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Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(3,319)
- People (9)
- News (679)
- Research (2,121)
- Events (33)
- Multimedia (25)
- Faculty Publications (1,225)
- May 2021
- Article
Is No News (Perceived as) Bad News? An Experimental Investigation of Information Disclosure
By: Ginger Zhe Jin, Michael Luca and Daniel Martin
This paper uses laboratory experiments to directly test a central prediction of disclosure theory: that strategic forces can lead those who possess private information to voluntarily provide it. In a simple sender-receiver game, we find that senders disclose favorable...
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Keywords:
Communication Games;
Disclosure;
Unraveling;
Experiments;
Information;
Product;
Quality;
Communication;
Consumer Behavior
Jin, Ginger Zhe, Michael Luca, and Daniel Martin. "Is No News (Perceived as) Bad News? An Experimental Investigation of Information Disclosure." American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 13, no. 2 (May 2021): 141–173.
- August 2020 (Revised September 2020)
- Technical Note
Assessing Prediction Accuracy of Machine Learning Models
The note introduces a variety of methods to assess the accuracy of machine learning prediction models. The note begins by briefly introducing machine learning, overfitting, training versus test datasets, and cross validation. The following accuracy metrics and tools...
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Keywords:
Machine Learning;
Statistics;
Econometric Analyses;
Experimental Methods;
Data Analysis;
Data Analytics;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Analytics and Data Science;
Analysis;
Mathematical Methods
Toffel, Michael W., Natalie Epstein, Kris Ferreira, and Yael Grushka-Cockayne. "Assessing Prediction Accuracy of Machine Learning Models." Harvard Business School Technical Note 621-045, August 2020. (Revised September 2020.)
- May 6, 2020
- Article
We Shouldn't Wait for a Breakthrough in the COVID-19 Pandemic
By: Gary P. Pisano
The ultimate solutions to the COVID-19 crisis may be big breakthroughs in building massive test and trace capacity and developing vaccines and drug remedies. But in the meantime, we should not ignore the potential cumulative impact of the many small things we already...
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Pisano, Gary P. "We Shouldn't Wait for a Breakthrough in the COVID-19 Pandemic." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (May 6, 2020).
- May 2019
- Article
Marketplace Lending: A New Banking Paradigm?
By: Boris Vallée and Yao Zeng
Marketplace lending relies on large-scale loan screening by investors, a major deviation from the traditional banking paradigm. Theoretically, participation of sophisticated investors in marketplace lending improves screening outcomes but also creates adverse...
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Keywords:
Marketplace Lending;
Screening;
Sophisticated Investors;
Adverse Selection;
Financing and Loans;
Performance;
Information
Vallée, Boris, and Yao Zeng. "Marketplace Lending: A New Banking Paradigm?" Review of Financial Studies 32, no. 5 (May 2019): 1939–1982.
- April–May 2019
- Article
Disclosure Incentives When Competing Firms Have Common Ownership
By: Jihwon Park, Jalal Sani, Nemit Shroff and Hal D. White
This paper examines whether common ownership – i.e., instances where investors simultaneously own significant stakes in competing firms – affects voluntary disclosure. We argue that common ownership (i) reduces proprietary cost concerns of disclosure, and (ii)...
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Park, Jihwon, Jalal Sani, Nemit Shroff, and Hal D. White. "Disclosure Incentives When Competing Firms Have Common Ownership." Journal of Accounting & Economics 67, nos. 2-3 (April–May 2019): 387–415.
- Article
Crowdsourcing City Government: Using Tournaments to Improve Inspection Accuracy
By: Edward Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers and Michael Luca
The proliferation of big data makes it possible to better target city services like hygiene inspections, but city governments rarely have the in-house talent needed for developing prediction algorithms. Cities could hire consultants, but a cheaper alternative is to...
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Keywords:
User-generated Content;
Operations;
Tournaments;
Policy-making;
Machine Learning;
Online Platforms;
Analytics and Data Science;
Mathematical Methods;
City;
Infrastructure;
Business Processes;
Government and Politics
Glaeser, Edward, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers, and Michael Luca. "Crowdsourcing City Government: Using Tournaments to Improve Inspection Accuracy." American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 106, no. 5 (May 2016): 114–118.
- December 2014
- Article
Selecting the Best? Spillover and Shadows in Elimination Tournaments
By: Jennifer Brown and Dylan B. Minor
We consider how past, current, and future competition within an elimination tournament affect the probability that the stronger player wins. We present a two-stage model that yields the following main results: (1) a shadow effect—the stronger the expected future...
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Keywords:
Elimination Tournament;
Dynamic Contest;
Contest Design;
Effort Choice;
Betting Markets;
Competitive Advantage;
Game Theory
Brown, Jennifer, and Dylan B. Minor. "Selecting the Best? Spillover and Shadows in Elimination Tournaments." Management Science 60, no. 12 (December 2014): 3087–3102.
- 2014
- Working Paper
The Cost of Friendship
By: Paul A. Gompers, Vladimir Mukharlyamov and Yuhai Xuan
We investigate how personal characteristics affect people's desire to collaborate and whether this attraction enhances or detracts from performance in venture capital. We find that venture capitalists who share the same ethnic, educational, or career background are...
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Gompers, Paul A., Vladimir Mukharlyamov, and Yuhai Xuan. "The Cost of Friendship." Working Paper, 2014.
- 2014
- Working Paper
Evolution of Land Distribution in West Bengal 1967-2004: Role of Land Reform and Demographic Changes
By: Pranab Bardhan, Michael Luca, Dilip Mookherjee and Francisco Pino
This paper studies how land reform and population growth affect land inequality and landlessness, focusing particularly on indirect effects owing to their influence on household divisions and land market transactions. Theoretical predictions of a model of household...
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Keywords:
Inequality;
Land Reform;
Household Division;
Land Markets;
Equality and Inequality;
Property;
West Bengal
Bardhan, Pranab, Michael Luca, Dilip Mookherjee, and Francisco Pino. "Evolution of Land Distribution in West Bengal 1967-2004: Role of Land Reform and Demographic Changes." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 14-066, January 2014.
- March 2013
- Article
Financial Development, Fixed Costs and International Trade
Exporting firms face significant up-front costs in product design, marketing, and distribution, which likely would be difficult to finance externally. We argue that a developed financial system can facilitate exports, and we test three implications. First, a more...
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Becker, Bo, David Greenberg, and Jinzhu Chen. "Financial Development, Fixed Costs and International Trade." Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2, no. 1 (March 2013): 1–28.
- 2013
- Working Paper
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence...
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Keywords:
Expectations Hypothesis;
Term Structure;
Real Interest Rate Risk;
Inflation Risk;
Inflation-Indexed Bonds;
Financial Crisis;
Inflation and Deflation;
Financial Liquidity;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
Risk and Uncertainty;
United Kingdom;
United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
- July 2009
- Article
How Is Foreign Aid Spent? Evidence from a Natural Experiment
By: Eric D. Werker, Faisal Z. Ahmed and Charles Cohen
We use oil price fluctuations to test the impact of transfers from wealthy OPEC nations to their poorer Muslim allies. The instrument identifies plausibly exogenous variation in foreign aid. We investigate how aid is spent by tracking its short-run effect on aggregate...
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Werker, Eric D., Faisal Z. Ahmed, and Charles Cohen. "How Is Foreign Aid Spent? Evidence from a Natural Experiment." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 1, no. 2 (July 2009): 225–244. (Reprinted in Geopolitics of Foreign Aid, ed. Helen Milner and Dustin Tingley. Northampton: Edward Elgar, 2013.)
- 2008
- Working Paper
Just Keep My Money! Supporting Tax-time Savings with U.S. Savings Bonds
By: Peter Tufano
This paper reports the results of a 2007 experiment testing if specific process simplification can foster increased take-up rates for savings products, particularly by low-to-moderate income (LMI) households. Tax refund recipients at certain H&R Block tax preparation...
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Tufano, Peter. "Just Keep My Money! Supporting Tax-time Savings with U.S. Savings Bonds." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-059, October 2008. (Revised August 2010.)
- December 2009
- Article
Catering Through Nominal Share Prices
By: Malcolm Baker, Robin Greenwood and Jeffrey Wurgler
We propose and test a catering theory of nominal stock prices. The theory predicts that when investors place higher valuation on low-price firms, managers will maintain share prices at lower levels, and vice-versa. Using measures of time-varying catering incentives...
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Baker, Malcolm, Robin Greenwood, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Catering Through Nominal Share Prices." Journal of Finance 64, no. 6 (December 2009): 2559–2590. (Internet Appendix.)
- August 2005 (Revised March 2007)
- Case
Politics and Prudential Supervision: ABN Amro's Bid for Antonveneta (A)
By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
Involves the March 2005 takeover bid launched by ABN Amro, the Dutch bank, for Padua-based Banca Antoniana Popolare Veneta S.p.A. (Antonveneta)--a bid that many would view as a test of Italy's commitment to the creation of a single European market for financial...
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Keywords:
History;
Transformation;
Business and Government Relations;
Integration;
Competitive Strategy;
Mergers and Acquisitions;
Emerging Markets;
Financial Markets;
Banks and Banking;
Financial Services Industry;
European Union;
Italy
Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Politics and Prudential Supervision: ABN Amro's Bid for Antonveneta (A)." Harvard Business School Case 706-009, August 2005. (Revised March 2007.)
- August 2007
- Article
Remedying Education: Evidence from Two Randomized Experiments in India
By: A. Banerjee, Shawn A. Cole, E. Duflo and L. Linden
This paper presents the results of two randomized experiments conducted in schools in urban India. A remedial education program hired young women to teach students lagging behind in basic literacy and numeracy skills. It increased average test scores of all children in...
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Banerjee, A., Shawn A. Cole, E. Duflo, and L. Linden. "Remedying Education: Evidence from Two Randomized Experiments in India." Quarterly Journal of Economics 122, no. 3 (August 2007): 1235–1264.
- 2009
- Other Unpublished Work
Heterogeneous Technology Diffusion and Ricardian Trade Patterns
By: William R. Kerr
This study tests the importance of Ricardian technology differences for international trade. The developed panel includes both emerging and advanced economies, and particular attention is devoted to the variation exploited in empirical tests. The elasticity of export...
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Kerr, William R. "Heterogeneous Technology Diffusion and Ricardian Trade Patterns". 2009.
- 20 Feb 2020
- News
Productive Innovation: Building a Culture of Experimentation
- September 2022
- Article
Health Externalities and Policy: The Role of Social Preferences
By: Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf and Farzad Saidi
Social preferences facilitate the internalization of health externalities, for example by reducing mobility during a pandemic. We test this hypothesis using mobility data from 258 cities worldwide alongside experimentally validated measures of social preferences....
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Keywords:
Social Preferences;
Pandemics;
Mobility;
Health Externalities;
Mitigation Policies;
Health Pandemics;
Cooperation;
Behavior;
Policy
Alfaro, Laura, Ester Faia, Nora Lamersdorf, and Farzad Saidi. "Health Externalities and Policy: The Role of Social Preferences." Management Science 68, no. 9 (September 2022): 6751–6761.
- 2022
- Working Paper
Heterogeneity of Gain-Loss Attitudes and Expectations-Based Reference Points
By: Pol Campos-Mercade, Lorenz Goette, Thomas Graeber, Alex Kellogg and Charles Sprenger
Existing tests of reference-dependent preferences assume universal loss aversion. This paper examines heterogeneity in gain-loss attitudes, and explores its implications for identifying models of the reference point. In two experimental settings we measure gain-loss...
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Keywords:
Reference-dependent Preferences;
Rational Expectations;
Personal Equilibrium;
Endowment Effect;
Expectations-based Reference Points
Campos-Mercade, Pol, Lorenz Goette, Thomas Graeber, Alex Kellogg, and Charles Sprenger. "Heterogeneity of Gain-Loss Attitudes and Expectations-Based Reference Points." Working Paper, August 2022.