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- Faculty Publications (11)
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- 2022
- Working Paper
The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates
In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the...
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Keywords:
United States Treasury;
Monetary Policy;
Yield Curve;
Central Banking;
Interest Rates;
Valuation
Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Working Paper, January 2022.
- 2022
- Chapter
State-Formation, Statist Islam, and Regime Instability: Evidence from Turkey
By: Kristin Fabbe
Religion, and particularly the forces of political Islam and state secularism, have been central to discussions of regime stability in the Turkish case. Intense polarization, political instability, and military interventions have propelled Turkey into crisis about once...
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Keywords:
Ottoman Empire;
Regime;
State Secularism;
Political Islam;
Democracy;
Autocracy;
Religion;
Government and Politics;
Turkey
Fabbe, Kristin. "State-Formation, Statist Islam, and Regime Instability: Evidence from Turkey." In The Oxford Handbook of Politics in Muslim Societies, edited by Melani Cammett and Pauline Jones. New York: Oxford University Press, 2022.
- 2019
- Book
Disciples of the State?: Religion and State-Building in the Former Ottoman World
By: Kristin Fabbe
As the Ottoman Empire crumbled, the Middle East and Balkans became the site of contestation and cooperation between the traditional forces of religion and the emergent machine of the sovereign state. Yet such strategic interaction rarely yielded a decisive victory for...
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Keywords:
Ottoman Empire;
Secularism;
State-building;
Religion;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
History;
Turkey;
Greece;
Middle East
Fabbe, Kristin. Disciples of the State?: Religion and State-Building in the Former Ottoman World. Cambridge University Press, 2019.
- 25 Apr 2004
- Conference Presentation
Secular Changes in Testosterone over 17 Years: Results from the Massachusetts Male Aging Study
By: William B. Simpson, Andre B. Araujo, Christopher Longcope and John B. McKinlay
- Teaching Interest
Overview
Globalization and Emerging Markets (Elective Course)
The world order has changed significantly in the last two decades. The influence of western-style varieties of capitalism has been challenged by new forms of capitalism that rely less on private enterprise and on the...
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Keywords:
Globalization;
Strategy;
Macroeconomics;
State Capitalism;
Political Economy;
Emerging Markets;
Multinational Firms and Management;
Global Strategy;
Economics;
Energy Industry;
Retail Industry;
Mining Industry;
Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry;
Banking Industry;
China;
Africa;
Dubai;
Pakistan;
India;
Brazil;
Russia;
Cuba;
Argentina
- Research Summary
Modernization Regimes
Professor Fabbe is currently conducting fieldwork for a book project that focuses on how societies respond to crisis and how states seek to use modernization initiatives to strengthen social resilience and cohesion. Towards this end, she is researching local... View Details
- September 2017
- Teaching Note
The Productivity Decline: Demographics, Robots, or Globalization?
By: Laura Alfaro and Hayley Pallan
In the early 21st century, there was a noticeable trend of declining productivity growth. Despite the persistent decline in productivity growth, a consensus on its explanation had not been reached. Some of the debate focused on the technicalities of productivity...
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- September 2017 (Revised August 2018)
- Case
The Productivity Decline: Demographics, Robots, or Globalization?
By: Laura Alfaro, Hayley Pallan and Sarah Jeong
In the early 21st century, there was a noticeable trend of declining productivity growth. Despite the persistent decline in productivity growth, a consensus on its explanation had not been reached. Some of the debate focused on the technicalities of productivity...
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Keywords:
Productivity;
Performance Productivity;
Measurement and Metrics;
Technological Innovation;
Economic Slowdown and Stagnation;
Globalization;
Business and Government Relations
Alfaro, Laura, Hayley Pallan, and Sarah Jeong. "The Productivity Decline: Demographics, Robots, or Globalization?" Harvard Business School Case 718-013, September 2017. (Revised August 2018.)
- 2016
- Working Paper
College Tuition, Public Finance and New Business Starts
By: Gareth Olds
A growing public discourse cites the rising cost of education and student debt overhang as a contributor to slow economic growth. A parallel discussion explores the causes of the secular decline in business dynamism and entrepreneurship rates in the United States over...
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Olds, Gareth. "College Tuition, Public Finance and New Business Starts." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-145, June 2016.
- 2016
- Working Paper
Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents
By: David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, Pian Shu and Gary Pisano
Manufacturing is the locus of U.S. innovation, accounting for more than three quarters of U.S. corporate patents. The rise of import competition from China has represented a major competitive shock to the sector, which in theory could benefit or stifle innovation. In...
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Keywords:
Patents;
Competition;
System Shocks;
Trade;
Innovation and Invention;
Manufacturing Industry;
China;
United States
Autor, David, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, Pian Shu, and Gary Pisano. "Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 22879, December 2016.
- 20 Dec 2016
- First Look
December 20, 2016
contend with the fact that patenting is highly concentrated in certain product categories and that this concentration has been shifting over time. Accounting for secular trends in innovative activities, we find that the impact of the...
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Keywords:
Carmen Nobel
- 22 Apr 2014
- First Look
First Look: April 22
decision-making is limited. Exploiting exogenous variation in state compulsory schooling laws in both standard and two-sample instrumental variable strategies, we show education increases financial market participation, measured by...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 31 May 2016
- First Look
May 31, 2016
additively separable in its state variables, leading to conquering the curse of dimensionality and the opportunity to manage the supply chain using independently acting managers. We develop conditions under which myopic policies are...
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Keywords:
Sean Silverthorne
- 11 Mar 2019
- Research & Ideas
Branding Sells Cereal, Handbags, and Vacations. Can It Sell a Country?
secularization after the death of dictator Francisco Franco. Relevant. Governments can’t sway the opinion of a disinterested audience. The imagery and associations of the place need to matter to the targeted audience. A branding campaign...
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- 12 Oct 1999
- Research & Ideas
Spirit at Work: The Search for Deeper Meaning in the Workplace
hitting best-seller lists lately, and conferences on spirituality and business have been springing up all over the United States and Canada. Web sites dedicated to such topics now pepper the Internet. Even the World Economic Forum devoted...
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by Marguerite Rigoglioso
- 07 Sep 2010
- Research & Ideas
Mindful Leadership: When East Meets West
teamed with Tibetan Buddhist meditation master Yongey Mingyur Rinpoche to present a conference on "mindful leadership," a secular process to explore the roles of self-awareness and self-compassion in developing strong and...
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by Sean Silverthorne
- 14 Nov 2019
- Book
Lifting the Lid on Turkey's Hidden Business History
Brazil and Russia. My London School of Economics colleague Janet Hunter and I start our chapter with skepticism about such rankings, suggesting for example that the good standing of the United States in such metrics probably fails to take...
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by Sean Silverthorne
- 20 Sep 2016
- First Look
September 20, 2016
of traditional U.S. public companies by more R&D-intensive firms is key to understanding the secular trend in average cash holdings. Over the last 35 years, an increasing share of R&D-intensive firms has entered the stock market...
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Keywords:
Sean Silverthorne
- 26 Jan 2009
- Research & Ideas
Where is Home for the Global Firm?
States for Bermuda. While their move was blocked, I was struck by their motivations and the relative ease with which a firm could do this—and the consequences for shareholders, managers, and the government. At the same time, I was writing...
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Keywords:
by Martha Lagace
- 23 Jan 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas, January 23, 2018
introduction of robots in place of workers, garnering the interest of academic economists, businesses and policymakers. Another contention was whether declining productivity was the result of secular stagnation, a more permanent economic...
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Keywords:
Sean Silverthorne