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All HBS Web
(1,322)
- People (1)
- News (330)
- Research (759)
- Events (4)
- Multimedia (1)
- Faculty Publications (152)
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- Article
The Cross Section of Expected Holding Period Returns and Their Dynamics: A Present Value Approach
By: Matthew R. Lyle and Charles C.Y. Wang
We provide a tractable model of firm-level expected holding period returns using two firm fundamentals—book-to-market ratio and ROE—and study the cross-sectional properties of the model-implied expected returns. We find that 1) firm-level expected returns and expected...
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Keywords:
Expected Returns;
Discount Rates;
Holding Period Returns;
Fundamental Valuation;
Present Value;
Valuation;
Investment Return
Lyle, Matthew R., and Charles C.Y. Wang. "The Cross Section of Expected Holding Period Returns and Their Dynamics: A Present Value Approach." Journal of Financial Economics 116, no. 3 (June 2015): 505–525.
- May 1996
- Case
First Capital Holdings Corp.
By: Stuart C. Gilson, Harry DeAngelo and Linda DeAngelo
The manager of a money-management firm considers whether to invest in the securities of a large, financially troubled, California-based life insurance holding company that holds 40% of its assets in high-yield junk bonds. Over the past year, the value of its portfolio...
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Keywords:
Risk Management;
Debt Securities;
Bonds;
Valuation;
Investment Return;
Fair Value Accounting;
Financial Institutions;
Insurance Industry
Gilson, Stuart C., Harry DeAngelo, and Linda DeAngelo. "First Capital Holdings Corp." Harvard Business School Case 296-032, May 1996.
- 2007
- Other Unpublished Work
Round Numbers and Security Returns
By: Edward Johnson, Nicole Bastian Johnson and Devin M. Shanthikumar
We document consistent differences in daily stock returns related to round numbers. In particular, we examine returns following previous day closing prices that are just above or just below round number benchmarks. We find, for both one-digit, two-digit and three-digit...
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- November 2001 (Revised April 2002)
- Case
Taking Charge at Dogus Holding (A)
By: Rakesh Khurana, Gina Carioggia and Simon Johnson
Describes 37-year-old Ferit Sahenk's challenges in taking over his father's traditionally managed $14 billion Turkish conglomerate in a period of economic instability. Leading the large holding company into the 21st century will require the establishment of a more...
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Keywords:
Business Conglomerates;
Trade;
Competitive Strategy;
Decision Making;
Leadership;
Performance Effectiveness;
Organizational Change and Adaptation;
Family Business;
Change Management;
Turkey
Khurana, Rakesh, Gina Carioggia, and Simon Johnson. "Taking Charge at Dogus Holding (A)." Harvard Business School Case 402-009, November 2001. (Revised April 2002.)
- June 1993 (Revised April 1998)
- Case
COMCO Holding AG (B): COMCO Martech
COMCO Martech was a new breed of joint venture for COMCO Holding, a mid-sized Swiss-German company that had grown over a five-year period through tie-ups with small, start-up companies. Whereas a typical COMCO venture provided services to a large German retailer, was...
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Keywords:
Joint Ventures;
Business Startups;
Trade;
Operations;
Environmental Sustainability;
Business or Company Management;
Multinational Firms and Management;
Partners and Partnerships;
Switzerland;
United States;
Europe
Kanter, Rosabeth M. "COMCO Holding AG (B): COMCO Martech." Harvard Business School Case 393-143, June 1993. (Revised April 1998.)
- Research Summary
Cross-ownership, returns and voting in mergers
We show that institutional shareholders of acquiring companies on average do not lose money around public merger announcements, because they also hold substantial stakes in the targets and make up for the losses from the former with the gains from the latter. Depending...
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- 2014
- Article
Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns
By: Robin Greenwood and Dimitri Vayanos
We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our analysis is based on a theoretical model of preferred habitat in which clienteles with strong preferences for specific maturities trade with arbitrageurs....
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Greenwood, Robin, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 3 (March 2014): 663–713. (Also earlier version NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13806, February 2008.)
- December 2020
- Article
Stock Market Returns and Consumption
By: Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani and Kaveh Majlesi
This paper employs Swedish data containing security level information on households' stock holdings to investigate how consumption responds to changes in stock market returns. We exploit households’ portfolio weights in previous years as an instrument for actual...
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Keywords:
Capital Gain;
Dividend Income;
Consumption;
Near-rational Behavior;
Investment Return;
Household;
Spending;
Behavior
Di Maggio, Marco, Amir Kermani, and Kaveh Majlesi. "Stock Market Returns and Consumption." Journal of Finance 75, no. 6 (December 2020): 3175–3219. (DFA Distinguished Paper Prize.)
- October 2000
- Article
The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
The share of equity issues in total new equity and debt issues is a strong predictor of U.S. stock market returns between 1928 and 1997. In particular, firms issue more equity than debt just before periods of low market returns. The equity share in new issues has...
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Keywords:
Equity;
Borrowing and Debt;
Stocks;
Markets;
Debt Securities;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Accounting Industry;
United States
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 55, no. 5 (October 2000): 2219–57.
- 26 Feb 2008
- Working Paper Summaries
Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk and Asset Returns
- 2023
- Working Paper
Avoiding Idiosyncratic Volatility: Flow Sensitivity to Individual Stock Returns
By: Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Shimon Kogan and Ran Xing
Despite positive and significant earnings announcement premia, we find that institutional investors reduce their exposure to stocks before earnings announcements. A novel result on the sensitivity of flows to individual stock returns provides a potential explanation....
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Keywords:
New Trading;
Mutual Funds;
Fund Flows;
Limits To Arbitrage;
Financial Constraints;
Earnings Announcements;
Institutional Investing;
Stocks
Di Maggio, Marco, Francesco Franzoni, Shimon Kogan, and Ran Xing. "Avoiding Idiosyncratic Volatility: Flow Sensitivity to Individual Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-072, March 2023. (Revise and Resubmit to The Journal of Finance.)
- September 2016 (Revised March 2018)
- Case
Qalaa Holdings and the Egyptian Refining Company
By: Victoria Ivashina and Marc Homsy
This case follows Qalaa Holdings, a successful Egypt-based private equity firm, and gives insight into the types of investments it pursued, its growth over time, and the limited partner base it had at hand. It also allows students to consider and debate whether the...
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Keywords:
Africa;
Structuring And Financing Large Projects;
Private Equity;
Infrastructure;
Project Finance;
Emerging Markets;
Financial Services Industry;
Egypt;
Africa
Ivashina, Victoria, and Marc Homsy. "Qalaa Holdings and the Egyptian Refining Company." Harvard Business School Case 217-011, September 2016. (Revised March 2018.)
- 05 Jul 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the Excess Comovement of Stock Returns
- April 4, 2009
- Article
The Return of State-Owned Enterprises: Should We Be Afraid?
By: Aldo Musacchio and Francisco Flores-Macias
The global financial crisis of 2008-2009 has prompted many industrialized states worldwide to increase their stakes in private corporations. This wave of partial nationalizations has come amidst full-scale expropriations in developing countries such as Venezuela,...
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Keywords:
History;
Private Ownership;
State Ownership;
Financial Crisis;
Business and Government Relations
Musacchio, Aldo, and Francisco Flores-Macias. "The Return of State-Owned Enterprises: Should We Be Afraid?" Harvard International Review (website) (April 4, 2009).
- July 2014
- Article
Winners in the Spotlight: Media Coverage of Fund Holdings as a Driver of Flows
By: David H. Solomon, Eugene F. Soltes and Denis Sosyura
We show that media coverage of mutual fund holdings affects how investors allocate money across funds. Controlling for fund performance, fund holdings with high past returns attract extra flows only if these stocks were recently featured in major newspapers. In...
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Solomon, David H., Eugene F. Soltes, and Denis Sosyura. "Winners in the Spotlight: Media Coverage of Fund Holdings as a Driver of Flows." Journal of Financial Economics 113, no. 1 (July 2014): 53–72.
- 2022
- Working Paper
Hidden Alpha
By: Lauren Cohen, Manuel Amman, Alexander Cochardt and Stephan Heller
Using the setting of financial agents, we explore the importance of hidden connections relative
to all other network connections. We find that hidden connections are those associated with
the largest and most significant abnormal returns accruing to fund managers—on...
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- December 2019 (Revised January 2021)
- Supplement
The Leveraged Buyout of TXU: (B) Energy Future Holdings
By: Trevor Fetter, Erik Snowberg and Rebecca M. Henderson
This case is designed to support a lively discussion about the relative merits of shareholder vs. stakeholder perspectives in the context of a company that provides a vital public service that has important environmental implications. The 2007 purchase of TXU, the...
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Keywords:
Leveraged Buyouts;
Transformation;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Environmental Sustainability;
Business and Shareholder Relations;
Business and Stakeholder Relations;
Energy Generation;
Utilities Industry;
Energy Industry;
Texas
Fetter, Trevor, Erik Snowberg, and Rebecca M. Henderson. "The Leveraged Buyout of TXU: (B) Energy Future Holdings." Harvard Business School Supplement 320-065, December 2019. (Revised January 2021.)
- 09 May 2005
- Research & Ideas
Hold or Fold? Sizing Up Business Risk
results to date of the current game. We define the results to date in terms of the desired currency of the return for whatever kind of bet we are looking at—money for investments, for example; love and support for marriages; money,...
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- October 2008
- Article
The Small World of Investing: Board Connections and Mutual Fund Returns
By: Lauren Cohen, Andrea Frazzini and Christopher J. Malloy
This paper uses social networks to identify information transfer in security markets. We focus on connections between mutual fund managers and corporate board members via shared education networks. We find that portfolio managers place larger bets on firms they are...
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Keywords:
Financial Markets;
Information Management;
Social and Collaborative Networks;
Announcements;
Investment Portfolio;
Investment Return;
Investment Funds;
Asset Pricing;
Governing and Advisory Boards
Cohen, Lauren, Andrea Frazzini, and Christopher J. Malloy. "The Small World of Investing: Board Connections and Mutual Fund Returns." Journal of Political Economy 116, no. 5 (October 2008): 951–979. (Winner of the Barclays Global Investors Award, Best Paper in Asset Pricing, European Finance Association 2007.)
- 12 Feb 2008
- Working Paper Summaries