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- Faculty Publications (210)
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All HBS Web
(1,347)
- Faculty Publications (210)
- Article
Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate
By: Alberto Cavallo, Brent Neiman and Roberto Rigobon
We use a novel dataset of online prices of identical goods sold by four large global retailers in dozens of countries to study good-level real exchange rates and their aggregated behavior. First, in contrast to the prior literature, we demonstrate that the law of one...
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Keywords:
Currency Union;
Law Of One Price;
International Prices;
Global Firm;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Price;
International Finance
Cavallo, Alberto, Brent Neiman, and Roberto Rigobon. "Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate." Quarterly Journal of Economics 129, no. 2 (May 2014): 529–595.
- March 2014 (Revised June 2015)
- Case
Can Mexico Make Democracy Work?
By: Gunnar Trumbull and Jonathan Schlefer
Enrique Peña Nieto, the presidential candidate of the old Mexican ruling party elected in 2012, passed the most fundamental reforms in at least two decades. They included allowing private competition in the energy sector, including with the state-owned oil company,...
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Keywords:
Democratization;
Economic Development;
Competition Policy;
Exchange Rates;
Comparative Advantage;
Growth and Development;
Government Legislation;
Political Elections;
Economic Growth;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Energy Industry;
Communications Industry;
Banking Industry;
Latin America;
Mexico
Trumbull, Gunnar, and Jonathan Schlefer. "Can Mexico Make Democracy Work?" Harvard Business School Case 714-049, March 2014. (Revised June 2015.)
- December 2013 (Revised March 2024)
- Case
Breaking Bad (the Rules): Argentina Defaults, Inflates (and Grows), 1997–2015
By: Rafael Di Tella and Fernanda Miguel
In late October 2011, after losing 1 billion of dollar reserves in one month, the Argentine government began imposing a series of currency controls, limiting the ability to buy foreign currency. As of October 2011, Argentina's tax collection agency AFIP had been...
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Fernanda Miguel. "Breaking Bad (the Rules): Argentina Defaults, Inflates (and Grows), 1997–2015." Harvard Business School Case 714-036, December 2013. (Revised March 2024.)
- Article
No Evidence For an Effect of Testosterone Administration on Delay Discounting in Male University Students
By: Georgia Rada Ortner, Matthias Wibral, Anke Becker, Thomas Dohmen, Dietrich Klingmüller, Armin Falk and Bernd Weber
Intertemporal choices between a smaller sooner and a larger delayed reward are one of the most important types of decisions humans face in their everyday life. The degree to which individuals discount delayed rewards correlates with impulsiveness. Steep delay...
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Keywords:
Delay Discounting;
Impulsiveness;
Intertemporal Choice;
Testosterone;
Decision Making;
Behavior;
Personal Characteristics
Rada Ortner, Georgia, Matthias Wibral, Anke Becker, Thomas Dohmen, Dietrich Klingmüller, Armin Falk, and Bernd Weber. "No Evidence For an Effect of Testosterone Administration on Delay Discounting in Male University Students." Psychoneuroendocrinology 38, no. 9 (September 2013): 1814–1818.
- August 2013 (Revised November 2015)
- Case
Prudential Financial - General Motors Pension Risk Transfer: Back to the Future?
By: Luis M. Viceira and Emily A. Chien
In November 2012, Prudential Financial and General Motors closed on a $25.1B pension risk transfer (PRT) transaction, the largest of its kind to date by an order of magnitude both in the U.S. market and globally. In exchange for an in-kind transfer of $25.1B in... View Details
Keywords:
Risk Management;
Asset Management;
Insurance;
Retirement;
Financial Services Industry;
Insurance Industry
Viceira, Luis M., and Emily A. Chien. "Prudential Financial - General Motors Pension Risk Transfer: Back to the Future?" Harvard Business School Case 213-126, August 2013. (Revised November 2015.)
- July 15, 2013
- Other Article
Pseudo-flexible Exchange-rate Regimes
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
According to the IMF, last decade saw a number of countries actively managing their exchange rates. Is this a good way for emerging economies to protect themselves from the large swings of international markets? This column presents a new "pseudo-flexible" exchange...
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Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Pseudo-flexible Exchange-rate Regimes." Vox, CEPR Policy Portal (July 15, 2013).
- June 2013 (Revised June 2013)
- Teaching Note
Brazil's Enigma: Sustaining Long-Term Growth & Currency Wars
By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
Over the past decade, Brazil's future as a leading world economic power appeared certain. An expanding middle class and commodity boom had fueled economic growth, with GDP growth hitting a peak of 7.5% in 2010. However, the high cost of conducting business in Brazil,...
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Keywords:
Exchange Rate;
Inflation;
Inflation Targeting;
Industrialization;
Infrastructure;
Currency;
Capital Controls;
Stimulus;
Commodity Prices;
Manufacturing Costs;
Globalization;
Productivity Growth;
Economics;
Economic Slowdown and Stagnation;
Inflation and Deflation;
Macroeconomics;
Public Sector;
Brazil;
South America;
Latin America
- June 2013 (Revised July 2017)
- Case
Angus Cartwright IV
By: Kenneth J. Hatten, William J. Poorvu, Howard H. Stevenson, Arthur I Segel and John H. Vogel, Jr.
Judy and John DeRight, looking to diversify their investment portfolios, have retained Angus Cartwright, Jr. to identify prospective real estate acquisitions. Mr. Cartwright has four potential properties that he feels merit an in-depth financial analysis. The case...
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Keywords:
Acquisition;
Cash Flow;
Investment Return;
Investment Portfolio;
Taxation;
Balanced Scorecard;
Valuation
Hatten, Kenneth J., William J. Poorvu, Howard H. Stevenson, Arthur I Segel, and John H. Vogel, Jr. "Angus Cartwright IV." Harvard Business School Case 813-185, June 2013. (Revised July 2017.)
- March 2013
- Case
Currency Wars
By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
In February 2013, the G-20 finance ministers met in Moscow, Russia to discuss the rising anxieties over a potential international currency war. It was speculated that certain countries were purposely devaluing their currencies in order to improve their competitiveness...
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Keywords:
Currency;
Competitiveness;
Trade Policy;
Devaluation;
Exchange Rate;
Monetary Policy;
Quantitative Easing;
Inflation Targeting;
Capital Flows;
Central Banking;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Competitive Strategy;
Emerging Markets;
Policy;
Trade;
Conflict and Resolution;
Banking Industry;
Public Administration Industry;
Moscow
Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Currency Wars." Harvard Business School Case 713-074, March 2013.
- February 2013
- Teaching Note
Australia: Commodities and Competitiveness (TN)
By: Laura Alfaro, Richard H.K. Vietor and Hilary White
For the past few decades, Australia has dealt with the benefits and costs of repeated mining booms—inflation, a housing bubble, a current account deficit and growing dependence on China. Between 1996 and 2007, however, Australia had most of these issues under control...
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- October 2012 (Revised April 2017)
- Case
Brazil's Enigma: Sustaining Long-Term Growth
By: Laura Alfaro, Hilary White and Haviland Sheldahl-Thomason
Over the past decade, Brazil's future as a leading world economic power appeared certain. An expanding middle class and commodity boom had fueled economic growth, with GDP growth hitting a peak of 7.5% in 2010. However, the high cost of conducting business in Brazil,...
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Keywords:
Capital Controls;
Inflation;
Exchange Rates;
Stimulus;
Competitiveness;
Productivity Growth;
Foreign Investment;
Infrastructure;
Inflation and Deflation;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Brazil
Alfaro, Laura, Hilary White, and Haviland Sheldahl-Thomason. "Brazil's Enigma: Sustaining Long-Term Growth." Harvard Business School Case 713-040, October 2012. (Revised April 2017.)
- September 2012 (Revised July 2013)
- Case
Can the Eurozone Survive?
By: Dante Roscini and Jonathan Schlefer
The sovereign debt crisis that took Greece by storm in 2010 began to spread to other European markets. Within a few months Ireland and Portugal had also lost access to the sovereign debt markets and had to rely on supranational loans for their financing. The risk of...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Debt Crisis;
Currency Areas;
Financial Crisis;
Borrowing and Debt;
Currency Exchange Rate;
International Relations;
Banking Industry;
European Union;
Germany;
France;
Italy;
Spain;
Greece;
Portugal
Roscini, Dante, and Jonathan Schlefer. "Can the Eurozone Survive?" Harvard Business School Case 713-034, September 2012. (Revised July 2013.)
- July 2012
- Article
The Real Consequences of Market Segmentation
By: Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam
We study the real effects of market segmentation due to credit ratings using a matched sample of firms just above and just below the investment-grade cutoff. These firms have similar observables, including average investment rates. However, flows into high-yield mutual...
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Keywords:
Segmentation;
Credit;
Investment;
Investment Funds;
Quality;
Markets;
Measurement and Metrics;
Business Ventures
Chernenko, Sergey, and Adi Sunderam. "The Real Consequences of Market Segmentation." Review of Financial Studies 25, no. 7 (July 2012): 2041–2069. (Winner of the RFS Young Researcher Prize 2012.)
- January – March 2012
- Article
Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Luis M. Viceira
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on...
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Keywords:
Bonds;
Volatility;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Interest Rates;
Inflation and Deflation;
Investment Return;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Cash Flow;
Stocks
Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
- Article
Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
This paper empirically analyzes the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) in inflation-indexed (or real) bonds and in nominal bonds in the U.S. and in the U.K. We strongly reject the EH in inflation-indexed bonds and also confirm and update the existing evidence rejecting the...
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Keywords:
TIPS;
Breakeven Inflation;
Return Predictability;
Bond Risk Premia;
Risk Management;
Bonds;
Financial Liquidity;
Inflation and Deflation;
United Kingdom;
United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis." Annual Review of Financial Economics 3 (2011): 139–158.
- August 2011 (Revised November 2018)
- Case
Lind Equipment
By: Richard S. Ruback and Royce Yudkoff
Lind Equipment failed to meet its loan covenants with its senior bank lender in the summer of 2008, just six months after it was acquired. While the senior bank debt comprised only 6% of the capital used in the acquisition and was fully secured, it exercised its right...
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Keywords:
Financial Condition;
Borrowing and Debt;
Capital;
Revenue;
Financing and Loans;
Financial Strategy;
Financial Management;
Acquisition;
Financial Crisis;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Manufacturing Industry;
Industrial Products Industry
Ruback, Richard S., and Royce Yudkoff. "Lind Equipment." Harvard Business School Case 212-012, August 2011. (Revised November 2018.)
- April 2011 (Revised February 2013)
- Background Note
How Government Debt Accumulates
By: Dante Roscini and Jonathan Schlefer
This note discusses the economics of government-debt accumulation. Fiscal deficits are only part of the picture; other factors include the level of debt as a percent of nominal GDP; the interest rate; the inflation rate; the growth rate; and changes in the exchange...
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Roscini, Dante, and Jonathan Schlefer. "How Government Debt Accumulates." Harvard Business School Background Note 711-087, April 2011. (Revised February 2013.)
- April 2011 (Revised December 2017)
- Case
Latvia: Navigating the Strait of Messina
By: Rafael Di Tella, Rawi Abdelal and Natalie Kindred
This case describes Latvia's transition from a Soviet republic into an EU member, its economic boom and subsequent bust in 2008, and its policy response. After implementing significant economic and political reforms in order to qualify for EU membership in 2004, Latvia...
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Keywords:
Currency Exchange Rate;
Competitive Strategy;
Economic Growth;
Policy;
Financial Crisis;
Economic Slowdown and Stagnation;
Latvia
Di Tella, Rafael, Rawi Abdelal, and Natalie Kindred. "Latvia: Navigating the Strait of Messina." Harvard Business School Case 711-053, April 2011. (Revised December 2017.)
- 2013
- Working Paper
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence...
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Keywords:
Expectations Hypothesis;
Term Structure;
Real Interest Rate Risk;
Inflation Risk;
Inflation-Indexed Bonds;
Financial Crisis;
Inflation and Deflation;
Financial Liquidity;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
Risk and Uncertainty;
United Kingdom;
United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
- January 2011
- Case
A Slice of the Pie: Ruby Collins and Tenants in Common
By: John D. Macomber and Kristian Peterson
A securitized small real estate investment vehicle fails and the many individual owners have to decide how to manage or dispose of the asset. This case follows Ruby Collins, a small investor, through the logic of Section 1031 Like Kind Exchanges as well as the...
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Keywords:
Financial Instruments;
Investment;
Risk Management;
Ownership Stake;
Partners and Partnerships;
Valuation;
Real Estate Industry
Macomber, John D., and Kristian Peterson. "A Slice of the Pie: Ruby Collins and Tenants in Common." Harvard Business School Case 211-008, January 2011.