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- All HBS Web (174)
- Faculty Publications (134)
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- All HBS Web (174)
- Faculty Publications (134)
- 01 Jun 2012
- News
Plan B: The Brick Bank
“Expect the unexpected” could have been the tagline for FIELD 2, the global component of the new required course Field Immersion Experiences for Leadership Development (FIELD). In January, first-year student Christina Adams (HBS 2013) traveled to Ho Chi Minh City with...
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Keywords:
Julia Hanna
- April 1977
- Article
Purchasing Power Gains on Debt: The Effect of Expected and Unexpected Inflation
By: Robert S. Kaplan
Kaplan, Robert S. "Purchasing Power Gains on Debt: The Effect of Expected and Unexpected Inflation." Accounting Review 52 (April 1977): 369–378.
- October 2014 (Revised February 2017)
- Case
A Currency We Can Call Our Own: Populism, Banking Crises, and Exchange Rate Crises in Argentina, 1946–2002
By: Rafael Di Tella
The case describes Argentina's struggle to establish a credible monetary system under populist pressures and the recurrent use of exchange rate stabilization plans. It focuses on two episodes where there was "too little money" in the economy: during the hyperinflation...
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Keywords:
Debt Crisis;
Hyperinflation;
Financial Crisis;
Inflation and Deflation;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Argentina
Di Tella, Rafael. "A Currency We Can Call Our Own: Populism, Banking Crises, and Exchange Rate Crises in Argentina, 1946–2002." Harvard Business School Case 715-019, October 2014. (Revised February 2017.)
- November 2004
- Article
Unemployment Benefits As a Substitute for a Conservative Central Banker
By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch
In the many years since their introduction, positive theories of inflation have rarely been tested. This paper documents a negative relationship between inflation and the welfare state (proxied by the parameters of the unemployment benefit program) that is to be...
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert MacCulloch. "Unemployment Benefits As a Substitute for a Conservative Central Banker." Review of Economics and Statistics 86, no. 4 (November 2004): 911–23.
- June 2002 (Revised March 2003)
- Case
Bolivia: Globalization, Sovereignty, or Democracy?
By: Rafael M. Di Tella, Huw Pill, Miguel Lopez de Silanes Gomez, Cinthia Fernholz Violand and Ingrid Vogel
Describes the economic stabilization program implemented by the Bolivian government in 1985 to 1986 and its impact on the development process in Bolivia.
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Keywords:
History;
Programs;
Development Economics;
Inflation and Deflation;
Globalization;
Government and Politics;
Bolivia
Di Tella, Rafael M., Huw Pill, Miguel Lopez de Silanes Gomez, Cinthia Fernholz Violand, and Ingrid Vogel. "Bolivia: Globalization, Sovereignty, or Democracy?" Harvard Business School Case 702-086, June 2002. (Revised March 2003.)
- Article
Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation
By: Alberto Cavallo
Prices collected from online retailers can be used to construct daily price indexes that complement official statistics. This paper studies their ability to match official inflation estimates in five Latin American countries, with a focus on Argentina, where official...
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Keywords:
Inflation;
Online Price Index;
Economics;
Macroeconomics;
Inflation and Deflation;
Price;
Latin America;
Argentina
Cavallo, Alberto. "Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation." Journal of Monetary Economics 60, no. 2 (March 2013): 152–165.
- December 2013 (Revised March 2024)
- Case
Breaking Bad (the Rules): Argentina Defaults, Inflates (and Grows), 1997–2015
By: Rafael Di Tella and Fernanda Miguel
In late October 2011, after losing 1 billion of dollar reserves in one month, the Argentine government began imposing a series of currency controls, limiting the ability to buy foreign currency. As of October 2011, Argentina's tax collection agency AFIP had been...
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Fernanda Miguel. "Breaking Bad (the Rules): Argentina Defaults, Inflates (and Grows), 1997–2015." Harvard Business School Case 714-036, December 2013. (Revised March 2024.)
- July 1986
- Article
Inflation, Uncertainty and Investment
By: Carliss Y. Baldwin and R. S. Ruback
Baldwin, Carliss Y., and R. S. Ruback. "Inflation, Uncertainty and Investment." Journal of Finance 41, no. 3 (July 1986): 657–668.
- February 2011 (Revised June 2011)
- Case
Aluar: Aluminio Argentino S.A. (A)
By: David F. Hawkins, Hernan Etiennot, Gustavo A. Herrero and Cintra Scott
Argentine government claims inflation rate is 8 percent but others claim it is double that rate. Analysts' attempts to adjust the company's financial statements for inflation.
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Keywords:
Inflation and Deflation;
Accounting;
Financial Statements;
Government and Politics;
Argentina
Hawkins, David F., Hernan Etiennot, Gustavo A. Herrero, and Cintra Scott. "Aluar: Aluminio Argentino S.A. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 111-059, February 2011. (Revised June 2011.)
- April 2001
- Background Note
Exchange Rate Terminology and Analytics
An introduction to the concept of exchange rates, simple analytics regarding currency appreciation and devaluation, and real and nominal exchange rates. Concludes with a series of examples that illustrate how shifts in exchange rates and inflation can affect firms'...
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Kennedy, Robert E. "Exchange Rate Terminology and Analytics." Harvard Business School Background Note 701-121, April 2001.
- July 2017
- Article
Inflation Expectations, Learning, and Supermarket Prices: Evidence from Survey Experiments
By: Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
Information frictions play a central role in the formation of household inflation expectations, but there is no consensus about their origins. We address this question with novel evidence from survey experiments. We document two main findings. First, individuals in...
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Keywords:
Inflation Expectations;
Survey Experiment;
Rational Inattention;
Supermarkets;
Macroeconomics;
Household;
Inflation and Deflation;
Policy
Cavallo, Alberto, Guillermo Cruces, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia. "Inflation Expectations, Learning, and Supermarket Prices: Evidence from Survey Experiments." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 9, no. 3 (July 2017): 1–35.
- December 1999 (Revised November 2010)
- Background Note
Inflation Accounting and Analysis
By: David F. Hawkins
Describes alternative approaches to accounting for business activities during periods of inflation. Presents hints and techniques for analyzing financial statements during inflationary periods. A rewritten version of an earlier note.
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Hawkins, David F. "Inflation Accounting and Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 100-063, December 1999. (Revised November 2010.)
- Article
Inflation and Taxes in a Growing Economy with Debt and Equity
By: M. Feldstein, Jerry R. Green and Eytan Sheshinski
Our tax system was designed for an economy with little or no inflation. The current paper shows that inflation causes capricious changes in the effective rate of tax on capital income and therefore in the real net rate of return that savers receive. This is not only a...
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Feldstein, M., Jerry R. Green, and Eytan Sheshinski. "Inflation and Taxes in a Growing Economy with Debt and Equity." Special Issue on Research in Taxation. Journal of Political Economy 86, no. 2 pt. 2 (April 1978): S53–S70.
- Article
Learning from Potentially Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina
By: Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
When forming expectations, households may be influenced by perceived bias in the information they receive. In this paper, we study how individuals learn from potentially biased statistics using data from both a natural experiment and a survey experiment during a...
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Keywords:
Inflation Expectations;
Bayesian Estimation;
Inflation and Deflation;
Information;
Household;
Behavior;
Argentina
Cavallo, Alberto, Guillermo Cruces, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia. "Learning from Potentially Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Spring 2016): 59–108.
- July 1997
- Case
Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities (TIPS)
Explores the development of a new product offering based on the first issuance of "real" bonds in the United States. Looks at a specific organization's efforts to position itself to profit from this market development. Follows naturally from a case on nominal bonds.
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Das, Sanjiv R., and Jeffrey T. Slovin. "Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities (TIPS)." Harvard Business School Case 298-017, July 1997.
- February 1990
- Article
Inflation and Taxation with Optimizing Governments
By: J. J. Rotemberg and James Poterba
Rotemberg, J. J., and James Poterba. "Inflation and Taxation with Optimizing Governments." Journal of Money, Credit & Banking 22 (February 1990): 1–19.
- Forthcoming
- Article
Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets
By: Alberto Cavallo
The Covid-19 pandemic led to changes in expenditure patterns that introduced significant bias in the measurement of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Using publicly-available data on card transactions, I updated the official CPI weights and re-calculated inflation...
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Keywords:
COVID;
Consumer Expenditures;
CPI;
Inflation;
Consumer Behavior;
Inflation and Deflation;
Health Pandemics
Cavallo, Alberto. "Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets." IMF Economic Review (forthcoming). (Pre-published online August 31, 2023.)
- July 2018 (Revised July 2018)
- Teaching Note
Argentina Power—Don’t Cry for Me Argentina
By: Nori Gerardo Lietz and Sayiddah Fatima McCree
Teaching Note for HBS No. 218-041. This case concerns a complex potential energy infrastructure investment in Argentina by a global conglomerate shortly after Mauricio Macri (“Macri”) became President of Argentina in 2015. The central issues are (i) why was a country...
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- April 2015
- Teaching Note
International Macroeconomics — An Online Tutorial
By: Laura Alfaro and Elizabeth A. Meyer
This is the Teaching Note to accompany "International Macroeconomics", HBS Tutorial 715-702.
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- June 2003
- Article
Thinking Real: Key to Financial Analysis in Deflationary Periods
By: David Hawkins
Hawkins, David. "Thinking Real: Key to Financial Analysis in Deflationary Periods." Accounting Bulletin, no. 119 (June 2003).