and values have rebounded with remarkable...
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- 17 Nov 2016
- Working Paper Summaries
Sovereign Risk, Currency Risk, and Corporate Balance Sheets
Keywords:
by Wenxin Du and Jesse Schreger
- May 2005 (Revised November 2005)
- Background Note
Note on Credit Derivatives
Provides the basic underlying model for credit risk analysis, as well as covers basic credit risk derivatives, such as asset swaps, credit default swaps, total return of rate swaps, and credit spread options.
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Chacko, George C., Peter A. Hecht, Anders Sjoman, and Kate Hao. "Note on Credit Derivatives." Harvard Business School Background Note 205-111, May 2005. (Revised November 2005.)
- October 2003 (Revised January 2004)
- Case
The 2001 Crisis in Argentina: An IMF-Sponsored Default? (A)
By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
At the end of 2001, Argentina's economy and society both appeared on the verge of collapse. Furious about controls imposed on the convertibility of their bank deposits into cash (the "corralito") and huge proposed government spending cuts amidst high unemployment and...
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Keywords:
Financial Crisis;
Economic Slowdown and Stagnation;
Banks and Banking;
Problems and Challenges;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Economy;
Government Administration;
Crime and Corruption;
Argentina
Di Tella, Rafael M., and Ingrid Vogel. "The 2001 Crisis in Argentina: An IMF-Sponsored Default? (A)." Harvard Business School Case 704-004, October 2003. (Revised January 2004.)