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All HBS Web
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- Faculty Publications (14)
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- 2023
- Working Paper
Healthcare Provider Bankruptcies
By: Samuel Antill, Jessica Bai, Ashvin Gandhi and Adrienne Sabety
Healthcare firms are increasingly filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Using two strategies, we show causal evidence that bankruptcies harm patients through increased worker turnover. First, in an online experiment, experienced nurses assess hypothetical employers and...
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Keywords:
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Health Care and Treatment;
Outcome or Result;
Retention;
Health Industry
Antill, Samuel, Jessica Bai, Ashvin Gandhi, and Adrienne Sabety. "Healthcare Provider Bankruptcies." Working Paper, November 2023.
- August 2023
- Article
Financing the Litigation Arms Race
By: Samuel Antill and Steven R. Grenadier
Using a dynamic real-option model of litigation, we show that the increasingly popular practice of third-party litigation financing has ambiguous implications for total ex-post litigant surplus. A defendant and a plaintiff bargain over a settlement payment. The...
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Keywords:
Litigation Financing;
Dynamic Bargaining;
Real Options;
Lawsuits and Litigation;
Financing and Loans
Antill, Samuel, and Steven R. Grenadier. "Financing the Litigation Arms Race." Journal of Financial Economics 149, no. 2 (August 2023): 218–234.
- 2023
- Working Paper
Much Ado About Nothing? Overreaction to Random Regulatory Audits
By: Samuel Antill and Joseph Kalmenovitz
Regulators often audit firms to detect non-compliance. Exploiting a natural experiment in the lobbying industry, we show that firms overreact to audits and this response distorts prices and reduces welfare. Each year, federal regulators audit a random sample of...
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Antill, Samuel, and Joseph Kalmenovitz. "Much Ado About Nothing? Overreaction to Random Regulatory Audits." Working Paper, August 2023.
- Article
Do the Right Firms Survive Bankruptcy?
By: Samuel Antill
In U.S. Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases, firms are either reorganized, acquired, or liquidated. I show that decisions to liquidate often reduce creditor recovery, costing creditors billions of dollars every year. I exploit the within-district random assignment of...
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Keywords:
Bankruptcy;
Bankruptcy Reorganization;
Recovery Rate;
Structural Estimation;
Roy Model;
363 Sales;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms
Antill, Samuel. "Do the Right Firms Survive Bankruptcy?" Journal of Financial Economics 144, no. 2 (May 2022): 523–546.
- April 2022 (Revised December 2022)
- Supplement
Hertz in Bankruptcy: A Wild Ride in Pandemic Times
- February 2022 (Revised March 2022)
- Case
Hertz in Bankruptcy: A Wild Ride in Pandemic Times
Hertz filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in response to asset-backed securities (ABS) obligations and the COVID-19 pandemic. Enthusiastic Robinhood investors and shrewd negotiating tactics helped Hertz stabilize. Roughly nine months into the bankruptcy, Hertz received...
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Keywords:
Bankruptcy Reorganization;
COVID-19 Pandemic;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Health Pandemics;
Valuation;
Capital Structure;
Negotiation;
Private Equity;
Travel Industry;
United States
Antill, Samuel, Stuart Gilson, and Kristin Mugford. "Hertz in Bankruptcy: A Wild Ride in Pandemic Times." Harvard Business School Case 222-064, February 2022. (Revised March 2022.)
- January 2022
- Technical Note
Introduction to Capital Structure Analytics
By: Samuel Antill and Ted Berk
This technical note provides an overview of key analytical approaches that are useful in assessing the appropriateness of a firm’s capital structure and funding plan. This note introduces basic quantitative tools and metrics that are commonly used as inputs to this...
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Keywords:
Budgets and Budgeting;
Business Plan;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Borrowing and Debt;
Corporate Finance;
Capital Structure;
Cash Flow;
Financial Liquidity;
Financial Management;
Financing and Loans
Antill, Samuel, and Ted Berk. "Introduction to Capital Structure Analytics." Harvard Business School Technical Note 222-061, January 2022.
- 2021
- Working Paper
Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy
By: Samuel Antill and Megan Hunter
Using an incentivized randomized experiment, we estimate the causal effect of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing on consumer demand for the bankrupt firm's products. Knowledge of Hertz's Chapter 11 bankruptcy reduces consumers' willingness-to-pay for Hertz by 35%. We show...
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Keywords:
Consumer Choice;
Bankruptcy;
Financial Distress;
Structural Estimation;
Experimental Economics;
Hertz;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Consumer Behavior
Antill, Samuel, and Megan Hunter. "Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy." Working Paper, August 2021. (Revise & Resubmit, Journal of Finance.)
- July 2021
- Article
Augmenting Markets with Mechanisms
By: Samuel Antill and Darrell Duffie
We explain how the common practice of size-discovery trade detracts from overall financial market efficiency. At each of a series of size-discovery sessions, traders report their desired trades, generating allocations of the asset and cash that rely on the most recent...
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Keywords:
Mechanism Design;
Price Impact;
Size Discovery;
Allocative Efficiency;
Workup;
Dark Pool;
Financial Markets;
Market Design;
Performance Efficiency
Antill, Samuel, and Darrell Duffie. "Augmenting Markets with Mechanisms." Review of Economic Studies 88, no. 4 (July 2021): 1665–1719.
- 2021
- Working Paper
Crisis Interventions in Corporate Insolvency
By: Samuel Antill and Christopher Clayton
We model the optimal resolution of insolvent firms in general equilibrium. Collateral constrained
banks lend to (i) solvent firms to finance investments and (ii) distressed firms to
avoid liquidation. Liquidations create negative fire-sale externalities. Liquidations...
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Keywords:
Insolvent Firms;
Government Intervention;
Liquidation;
Econometric Models;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Governance;
Policy
Antill, Samuel, and Christopher Clayton. "Crisis Interventions in Corporate Insolvency." Working Paper, February 2021. (Accept with Revisions, Journal of Finance.)
- 2020
- Working Paper
Are Bankruptcy Professional Fees Excessively High?
By: Samuel Antill
Antill, Samuel. "Are Bankruptcy Professional Fees Excessively High?" Working Paper, September 2020.
- July 2019
- Article
Optimal Capital Structure and Bankruptcy Choice: Dynamic Bargaining vs Liquidation
By: Samuel Antill and Steven R. Grenadier
We model a firm’s optimal capital structure decision in a framework in which it may later choose to enter either Chapter 11 reorganization or Chapter 7 liquidation. Creditors anticipate equityholders’ ex-post reorganization incentives and price them into the ex-ante...
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Keywords:
Default;
Dynamic Bargaining;
Capital Structure;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Mathematical Methods
Antill, Samuel, and Steven R. Grenadier. "Optimal Capital Structure and Bankruptcy Choice: Dynamic Bargaining vs Liquidation." Journal of Financial Economics 133, no. 1 (July 2019): 198–224.
- 2017
- Working Paper
Investment Timing with Costly Search for Financing
By: Samuel Antill
I develop a dynamic model of investment timing in which firms must first choose when to search for external financing. Search is costly and the arrival of investors is uncertain, leading to delay in financing and investment. Depending on parameters, my model can...
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Keywords:
Real Options;
Search And Bargaining;
Time-varying Financial Conditions;
Investment;
Venture Capital;
Mathematical Methods
Antill, Samuel. "Investment Timing with Costly Search for Financing." Working Paper, December 2017.