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- All HBS Web (182)
- Faculty Publications (41)
Show Results For
- All HBS Web (182)
- Faculty Publications (41)
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- November 2023
- Article
A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates
We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the...
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 138, no. 4 (November 2023): 2327–2389.
- May 2008
- Article
Excess Comovement of Stock Returns: Evidence from Cross-sectional Variation in Nikkei 225 Weights
By: Robin Greenwood
In the presence of limits to arbitrage, cross-sectional variation in periodic investor demand should be related to the degree of comovement of returns. I exploit the unusual weighting system of the Nikkei 225 index in Japan to identify cross-sectional variation in...
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Keywords:
Stocks;
Investment;
Investment Return;
Market Transactions;
Weight;
Performance Expectations;
Behavior;
Japan
Greenwood, Robin. "Excess Comovement of Stock Returns: Evidence from Cross-sectional Variation in Nikkei 225 Weights." Review of Financial Studies 21, no. 3 (May 2008): 1153–1186.
- Article
Waves in Ship Prices and Investment
By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
We study the link between investment boom and bust cycles and returns on capital in the dry bulk shipping industry. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but forecast low...
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Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson. "Waves in Ship Prices and Investment." Quarterly Journal of Economics 130, no. 1 (February 2015): 55–109.
- 2019
- Working Paper
Second Chance: Life with Less Student Debt
By: Marco Di Maggio, Ankit Kalda and Vincent Yao
Rising student debt is considered one of the creeping threats of our time. This paper examines the effect of student debt relief on individual credit and labor market outcomes. We exploit the plausibly random debt discharge due to the inability of National Collegiate,...
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Keywords:
Student Debt;
Private Student Loans;
Legal Settlement;
Mobility;
Debt Collection;
Debt Relief;
Borrowing and Debt;
Personal Finance;
Outcome or Result;
United States
Di Maggio, Marco, Ankit Kalda, and Vincent Yao. "Second Chance: Life with Less Student Debt." Working Paper, May 2019. (Forthcoming in The Journal of Finance.)
- 05 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
China Tariffs and Coronavirus a Double Hit to American Retailers
Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School. “There is a demand shock from consumers buying less, and a supply chain disruption in addition to the tariffs, which only makes things worse.”...
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Keywords:
by Michael Blanding
- 01 Feb 2013
- Working Paper Summaries
Dollar Funding and the Lending Behavior of Global Banks
- Research Summary
Output and asset price fluctuations
What are the sources of business cycles? How are these shocks propagated in the economy? Why are their effects so persistent? How can we explain asset price fluctuations? How are shocks transmitted internationally?To study these questions, I have developed a series... View Details
- March 2015
- Article
Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates
By: Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the...
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Hanson, Samuel G., and Jeremy C. Stein. "Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates." Journal of Financial Economics 115, no. 3 (March 2015): 429–448.
- 2020
- Working Paper
Automation and the Plight of Young Workers: Evidence from the Automation of Telephone Operation in the Early 20th Century
By: Daniel P. Gross and James J. Feigenbaum
Telephone operation was one of the most common jobs for young American women in the early 1900s. Between 1920 and 1940, AT&T adopted dial service in over half of U.S. telephone exchanges, automating away a legion of operators. We show that upon a city's adoption of...
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Keywords:
Employment;
Labor;
Gender;
Technology Adoption;
History;
Telecommunications Industry;
United States
- 2019
- Working Paper
The Effect of Payment Choices on Online Retail: Evidence from the 2016 Indian Demonetization
By: Chaithanya Bandi, Antonio Moreno, Donald Ngwe and Zhiji Xu
The Indian banknote demonetization in 2016 was one of the most significant international events of that year. Overnight, 86% of Indian currency in circulation was declared invalid unless exchanged for new bills. The sudden and unexpected demonetization constituted a...
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Keywords:
Cash On Delivery;
Online Retail;
Product Returns;
Payment Methods;
Digitization;
Emerging Markets;
Currency;
Internet and the Web;
Demand and Consumers;
Retail Industry;
India
Bandi, Chaithanya, Antonio Moreno, Donald Ngwe, and Zhiji Xu. "The Effect of Payment Choices on Online Retail: Evidence from the 2016 Indian Demonetization." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-123, June 2019.
- August 2023 (Revised October 2023)
- Case
Beyond the Barricades: Chile 2023
Chile, often considered among Latin America's greatest economic success stories, suffered a shocking wave of protests in October 2019, as its citizens demanded reforms across healthcare and education systems, and protested inequality and rising costs of living. As...
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Keywords:
Government Administration;
Developing Countries and Economies;
Economic Growth;
Social Issues;
Wealth and Poverty;
Public Opinion;
Equality and Inequality;
Public Administration Industry;
Chile;
Latin America;
South America
Spar, Debora, Willis Emmons, Leonard A. Schlesinger, and Ruth Costas. "Beyond the Barricades: Chile 2023." Harvard Business School Case 324-005, August 2023. (Revised October 2023.)
- 2023
- Working Paper
Who Invests in Crypto? Wealth, Financial Constraints, and Risk Attitudes
By: Darren Aiello, Scott R. Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson and Jason Kotter
We provide a first look into the drivers of household cryptocurrency investing. Analyzing
consumer transaction data for millions of U.S. households, we find that, except for high income
early adopters, cryptocurrency investors resemble the general population. These...
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Keywords:
Consumer Finance;
Cryptocurrency;
Fintech;
Inflation;
Portfolio Choice;
Stimulus;
Consumer Behavior;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Investment
Aiello, Darren, Scott R. Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson, and Jason Kotter. "Who Invests in Crypto? Wealth, Financial Constraints, and Risk Attitudes." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-073, May 2023. (Revised November 2023. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 31856, November 2023)
- 2019
- Working Paper
Government Technology Policy, Social Value, and National Competitiveness
By: Frank Nagle
This study seeks to better understand the impact that government technology procurement regulations have on social value and national competitiveness. To do this, it examines the impact of a change in France’s technology procurement policy that required government...
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Keywords:
Social Value;
Competitiveness;
Government Administration;
Information Technology;
Acquisition;
Policy;
Value
Nagle, Frank. "Government Technology Policy, Social Value, and National Competitiveness." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-103, March 2019.
- August 2015
- Article
Poultry in Motion: A Study of International Trade Finance Practices
By: Pol Antràs and C. Fritz Foley
This paper analyzes the financing terms that support international trade and sheds light on how these terms shape the impact of economic shocks on trade. Analysis of transaction-level data from a U.S.-based exporter of frozen and refrigerated food products, primarily...
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Antràs, Pol, and C. Fritz Foley. "Poultry in Motion: A Study of International Trade Finance Practices." Journal of Political Economy 123, no. 4 (August 2015): 853–901. (Revised May 2014. Online Appendix.)
- 02 Jul 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
- 09 Nov 2009
- Research & Ideas
Come Fly with Me: A History of Airline Leadership
competitive threats Changing consumer demands Low barriers to entry Many niche opportunities As I've noted above, leaders who are successful in industries over a long period of time have become skilled at either adapting to or influencing...
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- 31 May 2011
- First Look
First Look: May 31
PublicationsDo Voters Demand Responsive Governments? Evidence from Indian Disaster Relief Authors:Shawn Cole, Andrew Healy, and Eric Werker Publication:Journal of Development Economics (forthcoming) Abstract Using rainfall, public...
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Keywords:
Sean Silverthorne
- 24 Apr 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas, April 24, 2018
shocks and within-/cross-category spillovers. Multiple equilibria are addressed by estimating a selection function from the observed data. The Bayesian approach that combines decision-making with parameter inference, as well as multiple...
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Keywords:
Sean Silverthorne
- 01 Apr 2024
- In Practice
Navigating the Mood of Customers Weary of Price Hikes
businesses need to know in 2024. Alexander MacKay: Focus on finding balance Since 2021, as companies faced supply shocks and changes to demand in an inflationary period, executives have increasingly focused...
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- 29 Jun 2010
- First Look
First Look: June 29
model of financial innovation, in which intermediaries engineer securities with cash flows that investors seek, but modify two assumptions. First, investors (and possibly intermediaries) neglect certain unlikely risks. Second, investors View Details
Keywords:
Martha Lagace