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Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(4,954)
- People (10)
- News (805)
- Research (3,442)
- Events (19)
- Multimedia (41)
- Faculty Publications (2,141)
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- March 2022
- Article
Sensitivity Analysis of Agent-based Models: A New Protocol
By: Emanuele Borgonovo, Marco Pangallo, Jan Rivkin, Leonardo Rizzo and Nicolaj Siggelkow
Agent-based models (ABMs) are increasingly used in the management sciences. Though useful, ABMs are often critiqued: it is hard to discern why they produce the results they do and whether other assumptions would yield similar results. To help researchers address such...
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Keywords:
Agent-based Modeling;
Sensitivity Analysis;
Design Of Experiments;
Total Order Sensitivity Indices;
Organizations;
Behavior;
Decision Making;
Mathematical Methods
Borgonovo, Emanuele, Marco Pangallo, Jan Rivkin, Leonardo Rizzo, and Nicolaj Siggelkow. "Sensitivity Analysis of Agent-based Models: A New Protocol." Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory 28, no. 1 (March 2022): 52–94.
- 2023
- Working Paper
Avoiding Idiosyncratic Volatility: Flow Sensitivity to Individual Stock Returns
By: Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Shimon Kogan and Ran Xing
Despite positive and significant earnings announcement premia, we find that institutional investors reduce their exposure to stocks before earnings announcements. A novel result on the sensitivity of flows to individual stock returns provides a potential explanation....
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Keywords:
New Trading;
Mutual Funds;
Fund Flows;
Limits To Arbitrage;
Financial Constraints;
Earnings Announcements;
Institutional Investing;
Stocks
Di Maggio, Marco, Francesco Franzoni, Shimon Kogan, and Ran Xing. "Avoiding Idiosyncratic Volatility: Flow Sensitivity to Individual Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-072, March 2023. (Revise and Resubmit to The Journal of Finance.)
- June 2023
- Article
Regulatory Limits to Risk Management
By: Ishita Sen
Variable annuities, the largest liability of U.S. life insurers, are investment products containing long-dated minimum return guarantees. I show that guarantees with similar economic risks are treated differently by regulation and these differences impact insurers’...
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Keywords:
Interest Rate Risk;
Variable Annuities;
Capital Regulation;
Reinsurance;
Derivatives;
Risk Management;
Interest Rates;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms
Sen, Ishita. "Regulatory Limits to Risk Management." Review of Financial Studies 36, no. 6 (June 2023): 2175–2223.
- 2017
- Book
Managing Risk in Reinsurance: From City Fires to Global Warming
By: Niels Viggo Hauter and Geoffrey Jones
This is the first book to provide a comprehensive history of the reinsurance industry from the nineteenth century to the present day. Reinsurance developed at the fringe of financial services and, for most of its existence, was largely unnoticed outside the expert...
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Keywords:
Insurance;
Risk Management;
Business History;
Globalization;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Financial Services Industry;
Insurance Industry;
Africa;
Europe;
Latin America;
North and Central America;
Asia
Hauter, Niels Viggo and Geoffrey Jones, eds. Managing Risk in Reinsurance: From City Fires to Global Warming. New York: Oxford University Press, 2017.
- Article
Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs
By: Y. Grushka-Cockayne, K. C. Lichtendahl, V.R.R. Jose and R.L. Winkler
From forecasting competitions to conditional value-at-risk requirements, the use of multiple quantile assessments is growing in practice. To evaluate them, we use a rule from the general class of proper scoring rules for a forecaster’s multiple quantiles of a single...
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Grushka-Cockayne, Y., K. C. Lichtendahl, V.R.R. Jose, and R.L. Winkler. "Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs." Operations Research 65, no. 3 (May–June 2017): 712–728.
- 2021
- Working Paper
Going to Extremes: Crucibles, Multiple Sensitive Periods, and Career Progression
By: Prithwiraj Choudhury, Sunasir Dutta, Hise O. Gibson and Eric Lin
We study the effects of crucible experiences along multiple sensitive periods on career progression. While prior literature has hinted that individuals can be imprinted during multiple sensitive periods, not just during the early career, there has been scant attention...
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Choudhury, Prithwiraj, Sunasir Dutta, Hise O. Gibson, and Eric Lin. "Going to Extremes: Crucibles, Multiple Sensitive Periods, and Career Progression." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-006, August 2021.
- November–December 2020
- Article
The Risks You Can't Foresee: What to Do When There's No Playbook
By: Robert S. Kaplan, Herman B. Leonard and Anette Mikes
No matter how good their risk management systems are, companies can’t plan for everything. Some risks are outside people’s realm of experience or so remote no one could have imagined them. Some result from a perfect storm of coinciding breakdowns, and some materialize...
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Kaplan, Robert S., Herman B. Leonard, and Anette Mikes. "The Risks You Can't Foresee: What to Do When There's No Playbook." Harvard Business Review 98, no. 6 (November–December 2020): 40–46.
- 2011
- Working Paper
From Counting Risk to Making Risk Count: Boundary-Work in Risk Management
By: Anette Mikes
For two decades, risk management has been gaining ground in banking. In light of the recent financial crisis, several commentators concluded that the continuing expansion of risk measurement is dysfunctional (Taleb, 2007; Power, 2009). This paper asks whether the...
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Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction;
Financial Crisis;
Risk Management;
Measurement and Metrics;
Organizational Culture;
Situation or Environment;
Banking Industry
Mikes, Anette. "From Counting Risk to Making Risk Count: Boundary-Work in Risk Management." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-069, January 2011. (Revised March 2011.)
- Article
From Counting Risk to Making Risk Count: Boundary-Work in Risk Management
By: Anette Mikes
For two decades, risk management has been gaining ground in banking. In light of the recent financial crisis, several commentators concluded that the continuing expansion of risk measurement is dysfunctional (Power, 2009; Taleb, 2007). This paper asks whether the...
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Keywords:
Risk Management;
Banks and Banking;
Financial Crisis;
Expansion;
Organizational Culture;
Management Teams;
Managerial Roles
Mikes, Anette. "From Counting Risk to Making Risk Count: Boundary-Work in Risk Management." Accounting, Organizations and Society 36, nos. 4-5 (May–July 2011): 226–245.
- 2012
- Report
Starting Prices and Consumer Sensitivity to Customization
By: Marco Bertini and Luc Wathieu
- 12 Aug 2011
- Working Paper Summaries
From Counting Risk to Making Risk Count: Boundary-Work in Risk Management
Keywords:
by Anette Mikes
- 10 Feb 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Fostering Perceptions of Authenticity via Sensitive Self-Disclosure
- March 2024
- Background Note
Physical Climate Risk
By: Michael W. Toffel, Spencer Glendon and Alison Smart
This note describes how managers can identify their company’s physical climate risks, which can heighten the risk of business disruption, change the costs of operations and supply chains, and affect the demand for their goods and services. The note also provides a...
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Keywords:
Climate Change;
Adaptation;
Resilience;
Maps;
Climate Risk;
Climate Impact;
Modeling And Analysis
- December 2022
- Article
Fostering Perceptions of Authenticity via Sensitive Self-Disclosure
By: Li Jiang, Leslie K. John, Reihane Boghrati and Maryam Kouchaki
Leaders’ perceived authenticity—the sense that leaders are acting in accordance with their “true self”—is associated with positive outcomes for both employees and organizations alike. How might leaders foster this impression? We show that sensitive self-disclosure, in...
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Keywords:
Authenticity;
Weaknesses;
Self-disclosure;
Leaders;
Impression Management;
Leadership Style;
Motivation and Incentives
Jiang, Li, Leslie K. John, Reihane Boghrati, and Maryam Kouchaki. "Fostering Perceptions of Authenticity via Sensitive Self-Disclosure." Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 28, no. 4 (December 2022): 898–915.
- August 2017 (Revised November 2017)
- Case
Accounting for Political Risk at AES
By: Gerardo Pérez Cavazos and Suraj Srinivasan
As a global energy generating company, AES frequently faces challenges from political changes and instability. This is exacerbated by the fact that in many instances AES' primary customer is the government, which is also in charge of law-making. For example, AES'...
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Keywords:
Political Risk;
Asset Impairment;
Risk Factors;
Fair Value;
Fair Value Accounting;
Financial Reporting;
Financial Statements;
Energy Industry;
Bulgaria;
Dominican Republic;
United States;
Venezuela
Pérez Cavazos, Gerardo, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Accounting for Political Risk at AES." Harvard Business School Case 118-023, August 2017. (Revised November 2017.)
- August 2021
- Article
Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates
By: Samuel G. Hanson, David O. Lucca and Jonathan H. Wright
Long-term nominal interest rates are surprisingly sensitive to high-frequency (daily or monthly) movements in short-term rates. Since 2000, this high-frequency sensitivity has grown even stronger in U.S. data. By contrast, the association between low-frequency changes...
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Hanson, Samuel G., David O. Lucca, and Jonathan H. Wright. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 3 (August 2021): 1719–1781.
- November 2018
- Case
Swissgrid: Enterprise Risk Management in a Digital Age
By: Robert S. Kaplan and Anette Mikes
Kurt Meyer, chief risk officer of Swissgrid, the Swiss national electricity transmission system operator, reflects on the risk management system he installed after the deregulation and liberalization of the European energy market. With 41 connections to other European...
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Keywords:
Enterprise Risk Management;
Energy Transmission;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Risk Management;
Energy;
Energy Industry;
Utilities Industry;
Switzerland
Kaplan, Robert S., and Anette Mikes. "Swissgrid: Enterprise Risk Management in a Digital Age." Harvard Business School Case 119-045, November 2018.
- Article
Does Observability Amplify Sensitivity to Moral Frames? Evaluating a Reputation-Based Account of Moral Preferences
By: Valerio Capraro, Jillian J. Jordan and Ben Tappin
A growing body of work suggests that people are sensitive to moral framing in economic games involving prosociality, suggesting that people hold moral preferences for doing the “right thing”. What gives rise to these preferences? Here, we evaluate the explanatory power...
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Keywords:
Moral Preferences;
Moral Frames;
Observability;
Trustworthiness;
Trust Game;
Trade-off Game;
Moral Sensibility;
Reputation;
Behavior;
Trust
Capraro, Valerio, Jillian J. Jordan, and Ben Tappin. "Does Observability Amplify Sensitivity to Moral Frames? Evaluating a Reputation-Based Account of Moral Preferences." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 94 (May 2021).
- December 2022
- Technical Note
Risks and Opportunities from the Transition to a Low Carbon Economy: A Business Analysis Framework
By: George Serafeim
The transition to a low carbon economy introduces many risks and opportunities for businesses. Risks emerge from regulatory actions, such as carbon taxes and cap and trade systems, technological innovation that develop alternatives for customers making existing...
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Keywords:
Risk Assessment;
Opportunities;
Environmental Sustainability;
Carbon Footprint;
Risk Management;
Competitive Dynamics;
Business Analysis;
Climate Change;
Accounting;
Finance;
Valuation;
Business and Shareholder Relations;
Technological Innovation;
Transition;
Product Positioning;
Renewable Energy;
Analysis
Serafeim, George. "Risks and Opportunities from the Transition to a Low Carbon Economy: A Business Analysis Framework." Harvard Business School Technical Note 123-014, December 2022.
- October 26, 2022
- Article
Climate Risk Is Growing. Is Your Company Prepared?
By: John D. Macomber
Most people don’t have a strategy for how to handle the worsening perils of flooding, wildfires and extreme heat. They should adopt a four-step process for protecting their property, whether it be a home or a business. First, they should prioritize how important...
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Macomber, John D. "Climate Risk Is Growing. Is Your Company Prepared?" Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (October 26, 2022).