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- September 2003 (Revised January 2004)
- Case
Giant Cinema
The owner of Giant Cinema must decide whether to invest in a digital projector, a new technology for screening films, or purchase a traditional projector. The impact of the new technology is uncertain, and the case describes probabilities for different outcomes that...
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Keywords:
Entrepreneurship;
Film Entertainment;
Technology Adoption;
Financial Strategy;
Investment;
Outcome or Result;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Technology;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry
Baker, Malcolm P., Richard S. Ruback, Erik Stafford, and Kathleen Luchs. "Giant Cinema." Harvard Business School Case 204-052, September 2003. (Revised January 2004.)
- summer 2003
- Article
Patents, Invalidity, and the Strategic Transmission of Enabling Information
By: James J. Anton and Dennis A. Yao
The patent system encourages innovation and knowledge disclosure by providing exclusivity to inventors. Exclusivity is limited, however, because a substantial fraction of patents have some probability of being ruled invalid when challenged in court. The possibility of...
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Keywords:
System;
Innovation and Invention;
Knowledge Dissemination;
Courts and Trials;
Competition;
Patents;
Corporate Disclosure
Anton, James J., and Dennis A. Yao. "Patents, Invalidity, and the Strategic Transmission of Enabling Information." Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 12, no. 2 (summer 2003): 151–178. (Harvard users click here for full text.)
- September 2002 (Revised January 2003)
- Case
A-Rod: Signing the Best Player in Baseball
This case analyzes a large investment decision considered by the Texas Rangers in 2000: whether to spend $252 million for the services of shortstop Alex Rodriguez. The signing was probably the most controversial sports contract of the past decade.
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Cohen, Randolph B., and Jason Wallace. "A-Rod: Signing the Best Player in Baseball." Harvard Business School Case 203-047, September 2002. (Revised January 2003.)
- January 2001 (Revised July 2003)
- Case
Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development
By: Malcolm P. Baker, Richard S. Ruback and Aldo Sesia
Pharmacyclics (NASDAQ: PCYC), a pharmaceutical company that manufactures products that will improve existing therapeutic treatments for cancer, arteriosclerosis, and retinal disease, was considering a $60 million private placement in February 2000. The company had more...
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Keywords:
Valuation;
Cash Flow;
Financing and Loans;
Business Startups;
Financial Strategy;
Medical Devices and Supplies Industry;
Pharmaceutical Industry;
Health Industry
Baker, Malcolm P., Richard S. Ruback, and Aldo Sesia. "Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development." Harvard Business School Case 201-056, January 2001. (Revised July 2003.)
- October 2000 (Revised March 2003)
- Case
Merck & Company: Evaluating a Drug Licensing Opportunity
By: Richard S. Ruback and David B Krieger
This explores the valuation of an opportunity to license a compound before it enters clinical trials. Describes Merck's decision tree evaluation process is presented. Information required to evaluate a specific licensing opportunity is provided, including the costs of...
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Keywords:
Decision Making;
Cost vs Benefits;
Opportunities;
Valuation;
Outcome or Result;
Pharmaceutical Industry
Ruback, Richard S., and David B Krieger. "Merck & Company: Evaluating a Drug Licensing Opportunity." Harvard Business School Case 201-023, October 2000. (Revised March 2003.)
- August 1997
- Article
Independence on Relative Probability Spaces and Consistent Assessments in Game Trees
By: Elon Kohlberg and Philip J. Reny
Keywords:
Games, Gaming, and Gambling
Kohlberg, Elon, and Philip J. Reny. "Independence on Relative Probability Spaces and Consistent Assessments in Game Trees." Journal of Economic Theory 75, no. 2 (August 1997): 280 – 313.
- 1996
- Working Paper
Independence on Relative Probability Spaces and Consistent Assessments in Game Trees
By: Elon Kohlberg and Philip J. Reny
- August 1994 (Revised May 1995)
- Case
Engineering Inspection & Insurance Company
By: Robert H. Hayes
Engineering Inspection & Insurance Co. (EIIC) is a small but highly successful company that offers machinery and boiler inspection and insurance services. After years of above-average growth and profits, both are retreating toward the industry average, policy delivery...
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Keywords:
Service Operations;
Business Strategy;
Organizational Design;
Organizational Structure;
Insurance;
Strategic Planning;
Problems and Challenges;
Insurance Industry;
United States
Hayes, Robert H. "Engineering Inspection & Insurance Company." Harvard Business School Case 695-009, August 1994. (Revised May 1995.)
- February 1994 (Revised May 1999)
- Case
Manville Corp. Fiber Glass Group (C)
By: Lynn S. Paine and Sarah Gant
Manville Corp.'s senior managers are surprised when Japanese government officials advise them not to go forward with their plan to add a cancer warning label to diatomaceous earth (DE) products sold in Japan. The International Agency for Research on Cancer has ruled...
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Keywords:
Management Teams;
Ethics;
Conflict of Interests;
Health;
Safety;
Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues;
Policy;
Japan
Paine, Lynn S., and Sarah Gant. "Manville Corp. Fiber Glass Group (C)." Harvard Business School Case 394-116, February 1994. (Revised May 1999.)
- November 1983
- Article
Subjective Probability and the Theory of Games: Some Further Comment
By: A. E. Roth and F. Schoumaker
Roth, A. E., and F. Schoumaker. "Subjective Probability and the Theory of Games: Some Further Comment." Management Science 29, no. 11 (November 1983): 1337–1340.
- Article
The Nature of Stochastic Equilibria
By: Jerry R. Green and Mukul Majumdar
This paper formulates the notion of stochastic equilibria as invariant probability distributions consistent with the behavior patterns of individuals and the disequilibrium adjustment mechanism of the economy. Conditions for existence, uniqueness, and stability of such...
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Green, Jerry R., and Mukul Majumdar. "The Nature of Stochastic Equilibria." Econometrica 43, no. 4 (July 1975): 647–660.
- summer 1970
- Article
Marketing Strategy and Bank Service Interaction: A Probability Model
By: D. B. Crane
Crane, D. B. "Marketing Strategy and Bank Service Interaction: A Probability Model." Journal of Bank Research 1 (summer 1970).
- Research Summary
Bringing Individuals Back In: The Effects of Career Experience on New Firm Founding (forthcoming Industrial and Corporate Change, 2003)
By: Rakesh Khurana
In this paper (with Scott Shane) the link between the career experiences of potential entrepreneurs and the decision to found a new firm is explored. Because of methodological and theoretical obstacles, sociological research on organizational foundings has largely...
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- Forthcoming
- Article
Canary Categories
By: Eric Anderson, Chaoqun Chen, Ayelet Israeli and Duncan Simester
Past customer spending in a category is generally a positive signal of future customer spending. We show that there exist “canary categories” for which the reverse is true. Purchases in these categories are a signal that customers are less likely to return to that...
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Keywords:
Churn;
Churn Management;
Churn/retention;
Assortment Planning;
Retail;
Retailing;
Retailing Industry;
Preference Heterogeneity;
Assortment Optimization;
Customers;
Retention;
Consumer Behavior;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Retail Industry
Anderson, Eric, Chaoqun Chen, Ayelet Israeli, and Duncan Simester. "Canary Categories." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) (forthcoming). (Pre-published online November 29, 2023.)
- Teaching Interest
Decision Making Under Uncertainty
By: David E. Bell
Many of the decisions we face are made complicated by having uncertain consequences: how should I set my inventory when I don’t know what demand will be, should I refinance my mortgage when rates might go lower, how big a bet shall I make in a new business, and so... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
FinTech Lending and Cashless Payments
By: Pulak Ghosh, Boris Vallée and Yao Zeng
Borrower's use of cashless payments both improves their access to capital from FinTech lenders and predicts a lower probability of default. These relationships are stronger for cashless technologies providing more precise information, and for outflows. Cashless payment...
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- Forthcoming
- Article
Improving Customer Compatibility with Tradeoff Transparency
By: Ryan W. Buell and MoonSoo Choi
Through a large-scale field experiment with 393,036 customers considering opening a credit card account with a nationwide retail bank, we investigate how providing transparency into an offering’s tradeoffs affects subsequent rates of customer acquisition and long-run...
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- Teaching Interest
Overview
By: Ariel D. Stern
2018 - present Harvard Business School, Transforming Health Care Delivery (MBA elective curriculum)
2014 - 2017 Harvard Business Schoool, Technology and Operations Management (first-year required MBA curriculum)
Summer 2012 Harvard Kennedy School of Government,...
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- Research Summary
Social Choice and Voting Rules
By: Jerry R. Green
This research program is based on the idea that good voting systems should take into account the frequency with which different choice problems arise. Traditional social choice theory requires properties over a fixed domain of choice problems but does not offer the... View Details
- Research Summary
The Real Exchange Rate, Innovation and Productivity
By: Laura Alfaro
We evaluate manufacturing firms' responses to changes in the real exchange rate (RER) using detailed firm-level data for a large set of countries for the period 2001-2010. We uncover the following stylized facts about regional variation of manufacturing firms'...
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