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- Faculty Publications (5,398)
Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(9,931)
- People (22)
- News (1,478)
- Research (6,926)
- Events (72)
- Multimedia (58)
- Faculty Publications (5,398)
- Article
Faithful and Customizable Explanations of Black Box Models
By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Ece Kamar, Rich Caruana and Jure Leskovec
As predictive models increasingly assist human experts (e.g., doctors) in day-to-day decision making, it is crucial for experts to be able to explore and understand how such models behave in different feature subspaces in order to know if and when to trust them. To...
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Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Ece Kamar, Rich Caruana, and Jure Leskovec. "Faithful and Customizable Explanations of Black Box Models." Proceedings of the AAAI/ACM Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Ethics, and Society (2019).
- Forthcoming
- Article
Design of Off-Grid Lighting Business Models to Serve the Poor: Field Experiments and Structural Analysis
By: Bhavani Shanker Uppari, Serguei Netessine, Ioanna Popescu and Rowan P. Clarke
A significant proportion of the world's population has no access to grid-based electricity and so relies on off-grid lighting solutions. Rechargeable lamp technology is gaining popularity as an alternative off-grid lighting model in developing countries. In this paper,...
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Keywords:
Technological Innovation;
Developing Countries and Economies;
Consumer Behavior;
Poverty;
Logistics;
Business Model;
Utilities Industry
Uppari, Bhavani Shanker, Serguei Netessine, Ioanna Popescu, and Rowan P. Clarke. "Design of Off-Grid Lighting Business Models to Serve the Poor: Field Experiments and Structural Analysis." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online July 18, 2023.)
- 2022
- Working Paper
A Linear Panel Model with Heterogeneous Coefficients and Variation in Exposure
By: Jesse M. Shapiro and Liyang Sun
Linear panel models featuring unit and time fixed effects appear in many areas of empirical economics. An active literature studies the interpretation of the ordinary least squares estimator of the model, commonly called the two-way fixed effects (TWFE) estimator, in...
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Shapiro, Jesse M., and Liyang Sun. "A Linear Panel Model with Heterogeneous Coefficients and Variation in Exposure." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29976, April 2022.
- Article
DEA Model with Shared Resources and Efficiency Decomposition
By: Yao Chen, Juan Du, H. David Sherman and Joe Zhu
Data envelopment analysis (DEA) has proved to be an excellent approach for measuring performance of decision making units (DMUs) that use multiple inputs to generate multiple outputs. In many real world scenarios, DMUs have a two-stage network process with shared input...
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Chen, Yao, Juan Du, H. David Sherman, and Joe Zhu. "DEA Model with Shared Resources and Efficiency Decomposition." European Journal of Operational Research 207, no. 1 (November 2010): 339–349.
- Article
Active World Model Learning with Progress Curiosity
By: Kuno Kim, Megumi Sano, Julian De Freitas, Nick Haber and Daniel Yamins
World models are self-supervised predictive models of how the world evolves. Humans learn world models by curiously exploring their environment, in the process acquiring compact abstractions of high bandwidth sensory inputs, the ability to plan across long temporal...
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Kim, Kuno, Megumi Sano, Julian De Freitas, Nick Haber, and Daniel Yamins. "Active World Model Learning with Progress Curiosity." Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) 37th (2020).
- February 2010
- Supplement
Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Market Size and Market Share Analysis (CW)
By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
This Excel worksheet contains sample problems, prebuilt Excel models to run market sizing and market share analyses, and charts and graphs which help visualize the results. It is designed to accompany Marketing Analysis Tookit: Market Size and Market Share Analysis....
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- September 2011
- Article
On Testing Business Models
By: D. Huelsbeck, K. Merchant and Tatiana Sandino
This study explored management decisions regarding formal empirical testing of business models. It documented a test of one company's business model under seemingly favorable conditions for such a test – a successful single product firm following a consistent strategy...
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Keywords:
Performance Measurement;
Non-financial Performance Measures;
Business Models;
Management Control;
Decisions;
Business Model;
Performance Evaluation
Huelsbeck, D., K. Merchant, and Tatiana Sandino. "On Testing Business Models." Accounting Review 86, no. 5 (September 2011): 1631–1654. (Awarded a Research Grant from the Chartered Institute of Management Accountants.)
- July–August 2013
- Article
A Joint Model of Usage and Churn in Contractual Settings
By: Eva Ascarza and Bruce G.S. Hardie
As firms become more customer-centric, concepts such as customer equity come to the fore. Any serious attempt to quantify customer equity requires modeling techniques that can provide accurate multiperiod forecasts of customer behavior. Although a number of researchers...
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Keywords:
Churn;
Retention;
Contractual Settings;
Access Services;
Hidden Markov Models;
RFM;
Latent Variable Models;
Customer Value and Value Chain;
Consumer Behavior
Ascarza, Eva, and Bruce G.S. Hardie. "A Joint Model of Usage and Churn in Contractual Settings." Marketing Science 32, no. 4 (July–August 2013): 570–590.
- 2003
- Working Paper
Model Structure Analysis Through Graph Theory: Partition Heuristics and Feedback Structure Decomposition
Oliva, Rogelio. "Model Structure Analysis Through Graph Theory: Partition Heuristics and Feedback Structure Decomposition." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 04-016, October 2003.
- 01 Mar 2023
- News
The Latest Model
Prysm Group Cofounders Hurder (left) and Barrera: bringing an industry-agnostic approach to helping business leverage emerging technologies Prysm Group cofounders Hurder (left) and Barrera: bringing an industry-agnostic approach to helping business leverage emerging...
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- Other Unpublished Work
The Role of Inventory in Empowered Work Settings: Model and Empirical Analysis
By: S. Datar, M. Alles and R. Sarkar
- July 2010 (Revised December 2011)
- Background Note
Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Pricing and Profitability Analysis
By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
Pricing is one of the most difficult decisions marketers make and the one with the most direct and immediate impact on the firm's financial position. This toolkit will introduce the fundamental terminology and calculations associated with pricing and profitability...
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Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction;
Price;
Profit;
Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques;
Marketing Strategy;
Demand and Consumers;
Measurement and Metrics;
Strategic Planning;
Mathematical Methods;
Retail Industry
Steenburgh, Thomas J., and Jill Avery. "Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Pricing and Profitability Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 511-028, July 2010. (Revised December 2011.)
- July 2010
- Supplement
Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Pricing and Profitability Analysis (CW)
By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
Pricing is one of the most difficult decisions marketers make and the one with the most direct and immediate impact on the firm's financial position. This toolkit will introduce the fundamental terminology and calculations associated with pricing and profitability...
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- Article
Learning Models for Actionable Recourse
By: Alexis Ross, Himabindu Lakkaraju and Osbert Bastani
As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains such as legal and financial decision-making, there has been growing interest in post-hoc methods for generating counterfactual explanations. Such explanations provide individuals adversely...
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Ross, Alexis, Himabindu Lakkaraju, and Osbert Bastani. "Learning Models for Actionable Recourse." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 34 (2021).
- August 2019
- Article
When and How to Diversify—A Multicategory Utility Model for Personalized Content Recommendation
By: Yicheng Song, Nachiketa Sahoo and Elie Ofek
Sometimes we desire change, a break from the same or an opportunity to fulfill different aspects of our needs. Noting that consumers seek variety, several approaches have been developed to diversify items recommended by personalized recommender systems. However,...
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Keywords:
Recommender Systems;
Personalization;
Recommendation Diversity;
Variety Seeking;
Collaborative Filtering;
Consumer Utility Models;
Digital Media;
Clickstream Analysis;
Learning-to-rank;
Consumer Behavior;
Media;
Customization and Personalization;
Strategy;
Mathematical Methods
Song, Yicheng, Nachiketa Sahoo, and Elie Ofek. "When and How to Diversify—A Multicategory Utility Model for Personalized Content Recommendation." Management Science 65, no. 8 (August 2019): 3737–3757.
- 26 Apr 2020
- Other Presentation
Towards Modeling the Variability of Human Attention
By: Kuno Kim, Megumi Sano, Julian De Freitas, Daniel Yamins and Nick Haber
Children exhibit extraordinary exploratory behaviors hypothesized to contribute to the building of models of their world. Harnessing this capacity in artificial systems promises not only more flexible technology but also cognitive models of the developmental processes...
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Keywords:
Exploratory Learning Behaviors;
Modeling;
Artificial Intelligence;
AI and Machine Learning
Kim, Kuno, Megumi Sano, Julian De Freitas, Daniel Yamins, and Nick Haber. "Towards Modeling the Variability of Human Attention." In Bridging AI and Cognitive Science (BAICS) Workshop. 8th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), April 26, 2020.
- January 2021
- Article
A Model of Relative Thinking
By: Benjamin Bushong, Matthew Rabin and Joshua Schwartzstein
Fixed differences loom smaller when compared to large differences. We propose a model of relative thinking where a person weighs a given change along a consumption dimension by less when it is compared to bigger changes along that dimension. In deterministic settings,...
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Bushong, Benjamin, Matthew Rabin, and Joshua Schwartzstein. "A Model of Relative Thinking." Review of Economic Studies 88, no. 1 (January 2021): 162–191.
- February 2010
- Supplement
Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Breakeven Analysis (CW)
By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
This Excel worksheet contains sample problems, prebuilt Excel models to run breakeven analyses, and charts and graphs which help visualize the results. It is designed to accompany "Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Breakeven Analysis."
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- 2022
- Working Paper
Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest
By: Veli Andirin, Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr and Jesse M. Shapiro
We develop a measure of a regime's tolerance for an action by its citizens. We ground our measure in an economic model and apply it to the setting of political protest. In the model, a regime anticipating a protest can take a costly action to repress it. We define the...
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Keywords:
Political Protests;
Modeling And Analysis;
Government and Politics;
Conflict and Resolution
Andirin, Veli, Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 30167, June 2022.
- February 2010
- Background Note
Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Situation Analysis
By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
Before managers can begin to formulate marketing strategies for their businesses, they must have a strong understanding of the internal and external marketing environments in which they are operating. In this note, we present three methods for collecting and analyzing...
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Keywords:
Five Forces Framework;
SWOT Analysis;
Marketing Strategy;
Demand and Consumers;
Industry Structures;
Strategic Planning
Steenburgh, Thomas J., and Jill Avery. "Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Situation Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 510-079, February 2010.