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Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(2,044)
- People (1)
- News (413)
- Research (1,442)
- Events (37)
- Multimedia (13)
- Faculty Publications (866)
- Article
A Choice Prediction Competition for Market Entry Games: An Introduction
By: Ido Erev, Eyal Ert and Alvin E. Roth
A choice prediction competition is organized that focuses on decisions from experience in market entry games (http://sites.google.com/site/gpredcomp/ and http://www.mdpi.com/si/games/predict-behavior/). The competition is based on two experiments: An estimation...
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Keywords:
Experience and Expertise;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Learning;
Market Entry and Exit;
Game Theory;
Behavior;
Competition
Erev, Ido, Eyal Ert, and Alvin E. Roth. "A Choice Prediction Competition for Market Entry Games: An Introduction." Special Issue on Predicting Behavior in Games. Games 1, no. 2 (June 2010): 117–136.
- 2009
- Working Paper
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market—rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities—led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is...
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- 2009
- Working Paper
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market-rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities-led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is...
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Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-023, September 2009. (Revised July 2010.)
- Winter 2016
- Article
Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization
By: Kris J. Ferreira, Bin Hong Alex Lee and David Simchi-Levi
We present our work with an online retailer, Rue La La, as an example of how a retailer can use its wealth of data to optimize pricing decisions on a daily basis. Rue La La is in the online fashion sample sales industry, where they offer extremely limited-time...
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Ferreira, Kris J., Bin Hong Alex Lee, and David Simchi-Levi. "Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 18, no. 1 (Winter 2016): 69–88.
- Research Summary
A Consistent Weighted Ranking Scheme with an Application to NCAA College Football Rankings (with Chaim Fershtman and Neil Gandal)
The NCAA college football ratings, in which the so-called national champion is determined, has been plagued by controversies the last few years. The difficulty arises because there is a need to make a complete ranking of teams even though each team has a different...
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- Forthcoming
- Article
No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm
By: Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham and Jorge Tamayo
How do firms pair workers with managers, and which constraints affect the allocation of labor within the firm? We characterize the sorting pattern of managers to workers in a large readymade garment manufacturer in India and then explore potential drivers of the...
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- July–August 2020
- Article
Price Bargaining and Competition in Online Platforms: An Empirical Analysis of the Daily Deal Market
By: Lingling Zhang and Doug J. Chung
The prevalence of online platforms opens new doors to traditional businesses for customer reach and revenue growth. This research investigates platform choice in a setting where prices are determined by negotiations between platforms and businesses. We compile a unique...
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Keywords:
Business-to-business Marketing;
Platform Competition;
Two-Sided Markets;
Price Bargaining;
Daily Deals;
Structural Model;
Digital Platforms;
Competition;
Price;
Negotiation
Zhang, Lingling, and Doug J. Chung. "Price Bargaining and Competition in Online Platforms: An Empirical Analysis of the Daily Deal Market." Marketing Science 39, no. 4 (July–August 2020): 687–706.
- February 2017
- Article
The Effect of Prohibiting Deal Protection on M&A Activity: Evidence from the United Kingdom
By: Fernán Restrepo and Guhan Subramanian
Since 2011, the UK has prohibited all deal protections—including termination fees—in M&A deals. Prior to 2011, the UK permitted termination fees up to 1% of deal value and there was no prohibition on other protection devices. We examine the effect of this regulatory...
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Restrepo, Fernán, and Guhan Subramanian. "The Effect of Prohibiting Deal Protection on M&A Activity: Evidence from the United Kingdom." Journal of Law & Economics 60, no. 1 (February 2017): 75–113.
- July 2021
- Article
Energy Efficiency and Electricity Reliability
By: Eliana Carranza and Robyn C. Meeks
Overloaded electrical systems are a major source of unreliable power. Using a randomized saturation design, we estimate the impact of compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) on electricity reliability and household electricity consumption in the Kyrgyz Republic. Greater...
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Keywords:
Energy;
Technology Adoption;
Green Technology;
Consumer Behavior;
Utilities Industry;
Kyrgyzstan
Carranza, Eliana, and Robyn C. Meeks. "Energy Efficiency and Electricity Reliability." Review of Economics and Statistics 103, no. 3 (July 2021): 461–475.
- October 2023
- Article
Improving Regulatory Effectiveness Through Better Targeting: Evidence from OSHA
By: Matthew S. Johnson, David I. Levine and Michael W. Toffel
We study how a regulator can best target inspections. Our case study is a U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) program that randomly allocated some inspections. On average, each inspection averted 2.4 serious injuries (9%) over the next five years....
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Keywords:
Safety Regulations;
Regulations;
Regulatory Enforcement;
Machine Learning Models;
Safety;
Operations;
Service Operations;
Production;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Decisions;
United States
Johnson, Matthew S., David I. Levine, and Michael W. Toffel. "Improving Regulatory Effectiveness Through Better Targeting: Evidence from OSHA." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 15, no. 4 (October 2023): 30–67. (Profiled in the Regulatory Review.)
- 2020
- Working Paper
Internal Models, Make Believe Prices, and Bond Market Cornering
By: Ishita Sen and Varun Sharma
Exploiting position-level heterogeneity in regulatory incentives to misreport and novel data on regulators, we document that U.S. life insurers inflate the values of corporate bonds using internal models. We estimate an additional $9-$18 billion decline in regulatory...
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Keywords:
Life Insurers;
Capital Regulation;
Internal Models;
Corporate Bonds;
Regulatory Supervision;
Concentrated Ownership;
Bonds;
Capital;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Insurance;
Investment Portfolio
Sen, Ishita, and Varun Sharma. "Internal Models, Make Believe Prices, and Bond Market Cornering." Working Paper, June 2020.
- 2020
- Working Paper
Improving Regulatory Effectiveness Through Better Targeting: Evidence from OSHA
By: Matthew S. Johnson, David I. Levine and Michael W. Toffel
We study how a regulator can best target inspections. Our case study is a US Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) program that randomly allocated some inspections. On average, each inspection averted 2.4 serious injuries (9%) over the next five years....
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Keywords:
Government Administration;
Working Conditions;
Safety;
Quality;
Production;
Analysis;
Resource Allocation;
Manufacturing Industry;
United States
Johnson, Matthew S., David I. Levine, and Michael W. Toffel. "Improving Regulatory Effectiveness Through Better Targeting: Evidence from OSHA." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-019, August 2019. (Revised February 2020.)
- August 2018
- Article
The Impact of the Entry of Biosimilars: Evidence from Europe
By: Fiona M. Scott Morton, Ariel Dora Stern and Scott Stern
Biologics represent a substantial and growing share of the U.S. drug market. Traditional “small molecule” generics quickly erode the price and share of the branded product upon entry; however, only a few biosimilars have been approved in the U.S. since 2015, thereby...
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Keywords:
Health Care;
Biosimilars;
Biologics;
Pharmaceutical Competition;
Healthcare Spending;
Innovation;
Health Care and Treatment;
Spending;
Market Entry and Exit;
Competition;
Innovation and Invention;
Pharmaceutical Industry;
United States;
Europe
Scott Morton, Fiona M., Ariel Dora Stern, and Scott Stern. "The Impact of the Entry of Biosimilars: Evidence from Europe." Review of Industrial Organization 53, no. 1 (August 2018): 173–210.
- February 2019
- Article
Physician Beliefs and Patient Preferences: A New Look at Regional Variation in Health Care Spending
By: David Cutler, Jonathan Skinner, Ariel Dora Stern and David Wennberg
There is considerable controversy about the causes of regional variations in health care expenditures. Using vignettes from patient and physician surveys linked to fee-for-service Medicare expenditures, this study asks whether patient demand-side factors or physician...
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Cutler, David, Jonathan Skinner, Ariel Dora Stern, and David Wennberg. "Physician Beliefs and Patient Preferences: A New Look at Regional Variation in Health Care Spending." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 11, no. 1 (February 2019): 192–221.
- 2015
- Working Paper
Banks' Risk Exposures
By: Juliane Begenau, Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider
This paper studies U.S. banks' exposure to interest rate and credit risk. We exploit the factor structure in interest rates to represent many bank positions in terms of simple factor portfolios. This approach delivers time varying measures of exposure that are...
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Begenau, Juliane, Monika Piazzesi, and Martin Schneider. "Banks' Risk Exposures." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 21334, July 2015.
- 2014
- Working Paper
Return on Political Investment in the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004
By: Hui Chen, Katherine Gunny and Karthik Ramanna
Prior literature raises a "puzzle" of high rates of return on corporate political investment, but evidence for this puzzle is largely descriptive in nature. We exploit the setting of the American Jobs Creation Act's passage in 2004 to provide more robust estimates of...
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Chen, Hui, Katherine Gunny, and Karthik Ramanna. "Return on Political Investment in the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 15-050, December 2014.
- December 2009
- Article
Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk and Asset Returns
By: Christopher J. Malloy, Tobias J. Moskowitz and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
We provide new evidence on the success of long-run risks in asset pricing by focusing on the risks borne by stockholders. Exploiting micro-level household consumption data, we show that long-run stockholder consumption risk better captures cross-sectional variation in...
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Malloy, Christopher J., Tobias J. Moskowitz, and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen. "Long-Run Stockholder Consumption Risk and Asset Returns." Journal of Finance 64, no. 6 (December 2009): 2427–2480. (Finalist for the 2010 Smith Breeden Prize for the best paper in the Journal of Finance.)
- December 2008
- Article
Behavioral Frontiers in Choice Modeling
We review the discussion at a workshop whose goal was to achieve a better integration among behavioral, economic, and statistical approaches to choice modeling. The workshop explored how current approaches to the specification, estimation, and application of choice...
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Keywords:
Mathematical Methods;
Integration;
Goals and Objectives;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Problems and Challenges;
Business Processes;
Customers;
Behavior;
Economics
Adamowicz, Wiktor, David Bunch, Trudy Ann Cameron, Benedict G.C. Dellaert, Michael Hanneman, Michael Keane, Jordan Louviere, Robert Meyer, Thomas J. Steenburgh, and Joffre Swait. "Behavioral Frontiers in Choice Modeling." Marketing Letters 19, nos. 3/4 (December 2008): 215–219.
- 31 Oct 2014
- News
Silicon valley: start-up founders under pressure
Asymmetric Naivete: Beliefs about Self-Control
Do individuals anticipate present bias in others? This paper jointly investigates beliefs about one's own and others' present bias in two settings. First, in a classroom survey, students systematically underestimate how late... View Details