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Publications

Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (45)
    • Faculty Publications  (15)

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    • All HBS Web  (45)
      • Faculty Publications  (15)

      Regression Discontinuity Remove Regression Discontinuity →

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      • Working Paper

      Electoral Turnovers

      By: Benjamin Marx, Vincent Pons and Vincent Rollet
      In most national elections, voters face a key choice between continuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the incumbent candidate or party fails to win reelection. To understand how turnovers affect national outcomes, we study the universe of presidential and...  View Details
      Keywords: Election Outcomes; Regression Discontinuity Design; Political Elections; Change; Global Range; Outcome or Result; Economy; Governance; Performance Improvement
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      Marx, Benjamin, Vincent Pons, and Vincent Rollet. "Electoral Turnovers." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29766, February 2022.
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      The Impact of Campaign Finance Rules on Candidate Selection and Electoral Outcomes: Evidence from France

      By: Nikolaj Broberg, Vincent Pons and Clémence Tricaud
      This paper investigates the effects of campaign finance rules on electoral outcomes. In French departmental and municipal elections, candidates competing in districts above 9,000 inhabitants face spending limits and are eligible for public reimbursement if they obtain...  View Details
      Keywords: Political Elections; Finance; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Outcome or Result; France
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      Broberg, Nikolaj, Vincent Pons, and Clémence Tricaud. "The Impact of Campaign Finance Rules on Candidate Selection and Electoral Outcomes: Evidence from France." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29805, February 2022.
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      The Impact of Financial Assistance Programs on Health Care Utilization

      By: Alyce S. Adams, Raymond Kluender, Neale Mahoney, Jinglin Wang, Francis Wong and Wesley Yin
      Most hospitals and managed care organizations have financial assistance programs that aim to reduce financial burdens and improve health care access for low-income patients. We use administrative data from Kaiser Permanente to study the effects of financial assistance...  View Details
      Keywords: Healthcare; Utilization; Financial Assistance; Health Care and Treatment; Finance; Programs; Outcome or Result
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      Adams, Alyce S., Raymond Kluender, Neale Mahoney, Jinglin Wang, Francis Wong, and Wesley Yin. "The Impact of Financial Assistance Programs on Health Care Utilization." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-045, September 2021. (NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29227, September 2021.)
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      How Do CEOs Make Strategy?

      By: Mu-Jeung Yang, Michael Christensen, Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun and Jan Rivkin
      We explore the critical question of how executives make strategic decisions. Utilizing a new survey of 262 CEO alumni of Harvard Business School, we gather evidence on four aspects of each executive’s business strategy: its overall structure, its formalization, its...  View Details
      Keywords: Productivity; CEO; Strategy; Management; Decision Making; Surveys; Business Education
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      Yang, Mu-Jeung, Michael Christensen, Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and Jan Rivkin. "How Do CEOs Make Strategy?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-063, October 2020.
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Formal Employment and Organized Crime: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Colombia

      By: Gaurav Khanna, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham and Jorge Tamayo
      Canonical models of criminal behavior highlight the importance of economic incentives and employment opportunities in determining participation in crime (Becker, 1968). Yet, deriving causal corroborating evidence from individual-level variation in employment incentives...  View Details
      Keywords: Gangs; Informality; Medellí­n; Economic Sectors; Crime and Corruption; Health Care and Treatment; Policy; Colombia
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      Khanna, Gaurav, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge Tamayo. "Formal Employment and Organized Crime: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from Colombia." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-099, March 2019.
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      Coordination and Bandwagon Effects of Candidate Rankings: Evidence from Runoff Elections

      By: Riako Granzier, Vincent Pons and Clémence Tricaud
      Candidates’ placements in polls or past elections can be powerful coordination devices for both parties and voters. Using a regression discontinuity design in French elections, we show that candidates who place first by only a small margin in the first round are more...  View Details
      Keywords: Strategic Voting; Coordination; Bandwagon Effect; Regression Discontinuity Design; French Elections; Voting; Political Elections; Behavior; France
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      Granzier, Riako, Vincent Pons, and Clémence Tricaud. "Coordination and Bandwagon Effects of Candidate Rankings: Evidence from Runoff Elections." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 26599, November 2021. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-026.)
      • September 2018
      • Article

      Expressive Voting and Its Cost: Evidence from Runoffs with Two or Three Candidates

      By: Vincent Pons and Clémence Tricaud
      In French parliamentary and local elections, candidates ranked first and second in the first round automatically qualify for the second round, while a third candidate qualifies only when selected by more than 12.5 percent of registered citizens. Using a fuzzy RDD...  View Details
      Keywords: Expressive Voting; Strategic Voting; Regression Discontinuity Design; French Elections; Voting; Political Elections; France
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      Pons, Vincent, and Clémence Tricaud. "Expressive Voting and Its Cost: Evidence from Runoffs with Two or Three Candidates." Econometrica 86, no. 5 (September 2018): 1621–1649.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Expressive Voting and Its Cost: Evidence from Runoffs with Two or Three Candidates

      By: Vincent Pons and Clémence Tricaud
      In French parliamentary and local elections, candidates ranked first and second in the first round automatically qualify for the second round, while a third candidate qualifies only when selected by more than 12.5 percent of registered citizens. Using a fuzzy RDD...  View Details
      Keywords: Expressive Voting; Strategic Voting; Regression Discontinuity Design; French Elections; Voting; Political Elections; Behavior; France
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      Pons, Vincent, and Clémence Tricaud. "Expressive Voting and Its Cost: Evidence from Runoffs with Two or Three Candidates." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-107, May 2017. (Revised February 2018. Revise and resubmit requested, Econometrica.)
      • March 2017
      • Article

      Institutional Ownership and Corporate Tax Avoidance: New Evidence

      By: Mozaffar N. Khan, Suraj Srinivasan and Liang Tan
      We provide new evidence on the agency theory of corporate tax avoidance (Slemrod, 2004; Crocker and Slemrod, 2005; Chen and Chu, 2005) by showing that increases in institutional ownership are associated with increases in tax avoidance. Using the Russell index...  View Details
      Keywords: Tax Avoidance; Agency Costs; Institutional Ownership; Private Ownership; Crime and Corruption; Taxation; Agency Theory
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      Khan, Mozaffar N., Suraj Srinivasan, and Liang Tan. "Institutional Ownership and Corporate Tax Avoidance: New Evidence." Accounting Review 92, no. 2 (March 2017): 101–122.
      • 2016
      • Chapter

      User-Generated Content and Social Media

      By: Michael Luca
      This paper documents what economists have learned about user-generated content (UGC) and social media. A growing body of evidence suggests that UGC on platforms ranging from Yelp to Facebook has a large causal impact on economic and social outcomes ranging from...  View Details
      Keywords: User-generated Content; Crowdsourcing; Design Economics; Internet and the Web; Marketing; Economics; Media; Social Media
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      Luca, Michael. "User-Generated Content and Social Media." Chap. 12 in Handbook of Media Economics. Vol. 1B, edited by Simon Anderson, Joel Waldfogel, and David Strömberg. North-Holland Publishing Company, 2016.
      • January 2014
      • Article

      The Consequences of Entrepreneurial Finance: Evidence from Angel Financings

      By: William R. Kerr, Josh Lerner and Antoinette Schoar
      This paper documents that ventures that are funded by two successful angel groups experience superior outcomes to rejected ventures: they have improved survival, exits, employment, patenting, web traffic, and financing. We use strong discontinuities in angel funding...  View Details
      Keywords: Business Ventures; Financing and Loans; Interests; Employment; Patents; Internet and the Web; Operations; Entrepreneurship; Business Exit or Shutdown
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      Kerr, William R., Josh Lerner, and Antoinette Schoar. "The Consequences of Entrepreneurial Finance: Evidence from Angel Financings." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 1 (January 2014): 20–55.
      • November 2013
      • Article

      The Performance of Corporate Alliances: Evidence from Oil and Gas Drilling in the Gulf of Mexico

      By: John Beshears
      I use data on oil and gas drilling in the Gulf of Mexico to measure how a corporate alliance—a group of firms that jointly develops an offshore tract—performs relative to a solo firm. I employ a regression discontinuity strategy based on bids in first-price sealed-bid...  View Details
      Keywords: Organizational Form; Corporate Alliances; Oil And Gas Production; Lease Auctions; Regression Discontinuity; Alliances; Organizational Structure; Auctions; Performance; Energy Sources; Leasing; Energy Industry
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      Beshears, John. "The Performance of Corporate Alliances: Evidence from Oil and Gas Drilling in the Gulf of Mexico." Journal of Financial Economics 110, no. 2 (November 2013): 324–346.
      • March 2013
      • Article

      Bridging the Gap? Government Subsidized Lending and Access to Capital

      By: Josh Lerner and Kristle Romero-Cortes
      The consequences of providing public funds to financial institutions remain controversial. We examine the Community Development Financial Institution (CDFI) Fund's impact on credit union activity, using hitherto little studied U.S. Treasury data. The CDFI Fund grants...  View Details
      Keywords: Financing and Loans; Credit; Government and Politics; Financial Institutions; United States
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      Lerner, Josh, and Kristle Romero-Cortes. "Bridging the Gap? Government Subsidized Lending and Access to Capital." Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2, no. 1 (March 2013): 98–128.
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Reviews, Reputation, and Revenue: The Case of Yelp.com

      By: Michael Luca
      Do online consumer reviews affect restaurant demand? I investigate this question using a novel dataset combining reviews from the website Yelp.com and restaurant data from the Washington State Department of Revenue. Because Yelp prominently displays a restaurant's...  View Details
      Keywords: Revenue; Network Effects; Reputation; Social and Collaborative Networks; Food and Beverage Industry; Service Industry; Washington (state, US)
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      Luca, Michael. "Reviews, Reputation, and Revenue: The Case of Yelp.com." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-016, September 2011. (Revised March 2016. Revise and resubmit at the American Economic Journal - Applied Economics.)
      • Research Summary

      Political Economy

      By: Vincent Pons

      Professor Pons' political economy research has three broad components, corresponding to three critical steps in the democratic process, with a focus on the role played by political parties.

      First, representative democratic outcomes hinge on most or...  View Details

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