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All HBS Web
(115,729)
- Faculty Publications (570)
- November 2022
- Article
Opportunity Neglect: An Aversion to Low-probability Gains
By: Emily Prinsloo, Kate Barasz, Leslie K. John and Michael I. Norton
Seven preregistered studies (N = 2,890) conducted in the field, lab, and online document opportunity neglect: a tendency to reject opportunities with low probability of success, even when they come with little or no objective cost (e.g., time, money,...
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Prinsloo, Emily, Kate Barasz, Leslie K. John, and Michael I. Norton. "Opportunity Neglect: An Aversion to Low-probability Gains." Psychological Science 33, no. 11 (November 2022): 1857–1866.
- 2022
- Working Paper
The Issuance and Design of Sustainability-linked Loans
By: Maria Loumioti and George Serafeim
Sustainability-linked loans (i.e., syndicated loans for which pricing is linked to a sustainability performance indicator) have rapidly evolved into a significant private debt product. We find that sustainability-linked lending has been available mostly to borrowers...
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Keywords:
Sustainability;
Sustainability Management;
Credit Products;
Loan Contracts;
Loans;
Corporate Finance;
Credit Risk;
Environment;
ESG;
ESG Ratings;
Climate Change;
Finance;
Borrowing and Debt;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Credit
Loumioti, Maria, and George Serafeim. "The Issuance and Design of Sustainability-linked Loans." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-027, November 2022.
- October 2022 (Revised January 2023)
- Case
Century Bank: Closing Time?
By: Lauren Cohen, Grace Headinger and Bill Kwon
Barry Sloane, second-generation Chairman, President, and CEO of his family’s bank, Century Bank, weighed whether to sell to Eastern Bank. As a small regional bank, Century faced a number of challenging trends, such as digitization and market share decline in the coming...
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Keywords:
Family Office;
Business Exit;
Banking;
Family;
Massachusetts;
Boston;
United States;
Acquisition;
Business Exit or Shutdown;
Family Business;
Family and Family Relationships;
Interpersonal Communication;
Decision Making;
Finance;
Banks and Banking;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Emotions;
Banking Industry;
Boston;
Massachusetts;
United States
Cohen, Lauren, Grace Headinger, and Bill Kwon. "Century Bank: Closing Time?" Harvard Business School Case 223-040, October 2022. (Revised January 2023.)
- October 2022
- Case
Spaceport America, Public Sector Risk-taking, and Political Accountability (A)
By: Matthew Weinzierl, Dava Newman, Rebecca Browder and Angela Acocella
Sitting quietly in the heart of the New Mexico desert in the summer of 2014, Spaceport America (SA) housed little of the activity its supporters anticipated when opening its hangar doors in 2011. Despite $1 million in annual rent from Virgin Galactic, British...
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Keywords:
Funding Sources;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Public Sector;
Business and Government Relations;
Factories, Labs, and Plants;
Aerospace Industry;
New Mexico
Weinzierl, Matthew, Dava Newman, Rebecca Browder, and Angela Acocella. "Spaceport America, Public Sector Risk-taking, and Political Accountability (A)." Harvard Business School Case 723-011, October 2022.
- September 2022
- Case
BancoSol: Financial Inclusion in the Perfect Storm
By: Michael Chu and Carla Larangeira
In the pandemic, financial inclusion icon BancoSol faces a government-mandated year-long deferral of all loan payments, followed by the sudden Covid death of its CEO. In a Bolivia mired in political turmoil following a failed presidential election, with clients not...
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Keywords:
Decision Making;
Crisis Management;
Management Succession;
Business Strategy;
Innovation Leadership;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Financing and Loans;
Restructuring;
Financial Services Industry;
Latin America;
Bolivia
Chu, Michael, and Carla Larangeira. "BancoSol: Financial Inclusion in the Perfect Storm." Harvard Business School Case 323-023, September 2022.
- September 2022
- Article
Tone at the Bottom: Measuring Corporate Misconduct Risk from the Text of Employee Reviews
By: Dennis W. Campbell and Ruidi Shang
This paper examines whether information extracted via text-based statistical methods applied to employee reviews left on the website Glassdoor.com can be used to develop indicators of corporate misconduct risk. We argue that inside information on the incidence of...
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Keywords:
Management Accounting;
Management Control;
Corporate Culture;
Corporate Misconduct;
Risk Measurement;
Organizational Culture;
Crime and Corruption;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Measurement and Metrics
Campbell, Dennis W., and Ruidi Shang. "Tone at the Bottom: Measuring Corporate Misconduct Risk from the Text of Employee Reviews." Management Science 68, no. 9 (September 2022): 7034–7053.
- August 2022
- Case
Atlanta Ransomware Attack (A)
By: Amit Goldenberg and Julian Zlatev
This case describes the March 2018 Ransomware attack on the information technology (IT) systems of the city of Atlanta and the response by Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and her administration. The case includes a brief background on Bottoms and her young administration at...
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Keywords:
Crime and Corruption;
Decision Making;
Cost vs Benefits;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Decisions;
Ethics;
Values and Beliefs;
Government and Politics;
Government Administration;
Information Technology;
Cybersecurity;
Information Management;
Leadership;
Management;
Crisis Management;
Management Teams;
Negotiation;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Social Psychology;
Perception;
Personal Characteristics;
Perspective;
Power and Influence;
Society;
Public Administration Industry;
United States;
Georgia (state, US);
Atlanta
Goldenberg, Amit, and Julian Zlatev. "Atlanta Ransomware Attack (A)." Harvard Business School Case 923-009, August 2022.
- August 2022
- Supplement
Atlanta Ransomware Attack (B)
By: Amit Goldenberg and Julian Zlatev
This case describes the March 2018 Ransomware attack on the information technology (IT) systems of the city of Atlanta and the response by Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and her administration. The case includes a brief background on Bottoms and her young administration at...
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Keywords:
Crime and Corruption;
Decision Making;
Cost vs Benefits;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Decisions;
Ethics;
Values and Beliefs;
Government and Politics;
Government Administration;
Information Technology;
Cybersecurity;
Information Management;
Leadership;
Management;
Crisis Management;
Management Teams;
Negotiation;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Social Psychology;
Perception;
Personal Characteristics;
Perspective;
Power and Influence;
Society;
Public Administration Industry;
United States;
Atlanta;
Georgia (state, US)
Goldenberg, Amit, and Julian Zlatev. "Atlanta Ransomware Attack (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 923-010, August 2022.
- July 2022 (Revised September 2022)
- Case
Birla Carbon Egypt: Building Soft Power in a Foreign Country
By: Jeremy Friedman and Malini Sen
Birla Carbon, a flagship business of the nearly $60-billion global conglomerate and India-headquartered Aditya Birla Group (ABG), is one of the world's top manufacturers and suppliers of high-quality carbon black. The largest among its 16 manufacturing plants is Birla...
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Keywords:
Acquisition;
Family Business;
Disruption;
Transformation;
Diversity;
Trade;
Energy;
Values and Beliefs;
Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues;
Global Strategy;
Government and Politics;
Private Ownership;
Civil Society or Community;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Value Creation;
Industrial Products Industry;
Rubber Industry;
Egypt;
Africa;
India;
Asia;
Atlanta;
United States
Friedman, Jeremy, and Malini Sen. "Birla Carbon Egypt: Building Soft Power in a Foreign Country." Harvard Business School Case 723-003, July 2022. (Revised September 2022.)
- July 2022 (Revised January 2024)
- Case
Call of Fiduciary Duty: Microsoft Acquires Activision Blizzard
By: Jonas Heese, Joseph Pacelli and James Barnett
In January 2022, Microsoft announces its acquisition of the video game company Activision Blizzard, in a deal valued at $68.7 billion, which would make Microsoft the world’s third largest video game company. The deal came as Activision Blizzard faced gender pay...
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Keywords:
Accounting;
Goodwill Accounting;
Analysis;
Decision Making;
Talent and Talent Management;
Games, Gaming, and Gambling;
Ethics;
Leadership;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Mergers and Acquisitions;
Lawsuits and Litigation;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
Video Game Industry;
North America;
California
Heese, Jonas, Joseph Pacelli, and James Barnett. "Call of Fiduciary Duty: Microsoft Acquires Activision Blizzard." Harvard Business School Case 123-011, July 2022. (Revised January 2024.)
- July 2022
- Article
Countercyclical Prudential Buffers and Bank Risk-taking
By: Manuel Illueca, Lars Norden, Joseph Pacelli and Gregory F. Udell
We investigate the effects of countercyclical prudential buffers on bank risk-taking. We exploit the introduction of dynamic loan loss provisioning in Spain, mandating that banks use historical average loss rates in their estimation of loan loss provisions. We find...
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Keywords:
Banks;
Bank Regulation;
Macroprudential Policies;
Bank Lending;
Loan Loss Provisioning;
Risk Taking;
Banks and Banking;
Financing and Loans;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Risk and Uncertainty
Illueca, Manuel, Lars Norden, Joseph Pacelli, and Gregory F. Udell. "Countercyclical Prudential Buffers and Bank Risk-taking." Art. 100961. Journal of Financial Intermediation 51 (July 2022).
- 2022
- Article
Regulatory Treatment of Changes in Fair Value and the Composition of Banks' Investment Portfolios
By: Michael Iselin, Jung Koo Kang and Joshua Madsen
In their implementation of Basel III, U.S. bank regulators are again including changes in the fair value of available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities in Tier 1 capital, but only for the largest U.S. banks. This paper investigates a potential impact of expanding this...
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Keywords:
Fair Value Accounting;
SFAS 115;
Basel III;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Banks and Banking;
Debt Securities;
Credit;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Investment Portfolio;
Decision Making;
Banking Industry;
United States
Iselin, Michael, Jung Koo Kang, and Joshua Madsen. "Regulatory Treatment of Changes in Fair Value and the Composition of Banks' Investment Portfolios." Journal of Financial Reporting 7, no. 1 (2022): 123–143.
- 2022
- Report
The First Four Healthy Building Strategies Every Building Should Pursue to Reduce Risk from COVID-19
By: Joseph G. Allen, Emily Jones, Marissa V. Rainbolt, Linsey C. Marr, David Michaels, Leslie R. Cadet, Shelly L. Miller, Meira Levinson, Lidia Morawska, Richard L. Corsi, Nira R. Pollock, Yuguo Li, Alasdair P.S. Munro, Kelly Grier, Qingyan Chen, John D. Macomber and Xiaodong Cao
Understanding of the most probable transmission routes and identifying the risk environments for disease spread should always be among the first critical steps in the response to future disease threats. This is one of the most vital public health lessons of the...
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Keywords:
Health Pandemics;
Buildings and Facilities;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Health Industry;
Education Industry;
Real Estate Industry
Allen, Joseph G., Emily Jones, Marissa V. Rainbolt, Linsey C. Marr, David Michaels, Leslie R. Cadet, Shelly L. Miller, Meira Levinson, Lidia Morawska, Richard L. Corsi, Nira R. Pollock, Yuguo Li, Alasdair P.S. Munro, Kelly Grier, Qingyan Chen, John D. Macomber, and Xiaodong Cao. "The First Four Healthy Building Strategies Every Building Should Pursue to Reduce Risk from COVID-19." Report, Lancet COVID-19 Commission, Task Force on Safe School, Safe Work, Safe Travel, July 2022. (COVID-19 Commission.)
- April 6, 2022
- Article
In Uncertain Times, Big Companies Need to Take Care of Their Suppliers
By: Willy C. Shih
Many large original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) have long been ruthless with their suppliers, demanding extremely low prices and loading them up with risks. Given that the current turmoil buffeting global supply chains is unlikely to end anytime soon, OEMs should...
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Keywords:
Supplier Relationship;
Supply Chain Management;
Supply Chain;
Relationships;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Auto Industry;
Industrial Products Industry;
Manufacturing Industry;
United States
Shih, Willy C. "In Uncertain Times, Big Companies Need to Take Care of Their Suppliers." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (April 6, 2022).
- Article
Policies to Influence Perceptions about COVID-19 Risk: The Case of Maps
By: Claudia Engel, Jonathan Rodden and Marco Tabellini
Choropleth disease maps have become an important tool for informing the public about the risks posed by COVID-19. In a survey conducted in the U.S. state of Georgia in June 2020, we randomly assigned respondents to view either of two maps. The first one reported...
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Engel, Claudia, Jonathan Rodden, and Marco Tabellini. "Policies to Influence Perceptions about COVID-19 Risk: The Case of Maps." Science Advances 8, no. 11 (March 18, 2022).
- February 2022 (Revised May 2022)
- Case
Jaypee Infratech and the Indian Bankruptcy Code
By: Kristin Mugford, William Vrattos and Radhika Kak
In 2016, India passed a new bankruptcy law (IBC) to counter a brewing bank crisis and increased corporate distress. Homebuilder Jaypee Infratech, one of India largest distressed companies (the “dirty dozen”) began restructuring under the IBC in 2017. Two years later,...
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Keywords:
Restructuring;
Decisions;
Judgments;
Voting;
Developing Countries and Economies;
Financial Crisis;
Public Sector;
Asset Pricing;
Borrowing and Debt;
Corporate Finance;
Credit;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Debt Securities;
Bonds;
Investment Return;
Price;
Government Legislation;
Laws and Statutes;
Bids and Bidding;
Business and Stakeholder Relations;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Valuation;
Real Estate Industry;
India;
Delhi
Mugford, Kristin, William Vrattos, and Radhika Kak. "Jaypee Infratech and the Indian Bankruptcy Code." Harvard Business School Case 222-071, February 2022. (Revised May 2022.)
- February 2022 (Revised September 2022)
- Case
Lilium: Preparing for Takeoff
By: Navid Mojir, Vincent Dessain, Mette Fuglsang Hjortshoej and Emer Moloney
Lilium is a German company focused on developing electric vertical takeoff and landing vehicles (eVTOLs) that can be used to offer air taxi services. The company went public in September 2021 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) deal, raising more than...
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Keywords:
SPACs;
Business Model;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Green Technology;
Capital Markets;
Venture Capital;
Initial Public Offering;
Rural Scope;
Urban Scope;
City;
Disruptive Innovation;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Technological Innovation;
Demand and Consumers;
Market Timing;
Industry Growth;
Infrastructure;
Logistics;
Product Design;
Product Development;
Production;
Service Delivery;
Service Operations;
Strategic Planning;
Partners and Partnerships;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Urban Development;
Sustainable Cities;
Business Strategy;
Competitive Strategy;
Competitive Advantage;
Air Transportation;
Aerospace Industry;
Air Transportation Industry;
Green Technology Industry;
Transportation Industry;
Travel Industry;
Germany;
Munich;
Brazil;
United States;
Florida
Mojir, Navid, Vincent Dessain, Mette Fuglsang Hjortshoej, and Emer Moloney. "Lilium: Preparing for Takeoff." Harvard Business School Case 522-084, February 2022. (Revised September 2022.)
- 2022
- Working Paper
What Triggers National Stock Market Jumps?
By: Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis and Marco Sammon
We examine newspapers the day after major stock-market jumps to evaluate the proximate cause, geographic source, and clarity of these events from 1900 in the US, 1930 in the UK and 1980 in 12 other countries. We find four main results. First, the United States plays an...
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Keywords:
Uncertainty;
Policy Uncertainty;
Stock Market;
Financial Markets;
Volatility;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Policy;
Newspapers
Baker, Scott R., Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Marco Sammon. "What Triggers National Stock Market Jumps?" Working Paper, February 2022.
- December 2021
- Case
Should I Stay or Should I Go? Assessing Risk in Carlos Ghosn's International Escape
By: Eugene F. Soltes, Grace Liu and Muneeb Ahmed
In 2018, automotive tycoon Carlos Ghosn was arrested in Japan on financial misreporting charges, followed later by charges of improper payments and misappropriation of funds. Over a year later, still awaiting trial, Ghosn organized his escape from house arrest in Tokyo...
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Keywords:
Crime and Corruption;
Decision Making;
Cost vs Benefits;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Ethics;
Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues;
Law;
Courts and Trials;
Rights;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Auto Industry;
Japan
Soltes, Eugene F., Grace Liu, and Muneeb Ahmed. "Should I Stay or Should I Go? Assessing Risk in Carlos Ghosn's International Escape." Harvard Business School Case 122-051, December 2021.
- 2021
- Working Paper
Limits to Bank Deposit Market Power
By: Juliane Begenau and Erik Stafford
Claims about the market power of bank deposits in the banking literature are numerous and far reaching. Recently, a causal narrative has emerged in the banking literature: market power in bank deposits, measured as imperfect pass-through of short-term market rates on...
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Keywords:
Bank Deposits;
Market Power;
Net Interest Margin (NIM);
Banks and Banking;
Interest Rates;
Risk and Uncertainty
Begenau, Juliane, and Erik Stafford. "Limits to Bank Deposit Market Power." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-039, November 2021.