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(3,225)
- News (484)
- Research (2,406)
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- Faculty Publications (1,535)
Show Results For
-
All HBS Web
(3,225)
- News (484)
- Research (2,406)
- Events (35)
- Multimedia (17)
- Faculty Publications (1,535)
- 2009
- Case
The Prediction Lover's Handbook
By: Thomas H. Davenport and Jeanne G. Harris
When picking assessment tools to inform better decisions about future paths, executives are faced with a wide variety of options--some of which are well established, while others are in early stages of development. The authors provide an insider's guide to prediction...
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Davenport, Thomas H., and Jeanne G. Harris. "The Prediction Lover's Handbook." 2009.
- 2003
- Article
Do Investors Respond to Analysts’ Forecast Revisions As If Forecast Accuracy Is All That Matters?
By: Michael B. Clement and Senyo Tse
Prior research suggests that investors' response to analyst forecast revisions increases with the analyst's forecast accuracy. We extend this research by examining whether investors appear to extract all of the information that analyst characteristics provide about...
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Clement, Michael B., and Senyo Tse. "Do Investors Respond to Analysts’ Forecast Revisions As If Forecast Accuracy Is All That Matters?" Accounting Review 78, no. 1 (2003): 227–249.
- Winter 2016
- Article
Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization
By: Kris J. Ferreira, Bin Hong Alex Lee and David Simchi-Levi
We present our work with an online retailer, Rue La La, as an example of how a retailer can use its wealth of data to optimize pricing decisions on a daily basis. Rue La La is in the online fashion sample sales industry, where they offer extremely limited-time...
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Ferreira, Kris J., Bin Hong Alex Lee, and David Simchi-Levi. "Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 18, no. 1 (Winter 2016): 69–88.
- Article
Human Decisions and Machine Predictions
By: Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan
Kleinberg, Jon, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig, and Sendhil Mullainathan. "Human Decisions and Machine Predictions." Quarterly Journal of Economics 133, no. 1 (February 2018): 237–293.
- May 2007 (Revised August 2007)
- Case
Prediction Markets at Google
By: Peter A. Coles, Karim R. Lakhani and Andrew P. McAfee
In its eight quarters of operation, Google's internally developed prediction market has delivered accurate and decisive predictions about future events of interest to the company. Google must now determine how to increase participation in the market, and how to best...
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Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction;
Knowledge Sharing;
Knowledge Use and Leverage;
Market Participation;
Information Technology
Coles, Peter A., Karim R. Lakhani, and Andrew P. McAfee. "Prediction Markets at Google." Harvard Business School Case 607-088, May 2007. (Revised August 2007.)
- March 2024
- Supplement
Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (B)
By: N. Louis Shipley, Stacy Straaberg and Tom Quinn
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional...
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Keywords:
Acquisition;
Business Growth and Maturation;
Communication Strategy;
Decisions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Business Cycles;
Technological Innovation;
Sports;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Resource Allocation;
Marketing;
Sales;
Business Strategy;
Expansion;
Sports Industry;
Technology Industry;
United States;
North Carolina
- 07 Jul 2020
- News
Predictable Financial Crises
- 2013
- Case
Surveying Professional Forecasters
By: K. C. Lichtendahl and Y. Grushka-Cockayne
Lichtendahl, K. C., and Y. Grushka-Cockayne. "Surveying Professional Forecasters." University of Virginia, Darden School of Business Case UVA-QA-0805, 2013.
- 2011
- Technical Note
Scoring Expert Forecasts
By: K. C. Lichtendahl and Y. Grushka-Cockayne
Lichtendahl, K. C., and Y. Grushka-Cockayne. "Scoring Expert Forecasts." University of Virginia, Darden School of Business Technical Note UVA-QA-0772, 2011.
- 2013
- Other Teaching and Training Material
Operations Management Reading: Forecasting
By: Steven C. Wheelwright and Ann B. Winslow
This reading provides an introduction to forecasting methods. It includes a brief summary of methods based on judgment and a longer section on quantitative analysis. It also provides sample data so students can develop an understanding of concepts such as correlation,...
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Wheelwright, Steven C., and Ann B. Winslow. "Operations Management Reading: Forecasting." Core Curriculum Readings Series. Boston: Harvard Business Publishing 8042, 2013.
- October 1993 (Revised August 1996)
- Background Note
Forecasting with Regression Analysis
Provides an example of regression in one of its most important roles. Relating probabilistic forecasts based on past data to decision analysis.
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Keywords:
Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques;
Analytics and Data Science;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Mathematical Methods
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Forecasting with Regression Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 894-007, October 1993. (Revised August 1996.)
- 08 Jan 2020
- News
Predictions for 2020
- May 2005
- Exercise
Forecasting the Adoption of E-books
By: Elie Ofek
Gives students an opportunity to understand the challenges inherent in forecasting the diffusions of innovations. Provides data for forecasting the adoption of electronic books. Students are encouraged to use the Bass Model framework, while being cognizant of its...
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Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction;
Framework;
Books;
Analytics and Data Science;
Product Launch;
Internet and the Web;
Technology Adoption
Ofek, Elie. "Forecasting the Adoption of E-books." Harvard Business School Exercise 505-063, May 2005.
- November 2023
- Article
Brokerage House Initial Public Offerings and Analyst Forecast Quality
By: Mark Bradshaw, Michael Drake, Joseph Pacelli and Brady Twedt
We examine how brokerage firm initial public offerings (IPOs) influence the research quality of sell-side analysts employed by the brokerage. Our main results focus on earnings forecast bias and absolute forecast errors as proxies for research quality. Using a...
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Keywords:
IPOs;
Research Analysts;
"Brokerage Industry;
Initial Public Offering;
Employees;
Behavior;
Outcome or Result
Bradshaw, Mark, Michael Drake, Joseph Pacelli, and Brady Twedt. "Brokerage House Initial Public Offerings and Analyst Forecast Quality." Management Science 69, no. 11 (November 2023): 7079–7094.
- 2004
- Book
Predictable Surprises
By: M. H. Bazerman and M. Watkins
Bazerman, M. H., and M. Watkins. Predictable Surprises. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2004. (Winner of Kulp-Wright Book Award For the book considered to be the most influential text published on the economics of risk management and insurance presented by American Risk and Insurance Association. Paperback published in 2008.)
- 01 Dec 2014
- News
Forecasting ’15
Health Care: Data-Driven Diagnosis Robert Wah (AMP 175, 2008) President, American Medical Association; Global Chief Medical Officer, Computer Sciences Corporation “We’re entering the third phase of health information technology. The first phase was to get off of paper...
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- 17 Oct 2018
- Working Paper Summaries
Quantile Forecasts of Product Life Cycles Using Exponential Smoothing
- Research Summary
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR)
Conducting research on new management concepts in supply chain management like CPFR. Identifying best practices in the nine-step-CPFR process. Major differences in CPFR-implementation in the U.S., Europe, South America, Asia and Africa.Linking e-marketplaces in the...
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- March 2024
- Case
Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (A)
By: N. Louis Shipley and Stacy Straaberg
In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional...
View Details
Keywords:
Acquisition;
Business Growth and Maturation;
Communication Strategy;
Decisions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Business Cycles;
Technological Innovation;
Sports;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Resource Allocation;
Marketing;
Sales;
Business Strategy;
Expansion;
Sports Industry;
Technology Industry;
United States;
North Carolina
- September 2010
- Article
Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers?
By: Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur and Ananth Raman
Firm-level sales forecasts for retailers can be improved if we incorporate cost of goods sold, inventory, and gross margin (defined here as the ratio of sales to cost of goods sold) as three endogenous variables. We construct a simultaneous equations model, estimated...
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Keywords:
Sales;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Distribution;
Goods and Commodities;
Cost;
Public Sector;
Profit;
Mathematical Methods;
Data and Data Sets;
Retail Industry;
United States
Kesavan, Saravanan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman. "Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers?" Management Science 56, no. 9 (September 2010).