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Show Results For
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All HBS Web
(70)
- News (11)
- Research (51)
- Events (4)
- Multimedia (1)
- Faculty Publications (22)
- 09 Nov 2021
- Research & Ideas
The Simple Secret of Effective Mentoring Programs
didn’t fully explain the wide productivity gap between opt-in and opt-out employees. The findings suggest that “unobservable characteristics largely drive the decision to forgo mentoring,” meaning that hard-to-detect shyness, embarrassment, or even View Details
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by Jay Fitzgerald
- 18 Jan 2016
- Research & Ideas
Hazard Warning: The Unacceptable Cost of Toxic Workers
reveals how confident they are. “If you’re overconfident, you think you’re less likely to be caught. That’s very predictive of toxicity. The more overconfident you are, you’re much more likely to be toxic,” Minor says. The rule-following...
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by Roberta Holland
- 31 Aug 2021
- Book
Feeling Powerless at Work? Time to Agitate, Innovate, and Orchestrate
power has on the psychology of those in power: It makes them overconfident and susceptible to hubris, and it makes them more self-centered and insensitive to others,” Battilana says. And if a CEO can’t or won’t cultivate humility and...
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by Jay Fitzgerald
- Web
The Disruptive Voice - Forum for Growth & Innovation
startups used their Jobs lessons to disrupt crowded markets and grow immensely; and the danger zone right after a fundraise when founders' overconfidence can bias crucial decisions, to name but a few examples. This episode is a master...
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- 07 Aug 2013
- What Do You Think?
Is There Still a Role for Judgment in Decision-Making?
makes us miss options; (2) the "confirmation bias" that leads us to give undue credence to information confirming a decision while ignoring other information; (3) the injection of "short-term emotion" into the decision process; and (4) View Details
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by James Heskett
- 01 Feb 2002
- News
It's academic. (Not!)
biases and irrationalities of people seriously and trying to incorporate them into economic models." "My research takes the biases and irrationalities of people seriously and incorporates them into economic models." Most recently, that focus has led Malmendier to...
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- 18 Apr 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas, April 18, 2018
benefits. Download working paper: https://pubwww.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54377 Is Overconfidence a Motivated Bias? Experimental Evidence By: Logg, Jennifer M., Uriel Haran, and Don A. Moore Abstract—Are View Details
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Sean Silverthorne
- 16 Aug 2011
- First Look
First Look: August 16
Publication:American Economic Journal: Microeconomics (forthcoming) Abstract We investigate how the convexity of a firm's incentives interacts with worker overconfidence to affect sorting decisions and performance. We demonstrate...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 23 Mar 2010
- First Look
First Look: March 23
Firms Use Non-linear Incentive Schemes? Experimental Evidence on Sorting and Overconfidence Authors: Ian Larkin and Stephen Leider Abstract Non-linear incentive schemes are commonly used to determine employee pay, despite their...
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Martha Lagace
- 01 Sep 2003
- News
Lessons from Everest
behavioral-decision theory, group dynamics, and complex systems. “The problems that occurred at each of these levels were mutually reinforcing,” Roberto said. Key contributors to the disaster may have been overconfidence based on recent...
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- 22 Oct 2018
- Sharpening Your Skills
Motivate Me, Please
when goals can go off the rails. Research Paper Is Overconfidence a Motivated Bias? Experimental Evidence People are most at risk of making overly positive self-assessments when their assessment criteria are not clearly defined. Yet, even...
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by Sean Silverthorne
- 17 May 2018
- Sharpening Your Skills
You Probably Have a Bias for Making Bad Decisions. Here's Why.
Get More Interviews African American and Asian job applicants who mask their race on resumes seem to have better success getting job interviews. The Case Against Racial Colorblindness Attempting to overcome prejudice by ignoring race may only perpetuate more bias....
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by Sean Silverthorne
- 31 Jul 2006
- Research & Ideas
When Not to Trust Your Gut
that it takes six to twelve weeks to move from an initial sales call to a legally binding agreement. Yet, when a new prospect comes along, she may nonetheless believe that she can close the deal within three weeks. Furthermore, the View Details
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by Max H. Bazerman & Deepak Malhotra
- 12 Aug 2014
- First Look
First Look: August 12
addition, a growing literature has begun to highlight the potential importance of overconfidence in driving entrepreneurial outcomes. Such a mechanism may appear at face value to work like a lower level of risk aversion, but there are...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 12 Oct 1999
- Research & Ideas
The Intellectual Underpinnings of Entrepreneurial Management
have focused on overconfidence and other background characteristics. Although this individually and psychologically oriented research has pointed to some interesting correlations, we argue that unfortunate consequences too easily result...
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- 25 Jan 2011
- First Look
First Look: Jan. 25
products. We find that public choices in which participants display their preferences to others encourage feature-seeking behavior, but that the anticipation of having to use a product in front of others provides an incentive to avoid additional features. View Details
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Sean Silverthorne
- 20 Jan 2009
- Research & Ideas
Risky Business with Structured Finance
speculative grade range (from BB+ to C), meanwhile, has a default rate ranging from 1.07 percent to 29.96 percent. Yet the ratings agencies aren't entirely at fault. "You can blame them a bit for going along with things and for View Details
- 09 Jun 2003
- Research & Ideas
Around the World of Entrepreneurial Ventures
How does the overconfidence bias (in which entrepreneurs overestimate their own abilities) work in cross-border settings?" As for resources, Kuemmerle also wonders about the interaction between product-market strategy and financing...
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by Martha Lagace
- 01 Dec 2011
- What Do You Think?
Thinking Slow: An Argument for Bureaucracy?
ranging from overconfidence in planning to the defense of sunk costs and the failure to cut our losses in investments. Kahneman implies, among other things, that in selecting decision-makers we should look for those who know when to...
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by James Heskett
- 10 Sep 2001
- Research & Ideas
The Negotiator’s Secret: More Than Merely Effective
confrontational approach in its recent struggle with the U.S. Department of Justice. The company certainly appeared overoptimistic about its chances in court. Similarly, Arthur Andersen likely exhibited overconfidence in its arbitration...
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by James K. Sebenius