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- All HBS Web (119)
- Faculty Publications (22)
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- 06 Nov 2013
- What Do You Think?
Is Top-Down Resource Allocation on the Rise?
Summing Up Is Business Agility a Product of Top-Down or Bottom-Up Resource Allocation? Respondents to this month's column provided possible explanations for greater reliance on top-down resource allocation processes (RAPs) while reminding...
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by James Heskett
- 2019
- Working Paper
Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry
By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
This paper studies a novel, light-touch approach to aggregate judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and...
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Keywords:
Judgment Aggregation;
Creativity;
Film Entertainment;
Judgments;
Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen. "Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-082, January 2019. (Revised September 2019.)
- Teaching Interest
Large-Scale Investment (LSI, MBA Elective Curriculum)
By: Benjamin C. Esty
Large-Scale Investment (LSI) is a case-based course about project finance that is designed for second-year MBA students. Project finance involves the creation of a legally independent project company financed with nonrecourse debt for the purpose of investing in a...
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- October 2021
- Article
Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry
By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
We study a novel, low-cost approach to aggregating judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and investment costs...
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Keywords:
Judgment Aggregation;
Quality Uncertainty;
Creative Industry;
Project Evaluation And Selection;
Creativity;
Film Entertainment;
Judgments;
Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen. "Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry." Management Science 67, no. 10 (October 2021): 6358–6377.
- 2024
- Working Paper
Improving Human-Algorithm Collaboration: Causes and Mitigation of Over- and Under-Adherence
By: Maya Balakrishnan, Kris Ferreira and Jordan Tong
Even if algorithms make better predictions than humans on average, humans may sometimes have private information
which an algorithm does not have access to that can improve performance. How can we help humans effectively use
and adjust recommendations made by...
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Keywords:
Cognitive Biases;
Algorithm Transparency;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Behavior;
AI and Machine Learning;
Analytics and Data Science;
Cognition and Thinking
Balakrishnan, Maya, Kris Ferreira, and Jordan Tong. "Improving Human-Algorithm Collaboration: Causes and Mitigation of Over- and Under-Adherence." Working Paper, February 2024.
- August 2017 (Revised July 2018)
- Case
MannKind Corporation: Take a Deep Breath, This Time Afrezza Will Work
By: Elie Ofek and Amanda Dai
In June 2014, MannKind Corporation announced that after years of development and billions of dollars in expenses, the FDA had finally approved its drug, Afrezza. MannKind would thus be the only company with an inhalable insulin on the market. As an alternative to...
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Health Care and Treatment;
Product Launch;
Product Positioning;
Marketing Strategy;
Adoption;
Pharmaceutical Industry
Ofek, Elie, and Amanda Dai. "MannKind Corporation: Take a Deep Breath, This Time Afrezza Will Work." Harvard Business School Case 518-031, August 2017. (Revised July 2018.)
- 26 Jun 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, June 26, 2018
facial-expression tracking is used to study viewers’ real-time emotional responses when watching comedy movie trailers online. These data are used to predict both viewers’ intentions to watch the movie and the movie’s box office success....
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Dina Gerdeman
- 17 May 2017
- Research & Ideas
Minorities Who 'Whiten' Job Resumes Get More Interviews
they feel like fits within a certain box and like very much will conform and like lay low and just kind of do what’s expected of them, and they’re not necessarily looking for the outspoken like political radical person,” a View Details
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by Dina Gerdeman
- 16 Sep 2008
- First Look
First Look: September 16, 2008
format. Customers know that at some prices, firms find it profitable to produce high-quality products and at other, lower, prices, this is not the case. Thus, customer empowerment leads to higher profits. Organizational Responses to Environmental Demands: Opening the...
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- 21 Jan 2014
- First Look
First Look: January 21
in bond risk premia. Specifically, bond risk premia are high when aggregate MBS duration is high. The model offers an explanation for why long-term rates may appear to be "excessively sensitive" to movements in short rates and...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 04 Jan 2012
- First Look
First Look: January 4
be explained by choosers' behavioral biases or informational limitations. These explanations imply that absent behavioral or informational effects, larger menus would be objectively better. However, in an important economic context-401(k)...
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Carmen Nobel
- 17 Aug 2020
- Research & Ideas
What the Stockdale Paradox Tells Us About Crisis Leadership
of extreme economic, political, social, and meteorological instability. The Black Lives Matter protests that began in the United States in late May and spread worldwide have thrown another massive change agent into the equation....
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by Boris Groysberg and Robin Abrahams
- 06 Jun 2016
- Research & Ideas
Skills and Behaviors that Make Entrepreneurs Successful
makes entrepreneurial leaders tick, the answers are far from clear. In fact, most studies present conflicting findings. Entrepreneurs, it seems, are still very much a black box waiting to be opened. A...
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by HBS Working Knowledge
- 03 May 2023
- Research & Ideas
Why Confronting Racism in AI 'Creates a Better Future for All of Us'
differences in outcomes among races, you can either believe there’s something that’s wrong with one of the groups—and that’s where a lot of people go, instead of seeing the data from an unbiased, data-driven lens. Think about the racial wealth gap. One View Details
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by Barbara DeLollis
- 09 Dec 2019
- Research & Ideas
Identify Great Customers from Their First Purchase
one or two variables alone that can explain that.” What’s inside the black box? Unlocking the mysteries of the black box is something Ascarza has started to explore. She...
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- 16 Nov 2015
- Research & Ideas
Does Competition Make Us More Creative?
2016.) “We tend to study innovation in terms of inputs like R&D spending or outcomes like patents,” says Gross, “but creativity is really about what happens in between. It’s really about this process of exploring new and untested ideas.” Peering inside that View Details
- 18 Nov 2015
- Research & Ideas
Who Really Determines CEO Salary Packages?
Effects on the Design of Executive Compensation Contracts. The answer could help to explain why CEO salaries tend to be very high across the board. “There’s always been this black box surrounding what...
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- 06 Oct 2003
- Research & Ideas
The Problem with Hedge Funds
fund managers will know exactly what caused an investment to be a success or a failure. From the point of view of most investors, including the banks that claim expertise when they intermediate investors' money, invested funds go into a View Details
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by D. Quinn Mills
- 23 Dec 2013
- Research & Ideas
Just How Independent are ‘Independent’ Directors?
direction for future research in those countries. In a sense, this data pulls open the black box of boards of directors, shining some sunlight on what happens inside.
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by Michael Blanding
- 16 Apr 2012
- Research & Ideas
The Inner Workings of Corporate Headquarters
"black box." Peering Into The Black Box In a new working paper written with Adam M. Kleinbaum (HBS DBA'08) of Dartmouth's Tuck School of Business, titled Inside the View Details
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by Michael Blanding