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All HBS Web
(1,284)
- Faculty Publications (548)
Forecast →
- January 1982
- Case
New York Telephone Co.: The 1975 Revenue Forecast
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "New York Telephone Co.: The 1975 Revenue Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 182-060, January 1982.
- November 1981 (Revised June 1989)
- Case
Firestone Tire & Rubber Co.: The Industry Replacement Passenger Tire Forecast
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Firestone Tire & Rubber Co.: The Industry Replacement Passenger Tire Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 182-152, November 1981. (Revised June 1989.)
- Article
On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills
By: Robert C. Merton and Roy D. Henriksson
Merton, Robert C., and Roy D. Henriksson. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills." Journal of Business 54, no. 4 (October 1981): 513–533.
- July 1981
- Article
On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts
By: Robert C. Merton
Merton, Robert C. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts." Journal of Business 54, no. 3 (July 1981): 363–406.
- May 1981 (Revised June 1994)
- Case
Stride Rite: Demand Forecasting Process (A)
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Stride Rite: Demand Forecasting Process (A)." Harvard Business School Case 181-122, May 1981. (Revised June 1994.)
- May 1981
- Supplement
Stride Rite: Demand Forecasting Process (B)
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Stride Rite: Demand Forecasting Process (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 181-123, May 1981.
- March 1980 (Revised February 1987)
- Case
Sweco, Inc. (A)
By: Michael E. Porter and George S. Yip
Describes Sweco's decision about whether to enter the mud-processing equipment industry (used in oil well drilling). This is an internal entry decision, and the case describes Sweco's existing businesses as well as the mud-processing industry and competitors. The case...
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Keywords:
Cost vs Benefits;
Decisions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Cost;
Analytics and Data Science;
Market Entry and Exit;
Competition
Porter, Michael E., and George S. Yip. "Sweco, Inc. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 380-167, March 1980. (Revised February 1987.)
- January 1980 (Revised April 1994)
- Case
New Balance Athletic Shoes
By: Kim B. Clark
Faced with growth exceeding 100% per year, James Davis, president of New Balance, must decide how to meet the need for additional capacity. Several factors contribute to a climate of extreme uncertainty. Several options are considered, ranging from a second shift to...
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Keywords:
Factories, Labs, and Plants;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Financial Strategy;
Information;
Growth Management;
Organizational Design;
Performance Capacity;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Apparel and Accessories Industry;
Republic of Ireland
Clark, Kim B. "New Balance Athletic Shoes." Harvard Business School Case 680-110, January 1980. (Revised April 1994.)
- May 1979 (Revised August 2013)
- Background Note
Financial Analysis of Real Property Investments
Develops a conceptual framework for financial analysis of real estate investments, taking into consideration the necessity for baseline data, project trends, and forecast discontinuities.
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Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction;
Investment Return;
Trends;
Real Estate Industry;
Financial Services Industry
Poorvu, William J. "Financial Analysis of Real Property Investments." Harvard Business School Background Note 379-193, May 1979. (Revised August 2013.)
- January 1978
- Background Note
Regression and Forecasting Using the AQD Package
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Regression and Forecasting Using the AQD Package." Harvard Business School Background Note 178-095, January 1978.
- January 1977 (Revised July 1985)
- Case
Perkin-Elmer Instrument Division: Plans and Forecasts (Revised)
Wheelwright, Steven C. "Perkin-Elmer Instrument Division: Plans and Forecasts (Revised)." Harvard Business School Case 677-150, January 1977. (Revised July 1985.)
- 01 Jan 1977
- Conference Presentation
Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data
By: James K. Sebenius and Richard Lehman
- November 1974 (Revised May 1994)
- Case
Science Technology Co.
By: Thomas R. Piper
The president of a medium-sized electronics company is evaluating the financial forecasts and proposed financing program submitted by the chief financial officer. The forecasts are prepared in constant dollars, on which basis the proposed financing plan seems...
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Keywords:
Currency;
Financial Strategy;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Inflation and Deflation;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Outcome or Result;
Technology Industry;
Electronics Industry
Piper, Thomas R. "Science Technology Co." Harvard Business School Case 275-058, November 1974. (Revised May 1994.)
- January 1972
- Background Note
Note on Forecasting
By: Paul W. Marshall
Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction
Marshall, Paul W. "Note on Forecasting." Harvard Business School Background Note 172-218, January 1972.
- April 1966
- Article
A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression
By: D. B. Crane and James R. Crotty
Keywords:
Mathematical Methods
Crane, D. B., and James R. Crotty. "A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression." Management Science 13, no. 8 (April 1966).
- Research Summary
Business History
Walter Friedman serves as co-editor of Business History Review. He has a special interest in the history of marketing and personal selling, and is author of Birth of a Salesman: The Transformation of Selling in America (Harvard, 2004). He is also interested in the...
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- Forthcoming
- Article
Canary Categories
By: Eric Anderson, Chaoqun Chen, Ayelet Israeli and Duncan Simester
Past customer spending in a category is generally a positive signal of future customer spending. We show that there exist “canary categories” for which the reverse is true. Purchases in these categories are a signal that customers are less likely to return to that...
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Keywords:
Churn;
Churn Management;
Churn/retention;
Assortment Planning;
Retail;
Retailing;
Retailing Industry;
Preference Heterogeneity;
Assortment Optimization;
Customers;
Retention;
Consumer Behavior;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Retail Industry
Anderson, Eric, Chaoqun Chen, Ayelet Israeli, and Duncan Simester. "Canary Categories." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) (forthcoming). (Pre-published online November 29, 2023.)
- Research Summary
Competitive Dynamics of the Textile-Apparel-Retail Channel
Janice H. Hammond established in 1991 (with Frederick H. Abernathy and John Dunlop of Harvard University and David Weil of Boston University) the Harvard Center for Textile and Apparel Research. Funding provided by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation has supported the...
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- Research Summary
Corporate Control and Valuation
Richard S. Ruback's research and course development focus on applied corporate finance-in particular, corporate control transactions and valuation. His research on corporate control has yielded case studies on major transactions, such as the View Details
- Teaching Interest
Decision Making Under Uncertainty
By: David E. Bell
Many of the decisions we face are made complicated by having uncertain consequences: how should I set my inventory when I don’t know what demand will be, should I refinance my mortgage when rates might go lower, how big a bet shall I make in a new business, and so... View Details